Ruh Lviv 0-0 Oleksandria – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Ruh Lviv at 43%, yet other data sources diverge — this Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Premier League clash, Regular Season - 30 as Ruh Lviv welcome Oleksandria to Arena L'viv. Kick-off is set for Sunday 4 June 2023 at 13:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Premier League games this season, Ruh Lviv have gone 3W 4D 3L from 10 outings — a 1.30 PPG return. Last five: W L W D W. They are averaging 1.20 goals per game and conceding 0.80 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Defensively, conceding just 0.80 per game is an exceptional defensive record — one of the tightest in the division. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base.
Ruh Lviv at Arena L'viv this season: 3W 6D 1L from 10 home games — 1.50 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Oleksandria — All Games: 2W 5D 3L from 10 Premier League fixtures this season — 1.10 PPG. Last five: D W L D L. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 1.30 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity.
On the road, Oleksandria have gone 2W 5D 3L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.10 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
There is minimal separation in the form figures — Ruh Lviv at 1.30 PPG versus Oleksandria's 1.10. The form guide is not providing a strong directional steer; the model and market data will carry more weight in the final assessment.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. Ruh Lviv register both teams scoring in 60% of relevant matches, Oleksandria in 60% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
H2H
The rivalry is an even one: 0 wins apiece for Ruh Lviv, 0 for Oleksandria and 2 shared spoils from 2 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
These sides have historically produced few goals — 1.0 per contest from 2 previous meetings. The Under 2.5 market has a well-supported historical case here. The most recent clash, on 28 Nov 2022, ended 1–1 with a draw.
With a balanced win record and just 1.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
In-Play Data
Ruh Lviv trading profile (46 games, 22 at home): they score before half-time in 59% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 69% of the time; BTTS occurs in 54% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 36% of games (home games); they fail to score in 39% of games.
Oleksandria trading profile (46 games, 22 at away): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 41% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Ruh Lviv 48% versus Oleksandria 59%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Ruh Lviv 37% | Oleksandria 48%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Ruh Lviv 1.14 xG and Oleksandria 0.83 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Ruh Lviv attack 1.057 / defence 0.758 | Oleksandria attack 0.907 / defence 0.916. League average goals — home 1.172 / away 1.211. Ruh Lviv's defence rating of 0.758 is below average — the home backline is amplifying the visitor's projected output. Data: 46 Ruh Lviv games / 47 Oleksandria games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 43% | Draw 31% | Oleksandria 27%. Fair-value odds: Ruh Lviv 2.33 | Draw 3.23 | Oleksandria 3.70. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 31% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 31% | BTTS probability 38% | Total xG 1.97. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 69% probability — total xG of 1.97 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 38% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Ruh Lviv as the most likely outcome at 43% — marginal model lean. With a 31% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Ruh Lviv offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 1.97 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 31% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.2 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 38% on No. This conflicts with form data: Ruh Lviv 60% | Oleksandria 60% from recent games — a notable divergence.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 30 | Venue: Arena L'viv • Kick-off: Sunday 4 Jun 2023, 13:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 43% | Draw 31% | Oleksandria 27% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 31% | BTTS 38% | xG Ruh Lviv 1.14 / Oleksandria 0.83 • Poisson strength factors: Ruh Lviv attack 1.057 / def 0.758 | Oleksandria attack 0.907 / def 0.916 | league avg home 1.172 / away 1.211 • Poisson stance: Ruh Lviv (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.14
Ruh Lviv xG
Expected Goals
0.83
Oleksandria xG
38%
BTTS
59%
Over 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
14%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria kick off?
Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria kicked off at 13:00 on Sunday 4 June 2023 at Arena L'viv.
What was the final score in Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Ruh Lviv 0 - 0 Oleksandria.
Where is Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria being played?
The match is being played at Arena L'viv.
What competition is Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria part of?
Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria is a Regular Season - 30 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Our statistical model gives Ruh Lviv a 43% chance of winning, Oleksandria a 27% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw — making Ruh Lviv the favourite.
Will both teams score in Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Our model estimates a 38% probability that both Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria will score (BTTS).
Will Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 31%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria?
Record (2 meetings): Ruh Lviv 0W | Draws 2 | Oleksandria 0W.
What form are Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria in?
