Austria Vienna 0-1 WSG Wattens – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates WSG Wattens at 41%, yet other data sources diverge — this Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 4 sees WSG Wattens travel to Generali Arena to take on Austria Vienna. The game is scheduled for Wednesday 2 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Austria Vienna stand at 3W 1D 6L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.00 PPG. Last five: L L L W L. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Austria Vienna have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Austria Vienna's form when playing at home: 3W 3D 4L across 10 games at Generali Arena this term (1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game.
WSG Wattens — All Games: 2W 4D 4L from 10 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.00 PPG. Last five: L D L L W. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. WSG Wattens have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
On the road, WSG Wattens have gone 2W 1D 7L from 10 away fixtures this term (0.70 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.00 PPG (Austria Vienna) versus 1.00 (WSG Wattens). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
H2H
The historical ledger comes down firmly in favour of Austria Vienna: 6 wins from 9 previous clashes against 1 for WSG Wattens, with 2 draws across those contests.
The 9 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 29 Nov 2025, ended 0–0 with a draw.
The historical record gives Austria Vienna a meaningful edge here — 6 wins from 9 meetings is the kind of ledger that should not be discounted when the form picture is inconclusive. Even away from home, the visitors have struggled to impose themselves in this fixture.
Trading Patterns
Austria Vienna in-play and half-time data (36 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; BTTS occurs in 47% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 53% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 36%.
WSG Wattens in-play and half-time data (36 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 76% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 47% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 59% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 39%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Austria Vienna 56% versus WSG Wattens 58%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Austria Vienna 58% | WSG Wattens 53%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Austria Vienna 1.32 xG and WSG Wattens 1.57 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Austria Vienna attack 0.859 / defence 1.046 | WSG Wattens attack 1.279 / defence 0.975. League average goals — home 1.576 / away 1.177. WSG Wattens have an above-average attack strength of 1.279 — the away xG of 1.57 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 26 Austria Vienna games / 26 WSG Wattens games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Austria Vienna 29% | Draw 30% | WSG Wattens 41%. Fair-value odds: Austria Vienna 3.45 | Draw 3.33 | WSG Wattens 2.44. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 55% | BTTS probability 61% | Total xG 2.89. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 55% — the 2.89 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 61% reflects that both xG figures (1.32 / 1.57) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, WSG Wattens are the pick at 41% — marginal model lean. With a 30% draw probability, Draw No Bet on WSG Wattens offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.89 combined xG gives a 55% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 3.0 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 61% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Austria Vienna 50% | WSG Wattens 40%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 4 | Venue: Generali Arena • Kick-off: Wednesday 2 Sep 2026, 16:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Austria Vienna 29% | Draw 30% | WSG Wattens 41% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 55% | BTTS 61% | xG Austria Vienna 1.32 / WSG Wattens 1.57 • Poisson strength factors: Austria Vienna attack 0.859 / def 1.046 | WSG Wattens attack 1.279 / def 0.975 | league avg home 1.576 / away 1.177 • Poisson stance: WSG Wattens (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.32
Austria Vienna xG
Expected Goals
1.57
WSG Wattens xG
61%
BTTS
81%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens kick off?
Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens kicked off at 16:30 on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at Generali Arena.
What was the final score in Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Austria Vienna 0 - 1 WSG Wattens.
Where is Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens being played?
The match is being played at Generali Arena.
What competition is Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens part of?
Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens is a Regular Season - 4 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Our statistical model gives Austria Vienna a 29% chance of winning, WSG Wattens a 41% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making WSG Wattens the favourite.
Will both teams score in Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Our model estimates a 61% probability that both Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens will score (BTTS).
Will Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 55%.
What is the head-to-head record between Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens?
Record (9 meetings): Austria Vienna 6W | Draws 2 | WSG Wattens 1W.
What form are Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens in?
