Suwon City FC 0-6 Jeonbuk Motors – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Suwon City FC at 60%, yet other data sources diverge — this Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Suwon Sports Complex plays host to Suwon City FC versus Jeonbuk Motors in K League 1, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off: Saturday 14 September 2024 at 11:00 UTC.
Current Form
Suwon City FC's overall K League 1 record this term: 5W 3D 2L from 10 games (1.80 PPG). Last five: L L W W D. They are averaging 2.20 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
In front of their own supporters this season, Suwon City FC have posted 5W 2D 3L at Suwon Sports Complex — 1.70 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Jeonbuk Motors (all games): 4W 2D 4L across 10 K League 1 outings this term — 1.40 points per game. Last five: L L W W D. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.80 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation.
Jeonbuk Motors's away record: 2W 1D 7L from 10 road trips in K League 1 this season (0.70 PPG). Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel. Their away PPG of 0.70 is notably below their overall 1.40 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 1.80 vs 1.40 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
Head-to-Head
Form and model data should carry more weight here — the historical record is too balanced to provide a directional steer. From 6 meetings: Suwon City FC 2W, Jeonbuk Motors 3W, 1D.
The 6 previous meetings have averaged 2.3 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 12 May 2024, ended 3–2 with Suwon City FC winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading
Suwon City FC half-time and goal-timing data (67 games, 33 at home): they score before half-time in 70% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 64% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 54% of games (home games).
Jeonbuk Motors half-time and goal-timing data (67 games, 33 at away): they score before half-time in 64% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 36% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 42% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Suwon City FC 61% versus Jeonbuk Motors 49%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Suwon City FC 58% | Jeonbuk Motors 43%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Suwon City FC 1.99 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 1.02 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Suwon City FC attack 1.139 / defence 0.989 | Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.904 / defence 1.170. League average goals — home 1.494 / away 1.147. Data: 62 Suwon City FC games / 62 Jeonbuk Motors games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Suwon City FC 60% | Draw 21% | Jeonbuk Motors 19%. Fair-value odds: Suwon City FC 1.67 | Draw 4.76 | Jeonbuk Motors 5.26. The model has a clear lean to Suwon City FC (60%) — a 41pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 58% | BTTS probability 55% | Total xG 3.02. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 58% — the 3.02 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 55% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Suwon City FC at 60% — clear model lean. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 21% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
Poisson projects 3.02 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 58% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 2.8 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 55% on Yes. This conflicts with form data: Suwon City FC 50% | Jeonbuk Motors 30% from recent games — a notable divergence.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors | Competition: K League 1, Regular Season - 30 | Venue: Suwon Sports Complex • Kick-off: Saturday 14 Sep 2024, 11:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Suwon City FC 60% | Draw 21% | Jeonbuk Motors 19% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 58% | BTTS 55% | xG Suwon City FC 1.99 / Jeonbuk Motors 1.02 • Poisson strength factors: Suwon City FC attack 1.139 / def 0.989 | Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.904 / def 1.170 | league avg home 1.494 / away 1.147 • Poisson stance: Suwon City FC (60%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.99
Suwon City FC xG
Expected Goals
1.02
Jeonbuk Motors xG
55%
BTTS
80%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors kick off?
Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors kicked off at 11:00 on Saturday 14 September 2024 at Suwon Sports Complex.
What was the final score in Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Suwon City FC 0 - 6 Jeonbuk Motors.
Where is Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors being played?
The match is being played at Suwon Sports Complex.
What competition is Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors part of?
Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors is a Regular Season - 30 fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our statistical model gives Suwon City FC a 60% chance of winning, Jeonbuk Motors a 19% chance, and a 21% chance of a draw — making Suwon City FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our model estimates a 55% probability that both Suwon City FC and Jeonbuk Motors will score (BTTS).
Will Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 58%.
What is the head-to-head record between Suwon City FC and Jeonbuk Motors?
Record (6 meetings): Suwon City FC 2W | Draws 1 | Jeonbuk Motors 3W.
What form are Suwon City FC and Jeonbuk Motors in?
Suwon City FC (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 2.20 / GA 1.20 | L5 L-L-W-W-D. Jeonbuk Motors (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.80 | L5 L-L-W-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Suwon City FC's attack rating (1.14) and Jeonbuk Motors's defence rating (1.17), the model arrives at 1.99 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Jeonbuk Motors's attack (0.90x) against Suwon City FC's defence (0.99x) — and the away total comes out at 1.02.
