Slask Wroclaw 0-0 Radomiak Radom – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Radomiak Radom at 36% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Ekstraklasa encounter, Regular Season - 25 sees Radomiak Radom travel to Tarczyński Arena to take on Slask Wroclaw. The game is scheduled for Sunday 13 March 2022, 14:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Ekstraklasa games this season, Slask Wroclaw have gone 1W 2D 7L from 10 outings — a 0.50 PPG return. Last five: L D L D L. They are averaging 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.70 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Slask Wroclaw, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Tarczyński Arena, Slask Wroclaw have gone 3W 4D 3L this season (10 games, 1.30 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.30 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.50 — Slask Wroclaw are significantly better at Tarczyński Arena than their overall form suggests.
Radomiak Radom — All Games: 5W 2D 3L from 10 Ekstraklasa fixtures this season — 1.70 PPG. Last five: D L L W L. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. This season is still relatively young for Radomiak Radom, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Radomiak Radom away from home this season: 4W 3D 3L from 10 away games — 1.50 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game.
Form points away from home here. Radomiak Radom's 1.70 PPG return is 1.20 points per game ahead of Slask Wroclaw's 0.50 — the visitors are the form-based selection, and Double Chance is an alternative worth pricing if the outright looks tight.
H2H
The H2H landscape is flat: 1 previous encounters have yielded 0 wins for Slask Wroclaw, 0 for Radomiak Radom and 1 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The 1 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 18 Sep 2021, ended 1–1 with a draw.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading Patterns
Slask Wroclaw in-play and half-time data (24 games, 11 at home): they score before half-time in 54% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 78% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 64% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 54% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 38%.
Radomiak Radom in-play and half-time data (24 games, 11 at away): they score before half-time in 100% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 54% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Slask Wroclaw 67% and Radomiak Radom 54% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Slask Wroclaw 58% | Radomiak Radom 42%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Slask Wroclaw 1.21 xG and Radomiak Radom 1.23 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Slask Wroclaw attack 0.819 / defence 1.337 | Radomiak Radom attack 0.887 / defence 1.391. League average goals — home 1.058 / away 1.033. Radomiak Radom bring a strong defensive rating of 1.391 — this is suppressing Slask Wroclaw's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 24 Slask Wroclaw games / 24 Radomiak Radom games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Slask Wroclaw 35% | Draw 29% | Radomiak Radom 36%. Fair-value odds: Slask Wroclaw 2.86 | Draw 3.45 | Radomiak Radom 2.78. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 44% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.43. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 56% — total xG of 2.43 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Radomiak Radom as the most likely outcome at 36% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Radomiak Radom offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.43 combined xG gives a 44% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 50% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Slask Wroclaw 60% | Radomiak Radom 50% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom | Competition: Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 25 | Venue: Tarczyński Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 13 Mar 2022, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Slask Wroclaw 35% | Draw 29% | Radomiak Radom 36% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 44% | BTTS 50% | xG Slask Wroclaw 1.21 / Radomiak Radom 1.23 • Poisson strength factors: Slask Wroclaw attack 0.819 / def 1.337 | Radomiak Radom attack 0.887 / def 1.391 | league avg home 1.058 / away 1.033 • Poisson stance: Radomiak Radom (36%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.21
Slask Wroclaw xG
Expected Goals
1.23
Radomiak Radom xG
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
44%
Over 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom kick off?
Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom kicked off at 14:00 on Sunday 13 March 2022 at Tarczyński Arena.
What was the final score in Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom?
Slask Wroclaw 0 - 0 Radomiak Radom.
Where is Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom being played?
The match is being played at Tarczyński Arena.
What competition is Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom part of?
Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom is a Regular Season - 25 fixture in the Ekstraklasa (Poland).
Who is favourite to win Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom?
Our statistical model gives Slask Wroclaw a 35% chance of winning, Radomiak Radom a 36% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Radomiak Radom the favourite.
Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both Slask Wroclaw and Radomiak Radom will score (BTTS).
Will Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 44%.
What is the head-to-head record between Slask Wroclaw and Radomiak Radom?
Record (1 meetings): Slask Wroclaw 0W | Draws 1 | Radomiak Radom 0W.
What form are Slask Wroclaw and Radomiak Radom in?
