SK Beveren 0-0 Patro Eisden – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Patro Eisden at 40% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Patro Eisden make the trip to Freethielstadion to face SK Beveren in Challenger Pro League, Regular Season - 13. The match kicks off on Saturday 30 November 2024 at 19:00 UTC.
Form
SK Beveren (all games): 3W 3D 4L across 10 Challenger Pro League fixtures this term — 1.20 PPG. Last five: L D L W W. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes. This season is still relatively young for SK Beveren, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Freethielstadion, SK Beveren have gone 5W 2D 3L this season (10 games, 1.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their home PPG of 1.70 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.20 — SK Beveren are significantly better at Freethielstadion than their overall form suggests.
Patro Eisden's overall Challenger Pro League record this term: 5W 4D 1L from 10 games (1.90 PPG). Last five: L D D W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.20 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. This season is still relatively young for Patro Eisden, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Challenger Pro League this season, Patro Eisden have posted 4W 4D 2L from 10 away outings — 1.60 PPG. Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 away clean sheets from 10 games (60%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
On a straight form reading, Patro Eisden are the stronger side — 0.70 PPG clear of the hosts (1.90 vs 1.20). Backing them with draw insurance is the conservative play if the outright away price appears short.
H2H History
Form and model data should carry more weight here — the historical record is too balanced to provide a directional steer. From 2 meetings: SK Beveren 0W, Patro Eisden 2W, 0D.
The 2 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 15 Mar 2024, ended 0–1 with Patro Eisden winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading & In-Play
SK Beveren — key trading statistics (42 games, 20 at home): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 64% of the time; BTTS occurs in 55% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 65% of games (home games); they fail to score in 31% of games.
Patro Eisden — key trading statistics (42 games, 20 at away): they score before half-time in 55% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 46% of the time; BTTS occurs in 30% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 35% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 36%; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time; they fail to score in 33% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SK Beveren 48% versus Patro Eisden 43%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SK Beveren 55% | Patro Eisden 55%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SK Beveren 1.06 xG and Patro Eisden 1.24 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SK Beveren attack 1.059 / defence 0.807 | Patro Eisden attack 1.086 / defence 0.698. League average goals — home 1.436 / away 1.417. Patro Eisden's defence strength of 0.698 is below average — they are conceding at a rate that inflates the home xG figure. Data: 42 SK Beveren games / 42 Patro Eisden games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SK Beveren 31% | Draw 28% | Patro Eisden 40%. Fair-value odds: SK Beveren 3.23 | Draw 3.57 | Patro Eisden 2.50. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 40% | BTTS probability 47% | Total xG 2.30. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 60% — total xG of 2.30 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 47% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Patro Eisden are the pick at 40% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Patro Eisden if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.30 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 40% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
Poisson assigns a 47% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: SK Beveren 50% | Patro Eisden 30% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden | Competition: Challenger Pro League, Regular Season - 13 | Venue: Freethielstadion • Kick-off: Saturday 30 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SK Beveren 31% | Draw 28% | Patro Eisden 40% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 40% | BTTS 47% | xG SK Beveren 1.06 / Patro Eisden 1.24 • Poisson strength factors: SK Beveren attack 1.059 / def 0.807 | Patro Eisden attack 1.086 / def 0.698 | league avg home 1.436 / away 1.417 • Poisson stance: Patro Eisden (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
1.06
SK Beveren xG
Expected Goals
1.24
Patro Eisden xG
47%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden kick off?
SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden kicked off at 19:00 on Saturday 30 November 2024 at Freethielstadion.
What was the final score in SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden?
SK Beveren 0 - 0 Patro Eisden.
Where is SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden being played?
The match is being played at Freethielstadion.
What competition is SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden part of?
SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden is a Regular Season - 13 fixture in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium).
Who is favourite to win SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden?
Our statistical model gives SK Beveren a 31% chance of winning, Patro Eisden a 40% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Patro Eisden the favourite.
Will both teams score in SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden?
Our model estimates a 47% probability that both SK Beveren and Patro Eisden will score (BTTS).
Will SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 40%.
What is the head-to-head record between SK Beveren and Patro Eisden?
Record (2 meetings): SK Beveren 0W | Draws 0 | Patro Eisden 2W.
What form are SK Beveren and Patro Eisden in?
SK Beveren (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-D-L-W-W. Patro Eisden (all comps): 5W-4D-1L in 10 | 1.90 PPG | GF 2.20 / GA 1.00 | L5 L-D-D-W-W.
What do the betting odds say about SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden?
Odds data is not currently available for this fixture.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
SK Beveren's attacking strength (1.06x league average) is weighed against Patro Eisden's defensive record (0.70x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.06. Flip it around — Patro Eisden's attack (1.09x) against SK Beveren's defence (0.81x) — and the away total comes out at 1.24.