These ratings are built from 62/62 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 11.3%. Close behind: 2-1 (10.0%), 2-0 (9.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Suwon City FC Win
60%
1.67
21%
4.69
19%
5.29
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
10.0%
Home win
1 – 0
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.99
Suwon City FC xG
Total xG
3.02
1.02
Jeonbuk Motors xG
1.67
60%
Home win
4.69
21%
Draw
5.29
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.81
45%
BTTS No
2.24
Clean Sheet
36%
2.79
14%
7.33
Win to Nil
21%
4.66
3%
38.78
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.7 | 10.0 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.4 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.3%.
How many goals are Suwon City FC and Jeonbuk Motors expected to score?
The model projects 1.99 expected goals for Suwon City FC and 1.02 for Jeonbuk Motors, a combined total of 3.02.
How confident is the prediction model for Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 60%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Suwon City FC's recent record stands at 23W 14D 30L from 67 games, a 1.24 PPG return, with L-L-W-W-D in the last five.
Jeonbuk Motors, meanwhile, have gone 23W 18D 26L across 67 games — 1.30 PPG, with L-L-W-W-D in their last five.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.24 PPG for Suwon City FC against 1.30 for Jeonbuk Motors. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Suwon City FC have managed 12W 8D 13L from 33 games — 1.33 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Jeonbuk Motors's away record stands at 9W 7D 17L across 33 trips, a 1.03 PPG haul.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Suwon City FC are averaging 1.39 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game recently; Jeonbuk Motors are on 1.18 scored and 1.25 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Suwon City FC have seen both teams score in 61% of their recent games.
Last 67 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Suwon City FC
Current Season
Jeonbuk Motors
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Suwon City FC and Jeonbuk Motors in coming into this match?
Suwon City FC have gone 23W 14D 30L in their last 67 games (1.24 PPG), while Jeonbuk Motors have gone 23W 18D 26L in their last 67 (1.30 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Suwon City FC at home or Jeonbuk Motors away?
Suwon City FC's home record (1.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Suwon City FC at home: 1.33 PPG; Jeonbuk Motors away: 1.03 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 10 times since August 2022 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. They last met on 18 October 2025, roughly 10 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
Jeonbuk Motors go into this on the back of 4 straight wins in the series — the current momentum sits squarely with them.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Jeonbuk Motors won 0-6 on 14 Sep 2024, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Suwon City FC have gone 1W 1D 3L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Jeonbuk Motors — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
2
Suwon City FC
1
Draws
7
Jeonbuk Motors
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Suwon City FC and Jeonbuk Motors?
From 10 meetings on record, Suwon City FC have won 2, Jeonbuk Motors have won 7, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Suwon City FC and Jeonbuk Motors last play each other?
They last met on 18 October 2025, when Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 Suwon City FC.
Who has won more matches between Suwon City FC and Jeonbuk Motors?
Jeonbuk Motors have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Suwon City FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 15% of those situations.
Jeonbuk Motors are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 64% of their matches.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Suwon City FC 64%, Jeonbuk Motors 36% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 54% (Suwon City FC) and 42% (Jeonbuk Motors).
On the defensive side: Jeonbuk Motors in 46%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Suwon City FC home games / Jeonbuk Motors away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Suwon City FC play Jeonbuk Motors?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 64% of Suwon City FC's recent matches and 36% of Jeonbuk Motors's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Suwon City FC vs Jeonbuk Motors usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 54% of Suwon City FC's recent games and 42% of Jeonbuk Motors's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Suwon City FC and Jeonbuk Motors tend to score early?
Suwon City FC have had a goal before half-time in 70% of their recent matches, Jeonbuk Motors in 64% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant Jeonbuk Motors run riot with a 0-6 hammering of Suwon City FC.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Jeonbuk Motors beat Suwon City FC 0-6 at Suwon Sports Complex, Regular Season - 30, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Suwon City FC 1.99 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 1.02 xG, a combined 3.02. The scoreboard read 0-6 for 6 actual goals. Suwon City FC fell 2.0 short of their projected output. Jeonbuk Motors outscored their 1.02 projection by 5.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Suwon City FC attack 1.14 / defence 0.99 against Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.90 / defence 1.17, drawn from 62/62 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Suwon City FC 60% | Draw 21% | Jeonbuk Motors 19%, with Suwon City FC to win its most likely call at 60%. Instead the game produced a Jeonbuk Motors win, an outcome the model had rated at just 19% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. Over 3.5 was 36% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Suwon City FC 58%, Jeonbuk Motors 43%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Suwon City FC's trading profile (67 games, 33 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.
Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (67 games, 33 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Suwon City FC 1.24 PPG, Jeonbuk Motors 1.30 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Jeonbuk Motors win broke the near-deadlock. Suwon City FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.58 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 6 against a 1.64 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Jeonbuk Motors (home/away splits) scored 6 against a 0.94 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.33 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.