Austria Vienna (all comps): 3W-1D-6L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.90 | L5 L-L-L-W-L. WSG Wattens (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-D-L-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Austria Vienna's attacking strength (0.86x league average) is weighed against WSG Wattens's defensive record (0.97x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.32. The same calculation in reverse, WSG Wattens's attack versus Austria Vienna's defence, projects 1.57 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 26/26 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.0%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.1%), 2-1 (7.6%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
WSG Wattens Win
29%
3.39
30%
3.37
41%
2.45
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.1%
Away win
0 – 1
8.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.32
Austria Vienna xG
Total xG
2.89
1.57
WSG Wattens xG
3.39
29%
Home win
3.37
30%
Draw
2.45
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.54
Clean Sheet
21%
4.83
27%
3.74
Win to Nil
6%
16.38
11%
9.15
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 8.7 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 11.5 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 7.6 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.0%.
How many goals are Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens expected to score?
The model projects 1.32 expected goals for Austria Vienna and 1.57 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 2.89.
How confident is the prediction model for Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Austria Vienna come into this having played 36 games, going 15W 5D 16L for 1.39 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-L-W-L. It's still early in the season for Austria Vienna, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, WSG Wattens sit at 1.22 PPG from 36 outings (11W 11D 14L), a run that reads L-D-L-L-W across their last five. It's still early in the season for WSG Wattens, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Form-wise this is close to level: Austria Vienna on 1.39 PPG, WSG Wattens on 1.22. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
Austria Vienna's home form reads 6W 3D 8L across 17 games on their own ground, a 1.24 PPG return.
Away from home, WSG Wattens have taken 0.94 points per game from 17 outings (4W 4D 9L).
The Goals Picture
Austria Vienna are averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game recently; WSG Wattens are on 1.28 scored and 1.64 conceded.
Last 36 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Austria Vienna
Early Season
WSG Wattens
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens in coming into this match?
Austria Vienna have gone 15W 5D 16L in their last 36 games (1.39 PPG), while WSG Wattens have gone 11W 11D 14L in their last 36 (1.22 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Austria Vienna at home or WSG Wattens away?
Austria Vienna's home record (1.24 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Austria Vienna at home: 1.24 PPG; WSG Wattens away: 0.94 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to November 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 2 September 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 20 Apr 2024, when Austria Vienna won 3-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Austria Vienna's record when hosting WSG Wattens specifically: 3W 1D 1L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
6
Austria Vienna
2
Draws
2
WSG Wattens
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens?
From 10 meetings on record, Austria Vienna have won 6, WSG Wattens have won 2, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens last play each other?
They last met on 2 September 2026, when Austria Vienna 0-1 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens?
Austria Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 6 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Austria Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Austria Vienna 47%, WSG Wattens 47% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 53% (Austria Vienna) and 59% (WSG Wattens). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 35% and 47% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Austria Vienna have failed to score in 35% of games; WSG Wattens in 47%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Austria Vienna home games / WSG Wattens away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Austria Vienna play WSG Wattens?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 47% of Austria Vienna's recent matches and 47% of WSG Wattens's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 53% of Austria Vienna's matches and 59% of WSG Wattens's.
Do Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens tend to score early?
Austria Vienna have had a goal before half-time in 71% of their recent matches, WSG Wattens in 76% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as WSG Wattens edge out Austria Vienna 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
WSG Wattens beat Austria Vienna 0-1 at Generali Arena, Regular Season - 4, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Austria Vienna 1.32 xG and WSG Wattens 1.57 xG, a combined 2.89. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Austria Vienna fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Austria Vienna attack 0.86 / defence 1.05 against WSG Wattens attack 1.28 / defence 0.97, drawn from 26/26 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Austria Vienna 29% | Draw 30% | WSG Wattens 41%, with WSG Wattens to win its most likely call at 41%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 81% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Austria Vienna 58%, WSG Wattens 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Austria Vienna's trading profile (36 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not.
WSG Wattens's trading profile (36 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Austria Vienna 1.39 PPG, WSG Wattens 1.22 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the WSG Wattens win broke the near-deadlock. Austria Vienna (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.12 scoring average — below par going forward. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.82 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.