Rapid Vienna 2-0 Wolfsberger AC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Rapid Vienna at 39%, yet other data sources diverge — this Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC meet at Allianz Stadion in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 20. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 UTC.
Current Form
Rapid Vienna's overall Bundesliga record this term: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games (0.90 PPG). Last five: L L D D L. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Rapid Vienna's home record at Allianz Stadion: 4W 2D 4L from 10 Bundesliga appearances (1.40 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Wolfsberger AC (all games): 2W 2D 6L across 10 Bundesliga outings this term — 0.80 points per game. Last five: L W L D L. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. This season is still relatively young for Wolfsberger AC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Bundesliga this season, Wolfsberger AC have posted 3W 3D 4L from 10 away outings — 1.20 PPG. Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 0.90 PPG for Rapid Vienna against 0.80 for Wolfsberger AC. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using home/away splits) — Rapid Vienna have seen both teams score in 60% of their games, Wolfsberger AC in 80%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
Head-to-Head
Neither side has dominated this fixture. The last 9 head-to-head meetings have produced 3 wins for Rapid Vienna, 4 for Wolfsberger AC and 2 draws — an even split that leaves the H2H largely neutral as a betting input.
Attacking output has been a hallmark of this fixture. At 3.4 goals per game across 9 meetings, the Over 2.5 has a statistically grounded case from the head-to-head record alone. The most recent clash, on 24 Aug 2025, ended 2–1 with Rapid Vienna winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.4 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading
Rapid Vienna half-time and goal-timing data (51 games, 25 at home): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; BTTS occurs in 48% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (home games).
Wolfsberger AC half-time and goal-timing data (51 games, 25 at away): they score before half-time in 88% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; BTTS occurs in 64% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Rapid Vienna 59% and Wolfsberger AC 65% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Rapid Vienna 53% | Wolfsberger AC 63%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Rapid Vienna 1.42 xG and Wolfsberger AC 1.32 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Rapid Vienna attack 0.948 / defence 1.091 | Wolfsberger AC attack 1.045 / defence 1.131. League average goals — home 1.322 / away 1.160. Data: 41 Rapid Vienna games / 41 Wolfsberger AC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 39% | Draw 26% | Wolfsberger AC 35%. Fair-value odds: Rapid Vienna 2.56 | Draw 3.85 | Wolfsberger AC 2.86. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 26% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 52% | BTTS probability 56% | Total xG 2.74. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 52%/48% — the total xG of 2.74 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 56% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Rapid Vienna as the most likely outcome at 39% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 26% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.74 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 52% probability — strong conviction, supported by form averaging 2.8 goals per game and H2H averaging 3.4 goals per meeting.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 56% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: Rapid Vienna 60% | Wolfsberger AC 80% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 20 | Venue: Allianz Stadion • Kick-off: Saturday 21 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 39% | Draw 26% | Wolfsberger AC 35% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 52% | BTTS 56% | xG Rapid Vienna 1.42 / Wolfsberger AC 1.32 • Poisson strength factors: Rapid Vienna attack 0.948 / def 1.091 | Wolfsberger AC attack 1.045 / def 1.131 | league avg home 1.322 / away 1.160 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (39%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.42
Rapid Vienna xG
Expected Goals
1.32
Wolfsberger AC xG
56%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
52%
Over 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC kick off?
Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 21 February 2026 at Allianz Stadion.
What was the final score in Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC?
Rapid Vienna 2 - 0 Wolfsberger AC.
Where is Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC being played?
The match is being played at Allianz Stadion.
What competition is Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC part of?
Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC is a Regular Season - 20 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our statistical model gives Rapid Vienna a 39% chance of winning, Wolfsberger AC a 35% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our model estimates a 56% probability that both Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC will score (BTTS).
Will Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC?
Record (9 meetings): Rapid Vienna 3W | Draws 2 | Wolfsberger AC 4W.
What form are Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC in?
Rapid Vienna (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.50 | L5 L-L-D-D-L. Wolfsberger AC (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-W-L-D-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Rapid Vienna's attacking strength (0.95x league average) is weighed against Wolfsberger AC's defensive record (1.13x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.42. Flip it around — Wolfsberger AC's attack (1.04x) against Rapid Vienna's defence (1.09x) — and the away total comes out at 1.32.
