FC Volendam 0-0 Feyenoord – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Feyenoord at 37% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this FC Volendam vs Feyenoord encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Eredivisie encounter, Regular Season - 29 sees Feyenoord travel to Kras Stadion to take on FC Volendam. The game is scheduled for Sunday 5 April 2026, 13:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, FC Volendam stand at 4W 1D 5L from 10 Eredivisie matches — 1.30 PPG. Last five: L W L L L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.60 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
FC Volendam's home record at Kras Stadion: 5W 2D 3L from 10 Eredivisie appearances (1.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Feyenoord — All Games: 5W 2D 3L from 10 Eredivisie fixtures this season — 1.70 PPG. Last five: W L D W D. They are scoring at 1.70 per game and conceding 1.70. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
Feyenoord's form when playing away from home: 4W 2D 4L across 10 road games this term (1.40 PPG). Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.30 PPG (FC Volendam) versus 1.70 (Feyenoord). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
H2H
Despite the anticipated home advantage, Feyenoord have the better historical record — 4 wins from 5 previous contests against 0 for FC Volendam.
The 5 previous meetings have averaged 2.6 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 1 Nov 2025, ended 1–3 with Feyenoord winning.
It is worth noting that Feyenoord have a superior record in this fixture despite their visitor status — 4 wins from 5 meetings. Home advantage alone is not a sufficient reason to dismiss that track record.
Trading Patterns
FC Volendam in-play and half-time data (62 games, 30 at home): they score before half-time in 77% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 91% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 64% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 73% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 80% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 39%.
Feyenoord in-play and half-time data (62 games, 30 at away): they score before half-time in 90% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; they lead at the break 53% of the time; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 40%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — FC Volendam 63% and Feyenoord 61% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (FC Volendam 71% | Feyenoord 61%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects FC Volendam 1.60 xG and Feyenoord 1.61 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: FC Volendam attack 0.930 / defence 1.094 | Feyenoord attack 1.114 / defence 0.998. League average goals — home 1.726 / away 1.320. Data: 28 FC Volendam games / 62 Feyenoord games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: FC Volendam 37% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 37%. Fair-value odds: FC Volendam 2.70 | Draw 3.85 | Feyenoord 2.70. The draw (26%) is the Poisson-preferred outcome — neither side is more likely to win than to draw, making draw-inclusive markets the most model-aligned approach.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 62% | BTTS probability 65% | Total xG 3.21. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 62% — the 3.21 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 65% reflects that both xG figures (1.60 / 1.61) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Analysis Verdict
The Poisson model's preferred outcome is the draw at 26% — neither side is more likely to win than to draw. Draw-inclusive markets are the most model-aligned approach. Home win at 37% and away win at 37% are close enough that backing either outright carries significant draw exposure.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.21 combined xG gives a 62% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 3.1 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 65% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: FC Volendam 80% | Feyenoord 40% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 37% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: FC Volendam vs Feyenoord | Competition: Eredivisie, Regular Season - 29 | Venue: Kras Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 5 Apr 2026, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: FC Volendam 37% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 37% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 62% | BTTS 65% | xG FC Volendam 1.60 / Feyenoord 1.61 • Poisson strength factors: FC Volendam attack 0.930 / def 1.094 | Feyenoord attack 1.114 / def 0.998 | league avg home 1.726 / away 1.320 • Poisson stance: Draw (26%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.60
FC Volendam xG
Expected Goals
1.61
Feyenoord xG
65%
BTTS
84%
Over 1.5
62%
Over 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does FC Volendam vs Feyenoord kick off?
FC Volendam vs Feyenoord kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 5 April 2026 at Kras Stadion.
What was the final score in FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
FC Volendam 0 - 0 Feyenoord.
Where is FC Volendam vs Feyenoord being played?
The match is being played at Kras Stadion.
What competition is FC Volendam vs Feyenoord part of?
FC Volendam vs Feyenoord is a Regular Season - 29 fixture in the Eredivisie (Netherlands).
Who is favourite to win FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Our statistical model gives FC Volendam a 37% chance of winning, Feyenoord a 37% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw, making this a very evenly-matched fixture.
Will both teams score in FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Our model estimates a 65% probability that both FC Volendam and Feyenoord will score (BTTS).
Will FC Volendam vs Feyenoord have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 62%.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Volendam and Feyenoord?
Record (5 meetings): FC Volendam 0W | Draws 1 | Feyenoord 4W.
What form are FC Volendam and Feyenoord in?
