Rapid Vienna 1-0 SCR Altach – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Rapid Vienna at 44%, yet other data sources diverge — this Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 15 sees SCR Altach travel to Allianz Stadion to take on Rapid Vienna. The game is scheduled for Saturday 20 November 2021, 16:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 3W 3D 4L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.20 PPG. Last five: W D D W L. Offensively they are averaging 1.60 goals per game, with 1.80 conceded. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Allianz Stadion, Rapid Vienna have gone 4W 0D 3L this season (7 games, 1.71 PPG). They are averaging 2.14 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. Their home PPG of 1.71 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.20 — Rapid Vienna are significantly better at Allianz Stadion than their overall form suggests.
SCR Altach — All Games: 2W 4D 4L from 10 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.00 PPG. Last five: L L D W L. Their scoring rate of 0.60 per game is modest, conceding 1.30 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
SCR Altach's away record: 2W 2D 2L from 6 road trips in Bundesliga this season (1.33 PPG). Away from home they average 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 3 away clean sheets from 6 games (50%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home.
The form figures are too closely matched to derive a directional pick: Rapid Vienna 1.20 PPG, SCR Altach 1.00 PPG. Look to other data sets to build the analysis.
In-Play Profile
Rapid Vienna in-play tendencies (13 games, 6 at home): they score before half-time in 100% of fixtures in home games; they lead at the break 46% of the time; when winning at HT they fail to see it out 31% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 100% of games (home games).
SCR Altach in-play tendencies (13 games, 6 at away): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 33% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 33% of games (away games); they fail to score in 46% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Rapid Vienna 69% versus SCR Altach 46%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Rapid Vienna 62% | SCR Altach 38%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Rapid Vienna 1.48 xG and SCR Altach 1.12 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Rapid Vienna attack 1.169 / defence 1.266 | SCR Altach attack 0.621 / defence 1.007. League average goals — home 1.256 / away 1.432. Data: 14 Rapid Vienna games / 13 SCR Altach games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 44% | Draw 29% | SCR Altach 27%. Fair-value odds: Rapid Vienna 2.27 | Draw 3.45 | SCR Altach 3.70. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 48% | BTTS probability 54% | Total xG 2.60. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 48%/52% — the total xG of 2.60 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 54% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Rapid Vienna as the most likely outcome at 44% — marginal model lean. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.60 combined xG gives a 48% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 54% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. This conflicts with form data: Rapid Vienna 43% | SCR Altach 33% from recent games — a notable divergence.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 15 | Venue: Allianz Stadion • Kick-off: Saturday 20 Nov 2021, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 44% | Draw 29% | SCR Altach 27% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 48% | BTTS 54% | xG Rapid Vienna 1.48 / SCR Altach 1.12 • Poisson strength factors: Rapid Vienna attack 1.169 / def 1.266 | SCR Altach attack 0.621 / def 1.007 | league avg home 1.256 / away 1.432 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.48
Rapid Vienna xG
Expected Goals
1.12
SCR Altach xG
54%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
48%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach kick off?
Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 20 November 2021 at Allianz Stadion.
What was the final score in Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Rapid Vienna 1 - 0 SCR Altach.
Where is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach being played?
The match is being played at Allianz Stadion.
What competition is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach part of?
Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach is a Regular Season - 15 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our statistical model gives Rapid Vienna a 44% chance of winning, SCR Altach a 27% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach will score (BTTS).
Will Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 48%.
What is the head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach in?
Rapid Vienna (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.80 | L5 W-D-D-W-L. SCR Altach (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.60 / GA 1.30 | L5 L-L-D-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Rapid Vienna's attacking strength (1.17x league average) is weighed against SCR Altach's defensive record (1.01x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.48. The same calculation in reverse, SCR Altach's attack versus Rapid Vienna's defence, projects 1.12 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 14/13 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.9%. Close behind: 1-0 (9.3%), 2-1 (9.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
44%
2.29
29%
3.42
27%
3.68
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.9%
Home win
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.48
Rapid Vienna xG
Total xG
2.60
1.12
SCR Altach xG
2.29
44%
Home win
3.42
29%
Draw
3.68
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.86
46%
BTTS No
2.16
Clean Sheet
32%
3.08
23%
4.39
Win to Nil
14%
7.06
6%
16.16
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.9 | 12.3 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 9.1 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.9%.