Slask Wroclaw (all comps): 1W-2D-7L in 10 | 0.50 PPG | GF 0.70 / GA 1.70 | L5 L-D-L-D-L. Radomiak Radom (all comps): 5W-2D-3L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.20 | L5 D-L-L-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Slask Wroclaw's attack rating (0.82) and Radomiak Radom's defence rating (1.39), the model arrives at 1.21 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Radomiak Radom's attack versus Slask Wroclaw's defence, projects 1.23 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 24/24 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.7%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.5%), 0-1 (9.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Radomiak Radom Win
35%
2.84
29%
3.49
36%
2.77
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.8%
Away win
1 – 0
10.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.21
Slask Wroclaw xG
Total xG
2.43
1.23
Radomiak Radom xG
2.84
35%
Home win
3.49
29%
Draw
2.77
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.00
50%
BTTS No
2.00
Clean Sheet
29%
3.40
30%
3.34
Win to Nil
10%
9.66
11%
9.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8 | 10.8 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.7%.
How many goals are Slask Wroclaw and Radomiak Radom expected to score?
The model projects 1.21 expected goals for Slask Wroclaw and 1.23 for Radomiak Radom, a combined total of 2.43.
How confident is the prediction model for Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 36%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 24 outings, Slask Wroclaw have picked up 1.08 PPG on a 6W 8D 10L record — L-D-L-D-L across the most recent five. The sample for Slask Wroclaw is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Radomiak Radom's form line: 10W 9D 5L from 24 games, 1.62 PPG, last five D-L-L-W-L. The sample for Radomiak Radom is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Radomiak Radom are the form team by 0.54 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Slask Wroclaw.
Venue Form
On home soil, Slask Wroclaw have posted 1.27 PPG from 11 outings (3W 5D 3L).
On the road, Radomiak Radom have gone 4W 3D 4L from 11 away games — 1.36 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
Slask Wroclaw are averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game recently; Radomiak Radom are on 1.33 scored and 1.04 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Slask Wroclaw have seen both teams score in 67% of their recent games.
Last 24 Results — Ekstraklasa
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Slask Wroclaw
Blended
Radomiak Radom
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Slask Wroclaw and Radomiak Radom in coming into this match?
Slask Wroclaw have gone 6W 8D 10L in their last 24 games (1.08 PPG), while Radomiak Radom have gone 10W 9D 5L in their last 24 (1.62 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Slask Wroclaw at home or Radomiak Radom away?
Radomiak Radom's away record (1.36 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Slask Wroclaw at home: 1.27 PPG; Radomiak Radom away: 1.36 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
8 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to September 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Ekstraklasa. It has been a while since the last meeting — 8 February 2025, some 3 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Streaks & Records
Slask Wroclaw's record when hosting Radomiak Radom specifically: 1W 1D 2L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
2
Slask Wroclaw
3
Draws
3
Radomiak Radom
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Slask Wroclaw and Radomiak Radom?
From 8 meetings on record, Slask Wroclaw have won 2, Radomiak Radom have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Slask Wroclaw and Radomiak Radom last play each other?
They last met on 8 February 2025, when Radomiak Radom 1-1 Slask Wroclaw.
Who has won more matches between Slask Wroclaw and Radomiak Radom?
Radomiak Radom have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Slask Wroclaw see a goal before the break in 54% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 18% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Radomiak Radom are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 46% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Slask Wroclaw 64%, Radomiak Radom 46% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 54% (Slask Wroclaw) and 54% (Radomiak Radom).
On the defensive side: Slask Wroclaw have failed to score in 27% of games; Radomiak Radom in 27%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Slask Wroclaw home games / Radomiak Radom away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Slask Wroclaw play Radomiak Radom?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 64% of Slask Wroclaw's recent matches and 46% of Radomiak Radom's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Slask Wroclaw vs Radomiak Radom usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 54% of Slask Wroclaw's recent games and 54% of Radomiak Radom's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Slask Wroclaw and Radomiak Radom tend to score early?
Slask Wroclaw have had a goal before half-time in 54% of their recent matches, Radomiak Radom in 100% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Slask Wroclaw's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Tarczyński Arena, Regular Season - 25, as Slask Wroclaw and Radomiak Radom drew 0-0 in the Ekstraklasa. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Slask Wroclaw 1.21 xG and Radomiak Radom 1.23 xG, a combined 2.43. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Slask Wroclaw fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Radomiak Radom landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Slask Wroclaw attack 0.82 / defence 1.34 against Radomiak Radom attack 0.89 / defence 1.39, drawn from 24/24 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Slask Wroclaw 35% | Draw 29% | Radomiak Radom 36%, with Radomiak Radom to win its most likely call at 36%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 70% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Slask Wroclaw 58%, Radomiak Radom 42%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Slask Wroclaw's trading profile (24 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Radomiak Radom's trading profile (24 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Radomiak Radom arrived the stronger side — 1.62 PPG against 1.08. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Slask Wroclaw (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.18 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.27 average — tighter than their form line. Radomiak Radom (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.27 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.36 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.