Inhulets 0-1 Ruh Lviv – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Inhulets at 36% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as Inhulets face Ruh Lviv.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
Inhulets welcome Ruh Lviv to Arena Lviv in Premier League (matchday 20). Kick-off is Saturday 8 March 2025 at 13:30 UK time.
Recent Form
Across their last 10 games, Inhulets have gone 2W 2D 6L — a 0.80 PPG return. Last five: L W L L W. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.80 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Both teams have scored in only 20% of their games — a low BTTS rate that suggests clean sheets are a regular occurrence.
Inhulets's form when playing at home: 1W 0D 2L across their last 3 home games (1.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game.
Ruh Lviv — last 10 games: 2W 4D 4L — 1.00 PPG. Last five: D W L L L. Their scoring rate of 0.70 per game is modest, conceding 1.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%).
When travelling, Ruh Lviv have posted 2W 5D 3L from their last 10 away outings — 1.10 PPG. Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from their last 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road.
The form comparison is too close to call — 0.80 PPG (Inhulets) versus 1.00 (Ruh Lviv). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
Head to Head
There is little to separate the sides in our head-to-head data. From 3 H2H matches, Inhulets have won 1, Ruh Lviv 2, with 0 draws — a balanced record that offers no clear steer on its own. With only 3 H2H matches to go on, treat this as a light input.
Goals have been a feature of this fixture — the 3 H2H matches in our data averaged 3.0 per game, which gives Over 2.5 a solid head-to-head foundation. The most recent of those, on 30 Aug 2024, ended Inhulets 0–5 Ruh Lviv — a Ruh Lviv win.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H signal is in the goals market — at 3.0 goals per game, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Profile
Inhulets in-play tendencies (last 18 games, 3 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 67% of their matches; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 39% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games; they fail to score in 50% of games.
Ruh Lviv in-play tendencies (last 18 games, 3 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 61% of their matches; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 57% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 57% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 39% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 22% of games; they fail to score in 39% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Inhulets 39% versus Ruh Lviv 39%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Inhulets 44% | Ruh Lviv 22%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Inhulets 0.94 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.86 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Inhulets attack 0.824 / defence 1.059 | Ruh Lviv attack 0.893 / defence 0.936. League average goals — home 1.212 / away 0.905. Data: built from Inhulets's last 18 games and Ruh Lviv's last 49.
Result probabilities: Inhulets 36% | Draw 33% | Ruh Lviv 31%. Fair-value odds: Inhulets 2.80 | Draw 3.04 | Ruh Lviv 3.18. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 33% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 27% | BTTS Yes probability 35% | Total xG 1.79. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 73% probability — total xG of 1.79 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match. BTTS No has firm model support at 65% — Ruh Lviv's lower xG of 0.86 gives a real chance they fail to score.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Inhulets at 36% — marginal model lean. With a 33% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Inhulets offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 1.79 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 73% — mixed conviction, supported by recent form (Inhulets's last 3 home games and Ruh Lviv's last 10 away games) averaging 1.8 goals per game — though the H2H data averaging 3.0 goals per game across 3 H2H matches points the other way.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 65% on No. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Inhulets 0% (last 3 home games) | Ruh Lviv 40% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv | Competition: Premier League, matchday 20 | Venue: Arena Lviv • Kick-off: Saturday 8 March 2025 at 13:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Inhulets 36% | Draw 33% | Ruh Lviv 31% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 27% (Under 73%) | BTTS Yes 35% (No 65%) | xG Inhulets 0.94 / Ruh Lviv 0.86 • Poisson strength factors: Inhulets attack 0.824 / def 1.059 | Ruh Lviv attack 0.893 / def 0.936 | league avg home 1.212 / away 0.905 • Poisson stance: Inhulets (36%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.94
Inhulets xG
Expected Goals
0.86
Ruh Lviv xG
35%
BTTS
53%
Over 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
11%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv FAQs
What time does Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv kick off?
Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv kicked off at 13:30 UK time on Saturday 8 March 2025 at Arena Lviv.
What was the final score in Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv?
Inhulets 0 - 1 Ruh Lviv.
Where is Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv being played?
The match is being played at Arena Lviv.
What competition is Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv part of?
Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv is a Premier League fixture (matchday 20) (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv?
Our statistical model gives Inhulets a 36% chance of winning, Ruh Lviv a 31% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw — making Inhulets the favourite.
Will both teams score in Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv?
Our model estimates a 35% probability that both Inhulets and Ruh Lviv will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (65%).
Will Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 27%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (73%).