How many goals are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach expected to score?
The model projects 1.48 expected goals for Rapid Vienna and 1.12 for SCR Altach, a combined total of 2.60.
How confident is the prediction model for Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Rapid Vienna come into this having played 13 games, going 4W 4D 5L for 1.23 points per game. Their last five reads W-D-D-W-L. The sample for Rapid Vienna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, SCR Altach sit at 1.00 PPG from 13 outings (3W 4D 6L), a run that reads L-L-D-W-L across their last five. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Rapid Vienna on 1.23 PPG, SCR Altach on 1.00. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
Rapid Vienna's home form reads 4W 0D 2L across 6 games on their own ground, a 2.00 PPG return. That's noticeably better than their 1.23 PPG overall — Rapid Vienna are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
Away from home, SCR Altach have taken 1.33 points per game from 6 outings (2W 2D 2L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Rapid Vienna come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Rapid Vienna are averaging 1.62 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game recently; SCR Altach are on 0.69 scored and 1.38 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Rapid Vienna have seen both teams score in 69% of their recent games.
Last 13 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Rapid Vienna
Blended
SCR Altach
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach in coming into this match?
Rapid Vienna have gone 4W 4D 5L in their last 13 games (1.23 PPG), while SCR Altach have gone 3W 4D 6L in their last 13 (1.00 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Rapid Vienna at home or SCR Altach away?
Rapid Vienna's home record (2.00 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Rapid Vienna at home: 2.00 PPG; SCR Altach away: 1.33 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to November 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 2 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Mar 2025, when Rapid Vienna won 5-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Rapid Vienna's record when hosting SCR Altach specifically: 5W 1D 0L from 6 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
8
Rapid Vienna
2
Draws
0
SCR Altach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
From 10 meetings on record, Rapid Vienna have won 8, SCR Altach have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach last play each other?
They last met on 2 August 2026, when Rapid Vienna 1-0 SCR Altach.
Who has won more matches between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 8 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 17% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
SCR Altach see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Rapid Vienna 50%, SCR Altach 33% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 100% for Rapid Vienna and 33% for SCR Altach. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 33% and 17% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Rapid Vienna keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; SCR Altach in 50%; SCR Altach in 50%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Rapid Vienna home games / SCR Altach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Rapid Vienna play SCR Altach?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 50% of Rapid Vienna's recent matches and 33% of SCR Altach's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 100% of Rapid Vienna's matches and 33% of SCR Altach's.
Do Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach tend to score early?
Rapid Vienna have had a goal before half-time in 100% of their recent matches, SCR Altach in 50% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Rapid Vienna edge out SCR Altach 1-0.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Rapid Vienna beat SCR Altach 1-0 at Allianz Stadion, Regular Season - 15, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Rapid Vienna 1.48 xG and SCR Altach 1.12 xG, a combined 2.60. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. SCR Altach landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rapid Vienna attack 1.17 / defence 1.27 against SCR Altach attack 0.62 / defence 1.01, drawn from 14/13 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Rapid Vienna 44% | Draw 29% | SCR Altach 27%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 44%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 75% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rapid Vienna 62%, SCR Altach 38%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Rapid Vienna's trading profile (13 games, 6 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 69% of their matches — today it did not.
SCR Altach's trading profile (13 games, 6 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 46% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Rapid Vienna 1.23 PPG, SCR Altach 1.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Rapid Vienna win broke the near-deadlock. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) managed 1 against a 2.50 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.