Prachuap 0-0 Pattaya United – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Pattaya United at 48%, yet other data sources diverge — this Prachuap vs Pattaya United fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Thai League 1 encounter, Regular Season - 7 sees Pattaya United travel to Sam Ao Stadium to take on Prachuap. The game is scheduled for Sunday 10 October 2021, 12:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Prachuap stand at 1W 2D 3L from 6 Thai League 1 matches — 0.83 PPG. Last five: L D W L L. They are averaging 1.33 goals per game and conceding 1.83 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Both teams have scored in 83% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. Prachuap have played only a handful of Thai League 1 games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Across all Thai League 1 games this season, Pattaya United have recorded 2W 2D 2L from 6 outings — 1.33 PPG. Last five: W W D L L. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 1.50. 1 clean sheet from 6 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 83% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. Pattaya United have played only a handful of Thai League 1 games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Pattaya United away from home this season: 1W 2D 1L from 4 away games — 1.25 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 75% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. Pattaya United are 0.50 PPG ahead (1.33 vs 0.83), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
Both teams score in over 75% of each side's relevant games (using overall form). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.
In-Play Profile
Prachuap in-play tendencies (6 games): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures; when winning at HT they fail to see it out 33% of the time; BTTS occurs in 83% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 83% of games.
Pattaya United in-play tendencies (6 games): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 100% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 83% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 67% of games; Over 3.5 in 50%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Prachuap 83% and Pattaya United 83% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (Prachuap 83% | Pattaya United 67%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Prachuap 1.06 xG and Pattaya United 1.66 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Prachuap attack 0.861 / defence 1.337 | Pattaya United attack 0.882 / defence 1.134. League average goals — home 1.083 / away 1.404. Data: 6 Prachuap games / 6 Pattaya United games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Prachuap 21% | Draw 31% | Pattaya United 48%. Fair-value odds: Prachuap 4.76 | Draw 3.23 | Pattaya United 2.08. Pattaya United hold a narrow Poisson edge at 48% — the draw (31%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 51% | BTTS probability 56% | Total xG 2.71. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 51%/49% — the total xG of 2.71 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 56% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Pattaya United are the pick at 48% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 31% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Pattaya United offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.71 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 51% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 2.8 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 56%. Form rates corroborate: Prachuap 83% | Pattaya United 75% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Prachuap vs Pattaya United | Competition: Thai League 1, Regular Season - 7 | Venue: Sam Ao Stadium • Kick-off: Sunday 10 Oct 2021, 12:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Prachuap 21% | Draw 31% | Pattaya United 48% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 51% | BTTS 56% | xG Prachuap 1.06 / Pattaya United 1.66 • Poisson strength factors: Prachuap attack 0.861 / def 1.337 | Pattaya United attack 0.882 / def 1.134 | league avg home 1.083 / away 1.404 • Poisson stance: Pattaya United (48%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.06
Prachuap xG
Expected Goals
1.66
Pattaya United xG
56%
BTTS
79%
Over 1.5
51%
Over 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Prachuap vs Pattaya United kick off?
Prachuap vs Pattaya United kicked off at 12:00 on Sunday 10 October 2021 at Sam Ao Stadium.
What was the final score in Prachuap vs Pattaya United?
Prachuap 0 - 0 Pattaya United.
Where is Prachuap vs Pattaya United being played?
The match is being played at Sam Ao Stadium.
What competition is Prachuap vs Pattaya United part of?
Prachuap vs Pattaya United is a Regular Season - 7 fixture in the Thai League 1 (Thailand).
Who is favourite to win Prachuap vs Pattaya United?
Our statistical model gives Prachuap a 21% chance of winning, Pattaya United a 48% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw — making Pattaya United the favourite.
Will both teams score in Prachuap vs Pattaya United?
Our model estimates a 56% probability that both Prachuap and Pattaya United will score (BTTS).
Will Prachuap vs Pattaya United have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 51%.
What is the head-to-head record between Prachuap and Pattaya United?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Prachuap and Pattaya United in?
