SCR Altach 0-0 Wolfsberger AC – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Wolfsberger AC at 41%, yet other data sources diverge — this SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 11 sees Wolfsberger AC travel to CASHPOINT Arena to take on SCR Altach. The game is scheduled for Sunday 22 October 2023, 13:30 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Bundesliga games this season, SCR Altach have gone 3W 3D 4L from 10 outings — a 1.20 PPG return. Last five: L D W D L. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at CASHPOINT Arena, SCR Altach have gone 3W 2D 5L this season (10 games, 1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game.
Wolfsberger AC — All Games: 3W 4D 3L from 10 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.30 PPG. Last five: L D W W L. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 1.70. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. This season is still relatively young for Wolfsberger AC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Wolfsberger AC away from home this season: 5W 4D 1L from 10 away games — 1.90 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. Their away PPG of 1.90 exceeds their overall 1.30 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.20 PPG (SCR Altach) versus 1.30 (Wolfsberger AC). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
Trading Patterns
SCR Altach in-play and half-time data (42 games, 20 at home): they score before half-time in 65% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; BTTS occurs in 55% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 40% of games (home games); they fail to score in 38% of games.
Wolfsberger AC in-play and half-time data (42 games, 20 at away): they score before half-time in 85% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 65% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 75% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 40%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — SCR Altach 50% and Wolfsberger AC 71% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 48% | Wolfsberger AC 76%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 1.31 xG and Wolfsberger AC 1.58 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 0.950 / defence 0.963 | Wolfsberger AC attack 1.184 / defence 1.137. League average goals — home 1.212 / away 1.390. Data: 32 SCR Altach games / 32 Wolfsberger AC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 29% | Draw 30% | Wolfsberger AC 41%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 3.45 | Draw 3.33 | Wolfsberger AC 2.44. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 55% | BTTS probability 61% | Total xG 2.89. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 55% — the 2.89 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 61% reflects that both xG figures (1.31 / 1.58) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Wolfsberger AC as the most likely outcome at 41% — marginal model lean. With a 30% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Wolfsberger AC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.89 combined xG gives a 55% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 61% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: SCR Altach 50% | Wolfsberger AC 50%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 11 | Venue: CASHPOINT Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 22 Oct 2023, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 29% | Draw 30% | Wolfsberger AC 41% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 55% | BTTS 61% | xG SCR Altach 1.31 / Wolfsberger AC 1.58 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 0.950 / def 0.963 | Wolfsberger AC attack 1.184 / def 1.137 | league avg home 1.212 / away 1.390 • Poisson stance: Wolfsberger AC (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.31
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
1.58
Wolfsberger AC xG
61%
BTTS
81%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC kick off?
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 22 October 2023 at CASHPOINT Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
SCR Altach 0 - 0 Wolfsberger AC.
Where is SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC being played?
The match is being played at CASHPOINT Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC part of?
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC is a Regular Season - 11 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 29% chance of winning, Wolfsberger AC a 41% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Wolfsberger AC the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our model estimates a 61% probability that both SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 55%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.20 | L5 L-D-W-D-L. Wolfsberger AC (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.70 | L5 L-D-W-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates SCR Altach's attack at 0.95x the league average against Wolfsberger AC's defence at 1.14x — combine the two and it projects 1.31 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Wolfsberger AC's attack versus SCR Altach's defence, projects 1.58 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 32/32 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 13.0% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-2 (9.1%), 2-1 (7.5%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Wolfsberger AC Win
29%
3.45
30%
3.35
41%
2.43
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.1%
Away win
0 – 1
8.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.31
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.89
1.58
Wolfsberger AC xG
3.45
29%
Home win
3.35
30%
Draw
2.43
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.54
Clean Sheet
21%
4.87
27%
3.71
Win to Nil
6%
16.83
11%
9.00
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 8.8 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 11.5 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.0%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC expected to score?
The model projects 1.31 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.58 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined total of 2.89.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
SCR Altach come into this having played 42 games, going 9W 13D 20L for 0.95 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-W-D-L. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Wolfsberger AC sit at 1.29 PPG from 42 outings (15W 9D 18L), a run that reads L-D-W-W-L across their last five. The sample for Wolfsberger AC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: SCR Altach on 0.95 PPG, Wolfsberger AC on 1.29. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
SCR Altach's home form reads 5W 5D 10L across 20 games on their own ground, a 1.00 PPG return.
Away from home, Wolfsberger AC have taken 1.75 points per game from 20 outings (10W 5D 5L). That's actually stronger than their 1.29 PPG overall record — Wolfsberger AC travel well.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Wolfsberger AC come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
SCR Altach are averaging 0.90 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game recently; Wolfsberger AC are on 1.57 scored and 1.64 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Wolfsberger AC in 71%.
Last 42 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Blended
Wolfsberger AC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 9W 13D 20L in their last 42 games (0.95 PPG), while Wolfsberger AC have gone 15W 9D 18L in their last 42 (1.29 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or Wolfsberger AC away?
Wolfsberger AC's away record (1.75 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 1.00 PPG; Wolfsberger AC away: 1.75 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 4 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 4 May 2026, when Wolfsberger AC won 1-4 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
SCR Altach's record when hosting Wolfsberger AC specifically: 2W 1D 2L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
SCR Altach
4
Draws
3
Wolfsberger AC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 3, Wolfsberger AC have won 3, and 4 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC last play each other?
They last met on 4 May 2026, when SCR Altach 1-4 Wolfsberger AC.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 65% of their matches.
Wolfsberger AC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 85% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 30% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 55%, Wolfsberger AC 65% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 40% (SCR Altach) and 75% (Wolfsberger AC). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 20% and 55% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: SCR Altach have failed to score in 30% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / Wolfsberger AC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play Wolfsberger AC?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 55% of SCR Altach's games and 65% of Wolfsberger AC's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 40% of SCR Altach's matches and 75% of Wolfsberger AC's.
Do SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 65% of their recent matches, Wolfsberger AC in 85% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at SCR Altach's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at CASHPOINT Arena, Regular Season - 11, as SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.31 xG and Wolfsberger AC 1.58 xG, a combined 2.89. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. SCR Altach fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Wolfsberger AC landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 0.95 / defence 0.96 against Wolfsberger AC attack 1.18 / defence 1.14, drawn from 32/32 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 29% | Draw 30% | Wolfsberger AC 41%, with Wolfsberger AC to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 81% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 48%, Wolfsberger AC 76%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (42 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 38% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Wolfsberger AC's trading profile (42 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — SCR Altach 0.95 PPG, Wolfsberger AC 1.29 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.95 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.40 average — tighter than their form line. Wolfsberger AC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.85 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.45 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.