Bohemians 1905 0-0 Slovan Liberec – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Bohemians 1905 at 40%, yet other data sources diverge — this Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec meet at Stadion Ďolíček in Czech Liga, Regular Season - 28. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 9 April 2022 at 15:00 UTC.
Current Form
Bohemians 1905's overall Czech Liga record this term: 1W 3D 6L from 10 games (0.60 PPG). Last five: L D D L D. They are averaging 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.60 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Bohemians 1905, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Stadion Ďolíček, Bohemians 1905 have gone 4W 1D 5L this season (10 games, 1.30 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.30 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.60 — Bohemians 1905 are significantly better at Stadion Ďolíček than their overall form suggests.
Slovan Liberec have collected 1.00 PPG across 10 Czech Liga outings this season: 2W 4D 4L. Last five: D W W L L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Slovan Liberec, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Czech Liga this season, Slovan Liberec have posted 3W 2D 5L from 10 away outings — 1.10 PPG. Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 0.60 PPG for Bohemians 1905 against 1.00 for Slovan Liberec. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using home/away splits) — Bohemians 1905 have seen both teams score in 60% of their games, Slovan Liberec in 60%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
Trading Data
Bohemians 1905 goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (27 games, 13 at home): they score before half-time in 92% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 60% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 69% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 69% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 37%.
Slovan Liberec goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (27 games, 13 at away): they score before half-time in 92% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (away games); they fail to score in 41% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Bohemians 1905 63% versus Slovan Liberec 44%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Bohemians 1905 63% | Slovan Liberec 37%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Bohemians 1905 1.35 xG and Slovan Liberec 1.21 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Bohemians 1905 attack 0.958 / defence 1.347 | Slovan Liberec attack 0.775 / defence 1.286. League average goals — home 1.098 / away 1.160. Slovan Liberec bring a strong defensive rating of 1.286 — this is suppressing Bohemians 1905's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 27 Bohemians 1905 games / 27 Slovan Liberec games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Bohemians 1905 40% | Draw 27% | Slovan Liberec 33%. Fair-value odds: Bohemians 1905 2.50 | Draw 3.70 | Slovan Liberec 3.03. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 27% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 47% | BTTS probability 52% | Total xG 2.56. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 47%/53% — the total xG of 2.56 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 52% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Bohemians 1905 at 40% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 27% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Bohemians 1905 if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.56 combined xG gives a 47% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration — though form averaging only 2.9 goals per game points in the other direction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 52%. Form rates corroborate: Bohemians 1905 60% | Slovan Liberec 60% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec | Competition: Czech Liga, Regular Season - 28 | Venue: Stadion Ďolíček • Kick-off: Saturday 9 Apr 2022, 15:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Bohemians 1905 40% | Draw 27% | Slovan Liberec 33% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 47% | BTTS 52% | xG Bohemians 1905 1.35 / Slovan Liberec 1.21 • Poisson strength factors: Bohemians 1905 attack 0.958 / def 1.347 | Slovan Liberec attack 0.775 / def 1.286 | league avg home 1.098 / away 1.160 • Poisson stance: Bohemians 1905 (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.35
Bohemians 1905 xG
Expected Goals
1.21
Slovan Liberec xG
52%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec kick off?
Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec kicked off at 15:00 on Saturday 9 April 2022 at Stadion Ďolíček.
What was the final score in Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec?
Bohemians 1905 0 - 0 Slovan Liberec.
Where is Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec being played?
The match is being played at Stadion Ďolíček.
What competition is Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec part of?
Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec is a Regular Season - 28 fixture in the Czech Liga (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec?
Our statistical model gives Bohemians 1905 a 40% chance of winning, Slovan Liberec a 33% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Bohemians 1905 the favourite.
Will both teams score in Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec will score (BTTS).
Will Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 47%.
What is the head-to-head record between Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec in?
Bohemians 1905 (all comps): 1W-3D-6L in 10 | 0.60 PPG | GF 0.70 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-D-D-L-D. Slovan Liberec (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.20 | L5 D-W-W-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from Bohemians 1905's attack rating (0.96) and Slovan Liberec's defence rating (1.29), the model arrives at 1.35 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Slovan Liberec's attack (0.78x) against Bohemians 1905's defence (1.35x) — and the away total comes out at 1.21.