Ruh Lviv (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 0.80 | L5 W-L-W-D-W. Oleksandria (all comps): 2W-5D-3L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.30 | L5 D-W-L-D-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Ruh Lviv's attack at 1.06x the league average against Oleksandria's defence at 0.92x — combine the two and it projects 1.14 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Oleksandria's attack versus Ruh Lviv's defence, projects 0.83 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 46/47 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 0-0 carries the highest individual probability at 15.7% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-1 (14.9%), 1-0 (14.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 45% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Ruh Lviv Win
43%
2.35
31%
3.26
27%
3.74
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.9%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.0%
Draw
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.14
Ruh Lviv xG
Total xG
1.97
0.83
Oleksandria xG
2.35
43%
Home win
3.26
31%
Draw
3.74
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
38%
BTTS Yes
2.61
62%
BTTS No
1.62
Clean Sheet
44%
2.30
32%
3.11
Win to Nil
19%
5.39
9%
11.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.0 | 11.6 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 15.9 | 13.2 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.7%.
How many goals are Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria expected to score?
The model projects 1.14 expected goals for Ruh Lviv and 0.83 for Oleksandria, a combined total of 1.97.
How confident is the prediction model for Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 46 outings, Ruh Lviv have picked up 1.07 PPG on a 11W 16D 19L record — W-L-W-D-W across the most recent five.
Oleksandria's form line: 16W 18D 12L from 46 games, 1.43 PPG, last five D-W-L-D-L.
Form-wise this is close to level: Ruh Lviv on 1.07 PPG, Oleksandria on 1.43. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
On home soil, Ruh Lviv have posted 1.41 PPG from 22 outings (7W 10D 5L).
On the road, Oleksandria have gone 5W 12D 5L from 22 away games — 1.23 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
Ruh Lviv are averaging 1.02 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game recently; Oleksandria are on 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded.
Last 46 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Ruh Lviv
Current Season
Oleksandria
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria in coming into this match?
Ruh Lviv have gone 11W 16D 19L in their last 46 games (1.07 PPG), while Oleksandria have gone 16W 18D 12L in their last 46 (1.43 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Ruh Lviv at home or Oleksandria away?
Ruh Lviv's home record (1.41 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Ruh Lviv at home: 1.41 PPG; Oleksandria away: 1.23 PPG.
Have Ruh Lviv or Oleksandria been keeping clean sheets recently?
Ruh Lviv have kept a clean sheet in 24% of their recent games, Oleksandria in 33%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
9 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. The two were last together as recently as 17 May 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
Ruh Lviv's record when hosting Oleksandria specifically: 0W 4D 1L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 9 Meetings
1
Ruh Lviv
7
Draws
1
Oleksandria
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria?
From 9 meetings on record, Ruh Lviv have won 1, Oleksandria have won 1, and 7 have been drawn.
When did Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria last play each other?
They last met on 17 May 2026, when Ruh Lviv 1-3 Oleksandria.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Ruh Lviv see a goal before the break in 59% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 32% of the time.
Oleksandria see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Ruh Lviv 54%, Oleksandria 59% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 36% (Ruh Lviv) and 41% (Oleksandria).
On the defensive side: Ruh Lviv keep a clean sheet in 32% of their matches; Oleksandria in 36%; Ruh Lviv have failed to score in 27% of games; Oleksandria in 27%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Ruh Lviv home games / Oleksandria away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Ruh Lviv play Oleksandria?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 54% of Ruh Lviv's games and 59% of Oleksandria's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 36% of Ruh Lviv's recent games and 41% of Oleksandria's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Stalemate at Ruh Lviv's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Arena L'viv, Regular Season - 30, as Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria drew 0-0 in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 1.14 xG and Oleksandria 0.83 xG, a combined 1.97. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Ruh Lviv fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Oleksandria landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 1.06 / defence 0.76 against Oleksandria attack 0.91 / defence 0.92, drawn from 46/47 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 43% | Draw 31% | Oleksandria 27%, with Ruh Lviv to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 31%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 59% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 38% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 37%, Oleksandria 48%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (46 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 39% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Oleksandria's trading profile (46 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Ruh Lviv 1.07 PPG, Oleksandria 1.43 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.23 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.95 average — tighter than their form line. Oleksandria (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.14 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.