These ratings are built from 41/41 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.7%. Close behind: 2-1 (8.6%), 0-0 (8.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 30% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
39%
2.55
26%
3.84
35%
2.88
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.2%
Home win
2 – 1
8.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.42
Rapid Vienna xG
Total xG
2.74
1.32
Wolfsberger AC xG
2.55
39%
Home win
3.84
26%
Draw
2.88
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.79
44%
BTTS No
2.26
Clean Sheet
27%
3.75
24%
4.13
Win to Nil
10%
9.56
8%
11.87
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 12.1 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 8.6 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.7%.
How many goals are Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC expected to score?
The model projects 1.42 expected goals for Rapid Vienna and 1.32 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined total of 2.74.
How confident is the prediction model for Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 39%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Rapid Vienna come into this having played 51 games, going 19W 12D 20L for 1.35 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-D-D-L. The sample for Rapid Vienna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Wolfsberger AC sit at 1.57 PPG from 51 outings (23W 11D 17L), a run that reads L-W-L-D-L across their last five. The sample for Wolfsberger AC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.35 PPG for Rapid Vienna against 1.57 for Wolfsberger AC. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
Rapid Vienna's home form reads 13W 4D 8L across 25 games on their own ground, a 1.72 PPG return.
Away from home, Wolfsberger AC have taken 1.56 points per game from 25 outings (11W 6D 8L).
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Rapid Vienna are averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game recently; Wolfsberger AC are on 1.73 scored and 1.24 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Wolfsberger AC in 65%.
Last 51 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Rapid Vienna
Blended
Wolfsberger AC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC in coming into this match?
Rapid Vienna have gone 19W 12D 20L in their last 51 games (1.35 PPG), while Wolfsberger AC have gone 23W 11D 17L in their last 51 (1.57 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Rapid Vienna at home or Wolfsberger AC away?
Rapid Vienna's home record (1.72 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Rapid Vienna at home: 1.72 PPG; Wolfsberger AC away: 1.56 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 10 times since September 2022 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 21 February 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
Rapid Vienna have won the last 2 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Wolfsberger AC won 5-1 on 20 Apr 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Rapid Vienna have gone 1W 1D 3L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Wolfsberger AC — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
4
Rapid Vienna
2
Draws
4
Wolfsberger AC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC?
From 10 meetings on record, Rapid Vienna have won 4, Wolfsberger AC have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC last play each other?
They last met on 21 February 2026, when Rapid Vienna 2-0 Wolfsberger AC.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 44% of the time.
Wolfsberger AC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 88% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Rapid Vienna 48%, Wolfsberger AC 64% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 52% (Rapid Vienna) and 60% (Wolfsberger AC). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 24% and 36% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Rapid Vienna keep a clean sheet in 36% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Rapid Vienna home games / Wolfsberger AC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Rapid Vienna play Wolfsberger AC?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 48% of Rapid Vienna's games and 64% of Wolfsberger AC's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 52% of Rapid Vienna's matches and 60% of Wolfsberger AC's.
Do Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC tend to score early?
Rapid Vienna have had a goal before half-time in 80% of their recent matches, Wolfsberger AC in 88% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Rapid Vienna cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Wolfsberger AC.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Rapid Vienna beat Wolfsberger AC 2-0 at Allianz Stadion, Regular Season - 20, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Rapid Vienna 1.42 xG and Wolfsberger AC 1.32 xG, a combined 2.74. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Wolfsberger AC landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rapid Vienna attack 0.95 / defence 1.09 against Wolfsberger AC attack 1.04 / defence 1.13, drawn from 41/41 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Rapid Vienna 39% | Draw 26% | Wolfsberger AC 35%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 39%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rapid Vienna 53%, Wolfsberger AC 63%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Rapid Vienna's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.
Wolfsberger AC's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Rapid Vienna 1.35 PPG, Wolfsberger AC 1.57 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Rapid Vienna win broke the near-deadlock. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Wolfsberger AC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.72 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.