These ratings are built from 27/27 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.3%. Close behind: 0-0 (9.3%), 1-0 (8.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Bohemians 1905 Win
40%
2.50
27%
3.77
33%
2.99
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.4%
Home win
0 – 1
9.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.35
Bohemians 1905 xG
Total xG
2.56
1.21
Slovan Liberec xG
2.50
40%
Home win
3.77
27%
Draw
2.99
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.92
48%
BTTS No
2.09
Clean Sheet
30%
3.36
26%
3.87
Win to Nil
12%
8.39
9%
11.56
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 9.3 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.4 | 12.6 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 8.5 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.3%.
How many goals are Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec expected to score?
The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Bohemians 1905 and 1.21 for Slovan Liberec, a combined total of 2.56.
How confident is the prediction model for Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Bohemians 1905 come into this having played 27 games, going 6W 6D 15L for 0.89 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-D-L-D. The sample for Bohemians 1905 is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Slovan Liberec sit at 1.22 PPG from 27 outings (9W 6D 12L), a run that reads D-W-W-L-L across their last five. The sample for Slovan Liberec is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.89 PPG for Bohemians 1905 against 1.22 for Slovan Liberec. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
Bohemians 1905's home form reads 5W 2D 6L across 13 games on their own ground, a 1.31 PPG return. That's noticeably better than their 0.89 PPG overall — Bohemians 1905 are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
Away from home, Slovan Liberec have taken 1.00 points per game from 13 outings (3W 4D 6L).
Attack vs Defence
Bohemians 1905 are averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.96 conceded per game recently; Slovan Liberec are on 1.00 scored and 1.30 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Bohemians 1905 have seen both teams score in 63% of their recent games.
Last 27 Results — Czech Liga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Bohemians 1905
Blended
Slovan Liberec
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec in coming into this match?
Bohemians 1905 have gone 6W 6D 15L in their last 27 games (0.89 PPG), while Slovan Liberec have gone 9W 6D 12L in their last 27 (1.22 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Bohemians 1905 at home or Slovan Liberec away?
Bohemians 1905's home record (1.31 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Bohemians 1905 at home: 1.31 PPG; Slovan Liberec away: 1.00 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to September 2022 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 3 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Czech Liga. They last met on 7 March 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Notable Numbers
The last 2 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Bohemians 1905 won 4-1 on 4 May 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Bohemians 1905 have gone 1W 3D 1L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Slovan Liberec — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
3
Bohemians 1905
5
Draws
2
Slovan Liberec
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec?
From 10 meetings on record, Bohemians 1905 have won 3, Slovan Liberec have won 2, and 5 have been drawn.
When did Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec last play each other?
They last met on 7 March 2026, when Bohemians 1905 0-0 Slovan Liberec.
Who has won more matches between Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec?
Bohemians 1905 have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Bohemians 1905 are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 92% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 62% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 23% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Slovan Liberec are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 92% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 31% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 23% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 69% for Bohemians 1905, 62% for Slovan Liberec — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 69% (Bohemians 1905) and 46% (Slovan Liberec). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 31% and 23% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Slovan Liberec in 31%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Bohemians 1905 home games / Slovan Liberec away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Bohemians 1905 play Slovan Liberec?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 69% of Bohemians 1905's games and 62% of Slovan Liberec's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Bohemians 1905 vs Slovan Liberec usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 69% of Bohemians 1905's matches and 46% of Slovan Liberec's.
Do Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec tend to score early?
Bohemians 1905 have had a goal before half-time in 92% of their recent matches, Slovan Liberec in 92% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Bohemians 1905's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Stadion Ďolíček, Regular Season - 28, as Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec drew 0-0 in the Czech Liga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Bohemians 1905 1.35 xG and Slovan Liberec 1.21 xG, a combined 2.56. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Bohemians 1905 fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Slovan Liberec landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bohemians 1905 attack 0.96 / defence 1.35 against Slovan Liberec attack 0.78 / defence 1.29, drawn from 27/27 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Bohemians 1905 40% | Draw 27% | Slovan Liberec 33%, with Bohemians 1905 to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Bohemians 1905 63%, Slovan Liberec 37%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Bohemians 1905's trading profile (27 games, 13 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 26% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Slovan Liberec's trading profile (27 games, 13 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 41% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Bohemians 1905 0.89 PPG, Slovan Liberec 1.22 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Bohemians 1905 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.62 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.62 average — tighter than their form line. Slovan Liberec (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.08 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.54 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.