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Inhulets's attack rating (0.82) and Ruh Lviv's defence rating (0.94), the model arrives at 0.94 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Ruh Lviv's attack versus Inhulets's defence, projects 0.86 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from Inhulets's last 18 games and Ruh Lviv's last 49 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 0-0 emerges as the single most likely result, at 18.4%. Close behind: 1-1 (15.1%), 1-0 (13.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 47% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Inhulets Win
36%
2.80
33%
3.04
31%
3.18
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
16.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
15.6%
Home win
0 – 1
14.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.94
Inhulets xG
Total xG
1.79
0.86
Ruh Lviv xG
2.80
36%
Home win
3.04
33%
Draw
3.18
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
53%
Over 1.5
1.89
47%
Under 1.5
2.13
27%
Over 2.5
3.70
73%
Under 2.5
1.37
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
35%
BTTS Yes
2.86
65%
BTTS No
1.54
Clean Sheet
42%
2.36
39%
2.55
Win to Nil
15%
6.61
12%
8.11
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.7 | 14.3 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.6 | 13.4 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.3 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 18.4%.
How many goals are Inhulets and Ruh Lviv expected to score?
The model projects 0.94 expected goals for Inhulets and 0.86 for Ruh Lviv, a combined total of 1.79.
How confident is the prediction model for Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 36%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 18 outings, Inhulets have picked up 0.67 PPG on a 2W 6D 10L record — L-W-L-L-W across the most recent five.
Ruh Lviv's form line: 4W 8D 6L from 18 games, 1.11 PPG, last five D-W-L-L-L.
Put side by side, Ruh Lviv are the form team by 0.44 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Inhulets.
Venue Form
On home soil, Inhulets have posted 1.00 PPG from their last 3 home games (1W 0D 2L).
On the road, Ruh Lviv have gone 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 away games — 1.33 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
Inhulets are averaging 0.78 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game recently; Ruh Lviv are on 0.94 scored and 0.94 conceded.
Defensively: Ruh Lviv in 39% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 18 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Inhulets
Blended
Ruh Lviv
Blended
Inhulets (Home) vs Ruh Lviv (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Inhulets
Blended
Ruh Lviv
Blended
❓ Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv Form FAQs
What form are Inhulets and Ruh Lviv in coming into this match?
Inhulets have gone 2W 6D 10L in their last 18 games (0.67 PPG), while Ruh Lviv have gone 4W 8D 6L in their last 18 (1.11 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Inhulets at home or Ruh Lviv away?
Ruh Lviv's away record (1.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Inhulets at home: 1.00 PPG; Ruh Lviv away: 1.33 PPG.
Have Inhulets or Ruh Lviv been keeping clean sheets recently?
Inhulets have kept a clean sheet in 28% of their recent games, Ruh Lviv in 39%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
This section is based on the 4 H2H matches we hold for this pairing, spanning roughly 1 year from April 2023. All of them came in Premier League. The most recent in our data was on 8 March 2025, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Streaks & Records
There's a clear recent trend here: Ruh Lviv have taken the most recent 3 H2H results in our data.
The biggest gap in our H2H data came on 30 Aug 2024, when Ruh Lviv won Ruh Lviv 5-0 Inhulets.
Inhulets's record when hosting Ruh Lviv specifically: 1W 0D 1L from 2 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 4 Meetings
1
Inhulets
0
Draws
3
Ruh Lviv
Recent Meetings
❓ Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Inhulets and Ruh Lviv?
Across the 4 head-to-head matches in our data, Inhulets have won 1, Ruh Lviv have won 3, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Inhulets and Ruh Lviv last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 8 March 2025: Inhulets 0-1 Ruh Lviv.
Who has won more matches between Inhulets and Ruh Lviv?
Ruh Lviv have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from the 4 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Inhulets are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 50% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
Clean sheets have been more common than shared scoring for these two — Inhulets 0% BTTS, Ruh Lviv 33%. That points toward BTTS No as the trading lean.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 0% for Inhulets and 0% for Ruh Lviv.
On the defensive side: Inhulets keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Ruh Lviv in 33%; Inhulets have failed to score in 67% of games; Ruh Lviv in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Inhulets home games / Ruh Lviv away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Inhulets vs Ruh Lviv Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Inhulets and Ruh Lviv matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 0% of Inhulets's recent matches and 33% of Ruh Lviv's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are Inhulets and Ruh Lviv matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 0% of Inhulets's recent games and 0% of Ruh Lviv's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Inhulets and Ruh Lviv matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 67% of Inhulets's recent matches and 100% of Ruh Lviv's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Shock result as Ruh Lviv defy the odds to beat Inhulets 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Ruh Lviv beat Inhulets 0-1 at Arena Lviv, Regular Season - 20, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Inhulets 0.94 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.86 xG, a combined 1.79. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Inhulets fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Inhulets attack 0.82 / defence 1.06 against Ruh Lviv attack 0.89 / defence 0.94, drawn from 18/49 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Inhulets 36% | Draw 33% | Ruh Lviv 31%, with Inhulets to win its most likely call at 36%. The actual Ruh Lviv win had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 27%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 53% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 35% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 33% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Inhulets 44%, Ruh Lviv 22%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 39%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Inhulets's trading profile (18 games, 3 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 39% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 50% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (18 games, 3 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 39% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 39% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Ruh Lviv arrived the stronger side — 1.11 PPG against 0.67. That form edge translated into the three points. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.