Artis 0-0 Slovan Liberec – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Slovan Liberec at 73% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Artis vs Slovan Liberec encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Artis host Slovan Liberec at Stadion SK Lisen in Czech Liga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:00 UTC.
Form Guide
Artis — All Games: 1W 1D 8L from 10 Czech Liga outings this season, averaging 0.40 points per game. Last five: L L W L L. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 2.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.50 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Artis, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Artis at Stadion SK Lisen this season: 0W 0D 5L from 5 home games — 0.00 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 0.80 goals scored and 3.40 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Across all Czech Liga games this season, Slovan Liberec have recorded 6W 1D 3L from 10 outings — 1.90 PPG. Last five: D W W W W. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 0.80 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Defensively, 0.80 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. This season is still relatively young for Slovan Liberec, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Slovan Liberec's away record: 5W 1D 4L from 10 road trips in Czech Liga this season (1.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. Slovan Liberec are 1.50 PPG ahead (1.90 vs 0.40), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
Trading Patterns
Artis in-play and half-time data (10 games, 5 at home): they score before half-time in 100% of fixtures in home games; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 100% of games (home games); they fail to score in 40% of games.
Slovan Liberec in-play and half-time data (10 games, 5 at away): they score before half-time in 40% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (away games); they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Artis 60% versus Slovan Liberec 40%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Artis 80% | Slovan Liberec 40%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Artis 0.70 xG and Slovan Liberec 2.31 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Artis attack 0.647 / defence 1.663 | Slovan Liberec attack 1.102 / defence 0.737. League average goals — home 1.480 / away 1.262. Artis's attack strength of 0.647 is below the league average — the 0.70 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Slovan Liberec's defence strength of 0.737 is below average — they are conceding at a rate that inflates the home xG figure. Data: 8 Artis games / 38 Slovan Liberec games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Artis 9% | Draw 18% | Slovan Liberec 73%. Fair-value odds: Artis 11.11 | Draw 5.56 | Slovan Liberec 1.37. The model has a clear lean to Slovan Liberec (73%) — a 64pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 58% | BTTS probability 46% | Total xG 3.02. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 58% — the 3.02 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 46% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Slovan Liberec are the pick at 73% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 18% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.02 combined xG gives a 58% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 3.2 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 46% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Artis 60% | Slovan Liberec 50%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Artis vs Slovan Liberec | Competition: Czech Liga, Regular Season - 9 | Venue: Stadion SK Lisen • Kick-off: Saturday 19 Sep 2026, 13:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Artis 9% | Draw 18% | Slovan Liberec 73% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 58% | BTTS 46% | xG Artis 0.70 / Slovan Liberec 2.31 • Poisson strength factors: Artis attack 0.647 / def 1.663 | Slovan Liberec attack 1.102 / def 0.737 | league avg home 1.480 / away 1.262 • Poisson stance: Slovan Liberec (73%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.70
Artis xG
Expected Goals
2.31
Slovan Liberec xG
46%
BTTS
81%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Artis vs Slovan Liberec kick off?
Artis vs Slovan Liberec kicked off at 13:00 on Saturday 19 September 2026 at Stadion SK Lisen.
What was the final score in Artis vs Slovan Liberec?
Artis 0 - 0 Slovan Liberec.
Where is Artis vs Slovan Liberec being played?
The match is being played at Stadion SK Lisen.
What competition is Artis vs Slovan Liberec part of?
Artis vs Slovan Liberec is a Regular Season - 9 fixture in the Czech Liga (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win Artis vs Slovan Liberec?
Our statistical model gives Artis a 9% chance of winning, Slovan Liberec a 73% chance, and a 18% chance of a draw — making Slovan Liberec the favourite.
Will both teams score in Artis vs Slovan Liberec?
Our model estimates a 46% probability that both Artis and Slovan Liberec will score (BTTS).
Will Artis vs Slovan Liberec have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 58%.
What is the head-to-head record between Artis and Slovan Liberec?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Artis and Slovan Liberec in?