FC Volendam (all comps): 4W-1D-5L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-W-L-L-L. Feyenoord (all comps): 5W-2D-3L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 1.70 / GA 1.70 | L5 W-L-D-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from FC Volendam's attack rating (0.93) and Feyenoord's defence rating (1.00), the model arrives at 1.60 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Feyenoord's attack versus FC Volendam's defence, projects 1.61 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 28/62 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 11.7%. Close behind: 1-2 (8.4%), 2-1 (8.3%). Together the top three scorelines make up 28% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Feyenoord Win
37%
2.72
26%
3.82
37%
2.70
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.4%
Away win
2 – 1
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.60
FC Volendam xG
Total xG
3.21
1.61
Feyenoord xG
2.72
37%
Home win
3.82
26%
Draw
2.70
37%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
62%
Over 2.5
1.61
38%
Under 2.5
2.63
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.53
35%
BTTS No
2.88
Clean Sheet
20%
5.00
20%
4.96
Win to Nil
7%
13.60
7%
13.40
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.5 | 10.4 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 8.3 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.7%.
How many goals are FC Volendam and Feyenoord expected to score?
The model projects 1.60 expected goals for FC Volendam and 1.61 for Feyenoord, a combined total of 3.21.
How confident is the prediction model for FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 37%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
FC Volendam's recent record stands at 32W 10D 20L from 62 games, a 1.71 PPG return, with L-W-L-L-L in the last five.
Feyenoord, meanwhile, have gone 36W 13D 13L across 62 games — 1.95 PPG, with W-L-D-W-D in their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: FC Volendam on 1.71 PPG, Feyenoord on 1.95. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, FC Volendam have managed 19W 4D 7L from 30 games — 2.03 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Feyenoord's away record stands at 15W 8D 7L across 30 trips, a 1.77 PPG haul.
The Goals Picture
FC Volendam are averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game recently; Feyenoord are on 2.21 scored and 1.26 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: FC Volendam have seen both teams score in 63% of their recent games; Feyenoord in 61%.
Last 62 Results — Eredivisie
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
FC Volendam
Current Season
Feyenoord
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are FC Volendam and Feyenoord in coming into this match?
FC Volendam have gone 32W 10D 20L in their last 62 games (1.71 PPG), while Feyenoord have gone 36W 13D 13L in their last 62 (1.95 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — FC Volendam at home or Feyenoord away?
FC Volendam's home record (2.03 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — FC Volendam at home: 2.03 PPG; Feyenoord away: 1.77 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between FC Volendam and Feyenoord runs to 6 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to November 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Eredivisie. They last met on 5 April 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
FC Volendam's record when hosting Feyenoord specifically: 0W 2D 1L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
0
FC Volendam
2
Draws
4
Feyenoord
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between FC Volendam and Feyenoord?
From 6 meetings on record, FC Volendam have won 0, Feyenoord have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did FC Volendam and Feyenoord last play each other?
They last met on 5 April 2026, when FC Volendam 0-0 Feyenoord.
Who has won more matches between FC Volendam and Feyenoord?
Feyenoord have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
FC Volendam are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 77% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
Feyenoord are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 90% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — FC Volendam at 73%, Feyenoord at 57%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 80% for FC Volendam and 60% for Feyenoord. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 43% and 40% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = FC Volendam home games / Feyenoord away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when FC Volendam play Feyenoord?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 73% of FC Volendam's games and 57% of Feyenoord's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is FC Volendam vs Feyenoord usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% of FC Volendam's matches and 60% of Feyenoord's.
Do FC Volendam and Feyenoord tend to score early?
FC Volendam have had a goal before half-time in 77% of their recent matches, Feyenoord in 90% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at FC Volendam's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
FC Volendam and Feyenoord finished level at 0-0 at Kras Stadion, Regular Season - 29, in the Eredivisie. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Volendam 1.60 xG and Feyenoord 1.61 xG, a combined 3.21. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. FC Volendam fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Feyenoord landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Volendam attack 0.93 / defence 1.09 against Feyenoord attack 1.11 / defence 1.00, drawn from 28/62 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it FC Volendam 37% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 37%, with FC Volendam to win its most likely call at 37%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 84% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 65% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Volendam 71%, Feyenoord 61%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
FC Volendam's trading profile (62 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.
Feyenoord's trading profile (62 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — FC Volendam 1.71 PPG, Feyenoord 1.95 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. FC Volendam (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.23 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.27 average — tighter than their form line. Feyenoord (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.13 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.30 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.