Prachuap (all comps): 1W-2D-3L in 6 | 0.83 PPG | GF 1.33 / GA 1.83 | L5 L-D-W-L-L. Pattaya United (all comps): 2W-2D-2L in 6 | 1.33 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-W-D-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Prachuap's attacking strength (0.86x league average) is weighed against Pattaya United's defensive record (1.13x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.06. The same calculation in reverse, Pattaya United's attack versus Prachuap's defence, projects 1.66 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 6/6 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.1%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.6%), 0-1 (9.5%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Pattaya United Win
21%
4.82
31%
3.18
48%
2.09
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.6%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.0%
Away win
1 – 2
9.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.06
Prachuap xG
Total xG
2.71
1.66
Pattaya United xG
4.82
21%
Home win
3.18
31%
Draw
2.09
48%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.78
44%
BTTS No
2.29
Clean Sheet
19%
5.24
35%
2.88
Win to Nil
4%
25.26
17%
6.02
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 7.0 | 11.6 | 9.6 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 3.7 | 6.1 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Prachuap vs Pattaya United?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.1%.
How many goals are Prachuap and Pattaya United expected to score?
The model projects 1.06 expected goals for Prachuap and 1.66 for Pattaya United, a combined total of 2.71.
How confident is the prediction model for Prachuap vs Pattaya United?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 48%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 6 outings, Prachuap have picked up 0.83 PPG on a 1W 2D 3L record — L-D-W-L-L across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for Prachuap, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Pattaya United's form line: 2W 2D 2L from 6 games, 1.33 PPG, last five W-W-D-L-L. It's still early in the season for Pattaya United, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Put side by side, Pattaya United are the form team by 0.50 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Prachuap.
Goals in Recent Form
Prachuap are averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game recently; Pattaya United are on 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Prachuap have seen both teams score in 83% of their recent games; Pattaya United in 83%.
Last 6 Results — Thai League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Prachuap
Early Season
Pattaya United
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Prachuap and Pattaya United in coming into this match?
Prachuap have gone 1W 2D 3L in their last 6 games (0.83 PPG), while Pattaya United have gone 2W 2D 2L in their last 6 (1.33 PPG).
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
2 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Thai League 1. It has been a while since the last meeting — 20 February 2022, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Last 2 Meetings
0
Prachuap
2
Draws
0
Pattaya United
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Prachuap and Pattaya United?
From 2 meetings on record, Prachuap have won 0, Pattaya United have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Prachuap and Pattaya United last play each other?
They last met on 20 February 2022, when Pattaya United 0-0 Prachuap.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Prachuap are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 33% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Pattaya United see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — Prachuap at 83%, Pattaya United at 83%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 83% for Prachuap and 67% for Pattaya United. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 33% and 50% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Prachuap home games / Pattaya United away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Prachuap play Pattaya United?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 83% of Prachuap's games and 83% of Pattaya United's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Prachuap vs Pattaya United usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 83% of Prachuap's matches and 67% of Pattaya United's.
Do Prachuap and Pattaya United tend to score early?
Prachuap have had a goal before half-time in 83% of their recent matches, Pattaya United in 50% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Prachuap's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Prachuap and Pattaya United finished level at 0-0 at Sam Ao Stadium, Regular Season - 7, in the Thai League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Prachuap 1.06 xG and Pattaya United 1.66 xG, a combined 2.71. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Prachuap fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Pattaya United landed 1.7 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Prachuap attack 0.86 / defence 1.34 against Pattaya United attack 0.88 / defence 1.13, drawn from 6/6 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Prachuap 21% | Draw 31% | Pattaya United 48%, with Pattaya United to win its most likely call at 48%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 79% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 75% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Prachuap 83%, Pattaya United 67%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 83%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Prachuap's trading profile (6 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 83% of their matches — today it did not.
Pattaya United's trading profile (6 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 83% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Pattaya United arrived the stronger side — 1.33 PPG against 0.83. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Prachuap managed 0 against a 1.33 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.83 average — tighter than their form line. Pattaya United managed 0 against a 1.50 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.