Artis (all comps): 1W-1D-8L in 10 | 0.40 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 2.50 | L5 L-L-W-L-L. Slovan Liberec (all comps): 6W-1D-3L in 10 | 1.90 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 0.80 | L5 D-W-W-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Artis's attack at 0.65x the league average against Slovan Liberec's defence at 0.74x — combine the two and it projects 0.70 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Slovan Liberec's attack versus Artis's defence, projects 2.31 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 8/38 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 0-2 carries the highest individual probability at 13.1% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-1 (10.3%), 0-3 (10.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Slovan Liberec Win
9%
11.09
18%
5.55
73%
1.37
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 2
13.1%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 1
11.3%
Away win
0 – 3
10.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.70
Artis xG
Total xG
3.02
2.31
Slovan Liberec xG
11.09
9%
Home win
5.55
18%
Draw
1.37
73%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.16
54%
BTTS No
1.86
Clean Sheet
10%
10.11
49%
2.02
Win to Nil
1%
112.14
36%
2.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 11.3 | 13.1 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 2.7 |
| 1 | 3.4 | 8.0 | 9.2 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 2 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Artis vs Slovan Liberec?
Our Poisson model rates 0-2 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.1%.
How many goals are Artis and Slovan Liberec expected to score?
The model projects 0.70 expected goals for Artis and 2.31 for Slovan Liberec, a combined total of 3.02.
How confident is the prediction model for Artis vs Slovan Liberec?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 73%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 10 outings, Artis have picked up 0.40 PPG on a 1W 1D 8L record — L-L-W-L-L across the most recent five. The sample for Artis is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Slovan Liberec's form line: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games, 1.90 PPG, last five D-W-W-W-W. The sample for Slovan Liberec is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Slovan Liberec are the form team by 1.50 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Artis.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Artis have posted 0.00 PPG from 5 outings (0W 0D 5L). That actually lags their 0.40 PPG overall record — home advantage hasn't been translating into results for them lately.
On the road, Slovan Liberec have gone 4W 0D 1L from 5 away games — 2.40 PPG when travelling. That's actually stronger than their 1.90 PPG overall record — Slovan Liberec travel well.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Slovan Liberec come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Artis are averaging 0.80 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game recently; Slovan Liberec are on 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Artis have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games.
Defensively: Slovan Liberec in 40% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 10 Results — Czech Liga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Artis
Blended
Slovan Liberec
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Artis and Slovan Liberec in coming into this match?
Artis have gone 1W 1D 8L in their last 10 games (0.40 PPG), while Slovan Liberec have gone 6W 1D 3L in their last 10 (1.90 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Artis at home or Slovan Liberec away?
Slovan Liberec's away record (2.40 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Artis at home: 0.00 PPG; Slovan Liberec away: 2.40 PPG.
Have Artis or Slovan Liberec been keeping clean sheets recently?
Artis have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their recent games, Slovan Liberec in 40%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Artis and Slovan Liberec runs to 1 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to September 2026. Every recorded meeting has come in Czech Liga. The two were last together as recently as 19 September 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Last 1 Meetings
0
Artis
1
Draws
0
Slovan Liberec
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Artis and Slovan Liberec?
From 1 meetings on record, Artis have won 0, Slovan Liberec have won 0, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Artis and Slovan Liberec last play each other?
They last met on 19 September 2026, when Artis 0-0 Slovan Liberec.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Artis are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches.
Slovan Liberec see a goal before the break in 40% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Artis 60%, Slovan Liberec 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 100% for Artis and 60% for Slovan Liberec. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 60% and 20% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Slovan Liberec in 40%; Artis have failed to score in 40% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Artis home games / Slovan Liberec away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Artis play Slovan Liberec?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 60% of Artis's games and 60% of Slovan Liberec's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Artis vs Slovan Liberec usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 100% of Artis's matches and 60% of Slovan Liberec's.
Do Artis and Slovan Liberec tend to score early?
Artis have had a goal before half-time in 100% of their recent matches, Slovan Liberec in 40% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Artis's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Artis and Slovan Liberec finished level at 0-0 at Stadion SK Lisen, Regular Season - 9, in the Czech Liga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Artis 0.70 xG and Slovan Liberec 2.31 xG, a combined 3.02. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Slovan Liberec landed 2.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Artis attack 0.65 / defence 1.66 against Slovan Liberec attack 1.10 / defence 0.74, drawn from 8/38 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Artis 9% | Draw 18% | Slovan Liberec 73%, with Slovan Liberec to win its most likely call at 73%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 18% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 81% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Artis 80%, Slovan Liberec 40%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Artis's trading profile (10 games, 5 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Slovan Liberec's trading profile (10 games, 5 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Slovan Liberec arrived the stronger side — 1.90 PPG against 0.40. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Artis (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.80 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 3.40 average — tighter than their form line. Slovan Liberec (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.60 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.80 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.