These ratings are built from 42/42 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.9%. Close behind: 0-0 (11.7%), 0-1 (10.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Patro Eisden Win
31%
3.18
28%
3.55
40%
2.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
12.4%
Away win
1 – 0
10.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.06
SK Beveren xG
Total xG
2.30
1.24
Patro Eisden xG
3.18
31%
Home win
3.55
28%
Draw
2.48
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.15
53%
BTTS No
1.87
Clean Sheet
29%
3.46
35%
2.89
Win to Nil
9%
11.01
14%
7.16
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 12.4 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 13.2 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.9%.
How many goals are SK Beveren and Patro Eisden expected to score?
The model projects 1.06 expected goals for SK Beveren and 1.24 for Patro Eisden, a combined total of 2.30.
How confident is the prediction model for SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
SK Beveren's recent record stands at 17W 10D 15L from 42 games, a 1.45 PPG return, with L-D-L-W-W in the last five. The sample for SK Beveren is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Patro Eisden, meanwhile, have gone 19W 14D 9L across 42 games — 1.69 PPG, with L-D-D-W-W in their last five. The sample for Patro Eisden is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.45 PPG for SK Beveren against 1.69 for Patro Eisden. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, SK Beveren have managed 10W 4D 6L from 20 games — 1.70 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Patro Eisden's away record stands at 8W 9D 3L across 20 trips, a 1.65 PPG haul.
Attack vs Defence
SK Beveren are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game recently; Patro Eisden are on 1.50 scored and 1.02 conceded.
Defensively: Patro Eisden in 40% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 42 Results — Challenger Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SK Beveren
Blended
Patro Eisden
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SK Beveren and Patro Eisden in coming into this match?
SK Beveren have gone 17W 10D 15L in their last 42 games (1.45 PPG), while Patro Eisden have gone 19W 14D 9L in their last 42 (1.69 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SK Beveren at home or Patro Eisden away?
SK Beveren's home record (1.70 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SK Beveren at home: 1.70 PPG; Patro Eisden away: 1.65 PPG.
Have SK Beveren or Patro Eisden been keeping clean sheets recently?
SK Beveren have kept a clean sheet in 31% of their recent games, Patro Eisden in 40%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 8 times that we have on record, stretching back to August 2023 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 2 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Challenger Pro League. They last met on 22 February 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Notable Numbers
There's a clear current trend here: SK Beveren have taken the last 2 head-to-head results.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: SK Beveren won 1-4 on 22 Feb 2026, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, SK Beveren have gone 1W 1D 2L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Patro Eisden — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
3
SK Beveren
1
Draws
4
Patro Eisden
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SK Beveren and Patro Eisden?
From 8 meetings on record, SK Beveren have won 3, Patro Eisden have won 4, and 1 have been drawn.
When did SK Beveren and Patro Eisden last play each other?
They last met on 22 February 2026, when Patro Eisden 1-4 SK Beveren.
Who has won more matches between SK Beveren and Patro Eisden?
Patro Eisden have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
SK Beveren are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time.
Patro Eisden see a goal before the break in 55% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 35% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SK Beveren 55%, Patro Eisden 30% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 65% (SK Beveren) and 35% (Patro Eisden).
On the defensive side: Patro Eisden in 60%; Patro Eisden in 40%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SK Beveren home games / Patro Eisden away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SK Beveren play Patro Eisden?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 55% of SK Beveren's recent matches and 30% of Patro Eisden's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is SK Beveren vs Patro Eisden usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 65% of SK Beveren's recent games and 35% of Patro Eisden's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do SK Beveren and Patro Eisden tend to score early?
SK Beveren have had a goal before half-time in 75% of their recent matches, Patro Eisden in 55% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at SK Beveren's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Freethielstadion, Regular Season - 13, as SK Beveren and Patro Eisden drew 0-0 in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SK Beveren 1.06 xG and Patro Eisden 1.24 xG, a combined 2.30. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. SK Beveren fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Patro Eisden landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SK Beveren attack 1.06 / defence 0.81 against Patro Eisden attack 1.09 / defence 0.70, drawn from 42/42 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SK Beveren 31% | Draw 28% | Patro Eisden 40%, with Patro Eisden to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 67% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SK Beveren 55%, Patro Eisden 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 45%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SK Beveren's trading profile (42 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 31% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Patro Eisden's trading profile (42 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 43% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — SK Beveren 1.45 PPG, Patro Eisden 1.69 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. SK Beveren (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.70 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.25 average — tighter than their form line. Patro Eisden (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.05 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.