Lask Linz 0-0 Red Bull Salzburg – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Red Bull Salzburg at 43% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 21 sees Red Bull Salzburg travel to Raiffeisen Arena to take on Lask Linz. The game is scheduled for Wednesday 2 March 2022, 19:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Lask Linz stand at 4W 2D 4L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.40 PPG. Last five: L W W D W. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 1.40 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Lask Linz, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Lask Linz at Raiffeisen Arena this season: 3W 3D 4L from 10 home games — 1.20 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game.
Red Bull Salzburg — All Games: 6W 3D 1L from 10 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 2.10 PPG. Last five: L W W W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.00 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. Defensively, 0.80 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Red Bull Salzburg, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Red Bull Salzburg away from home this season: 7W 2D 1L from 10 away games — 2.30 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. Red Bull Salzburg are 0.70 PPG ahead (2.10 vs 1.40), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
In-Play Data
Lask Linz trading profile (20 games, 10 at home): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 40% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 35%.
Red Bull Salzburg trading profile (20 games, 10 at away): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 40%; they keep a clean sheet 45% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Lask Linz 60% versus Red Bull Salzburg 55%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Lask Linz 50% | Red Bull Salzburg 55%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Lask Linz 1.12 xG and Red Bull Salzburg 1.43 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Lask Linz attack 0.941 / defence 1.126 | Red Bull Salzburg attack 0.948 / defence 1.028. League average goals — home 1.157 / away 1.338. Data: 20 Lask Linz games / 20 Red Bull Salzburg games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Lask Linz 28% | Draw 28% | Red Bull Salzburg 43%. Fair-value odds: Lask Linz 3.57 | Draw 3.57 | Red Bull Salzburg 2.33. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 47% | BTTS probability 52% | Total xG 2.55. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 47%/53% — the total xG of 2.55 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 52% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Red Bull Salzburg as the most likely outcome at 43% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 28% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Red Bull Salzburg offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.55 combined xG gives a 47% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 52% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Lask Linz 50% | Red Bull Salzburg 60% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 21 | Venue: Raiffeisen Arena • Kick-off: Wednesday 2 Mar 2022, 19:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Lask Linz 28% | Draw 28% | Red Bull Salzburg 43% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 47% | BTTS 52% | xG Lask Linz 1.12 / Red Bull Salzburg 1.43 • Poisson strength factors: Lask Linz attack 0.941 / def 1.126 | Red Bull Salzburg attack 0.948 / def 1.028 | league avg home 1.157 / away 1.338 • Poisson stance: Red Bull Salzburg (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.12
Lask Linz xG
Expected Goals
1.43
Red Bull Salzburg xG
52%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg kick off?
Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg kicked off at 19:30 on Wednesday 2 March 2022 at Raiffeisen Arena.
What was the final score in Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Lask Linz 0 - 0 Red Bull Salzburg.
Where is Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg being played?
The match is being played at Raiffeisen Arena.
What competition is Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg part of?
Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg is a Regular Season - 21 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our statistical model gives Lask Linz a 28% chance of winning, Red Bull Salzburg a 43% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Red Bull Salzburg the favourite.
Will both teams score in Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg will score (BTTS).
Will Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 47%.
What is the head-to-head record between Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg in?
Lask Linz (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-W-W-D-W. Red Bull Salzburg (all comps): 6W-3D-1L in 10 | 2.10 PPG | GF 2.00 / GA 0.80 | L5 L-W-W-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Lask Linz's attacking strength (0.94x league average) is weighed against Red Bull Salzburg's defensive record (1.03x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.12. The same calculation in reverse, Red Bull Salzburg's attack versus Lask Linz's defence, projects 1.43 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 20/20 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.1%. Close behind: 0-1 (9.6%), 0-0 (9.5%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Red Bull Salzburg Win
28%
3.51
28%
3.51
43%
2.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.2%
Away win
1 – 2
8.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.12
Lask Linz xG
Total xG
2.55
1.43
Red Bull Salzburg xG
3.51
28%
Home win
3.51
28%
Draw
2.32
43%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.91
48%
BTTS No
2.09
Clean Sheet
24%
4.17
33%
3.06
Win to Nil
7%
14.64
14%
7.10
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 11.2 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 8.8 | 12.5 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.1%.
How many goals are Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg expected to score?
The model projects 1.12 expected goals for Lask Linz and 1.43 for Red Bull Salzburg, a combined total of 2.55.
How confident is the prediction model for Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Lask Linz come into this having played 20 games, going 6W 6D 8L for 1.20 points per game. Their last five reads L-W-W-D-W. The sample for Lask Linz is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Red Bull Salzburg sit at 2.55 PPG from 20 outings (16W 3D 1L), a run that reads L-W-W-W-W across their last five. The sample for Red Bull Salzburg is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Red Bull Salzburg carry the stronger recent form of the two, 1.35 PPG clear of Lask Linz — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home Ground vs the Road
Lask Linz's home form reads 3W 3D 4L across 10 games on their own ground, a 1.20 PPG return.
Away from home, Red Bull Salzburg have taken 2.30 points per game from 10 outings (7W 2D 1L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Red Bull Salzburg come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Lask Linz are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game recently; Red Bull Salzburg are on 2.30 scored and 0.65 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Lask Linz have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games.
Defensively: Red Bull Salzburg in 45% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 20 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Lask Linz
Blended
Red Bull Salzburg
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg in coming into this match?
Lask Linz have gone 6W 6D 8L in their last 20 games (1.20 PPG), while Red Bull Salzburg have gone 16W 3D 1L in their last 20 (2.55 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Lask Linz at home or Red Bull Salzburg away?
Red Bull Salzburg's away record (2.30 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Lask Linz at home: 1.20 PPG; Red Bull Salzburg away: 2.30 PPG.
Have Lask Linz or Red Bull Salzburg been keeping clean sheets recently?
Lask Linz have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their recent games, Red Bull Salzburg in 45%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to October 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 10 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
Lask Linz have won the last 2 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 19 May 2024, when Red Bull Salzburg won 7-1 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Lask Linz's record when hosting Red Bull Salzburg specifically: 2W 0D 3L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
5
Lask Linz
0
Draws
5
Red Bull Salzburg
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg?
From 10 meetings on record, Lask Linz have won 5, Red Bull Salzburg have won 5, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg last play each other?
They last met on 10 May 2026, when Lask Linz 2-1 Red Bull Salzburg.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Lask Linz see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 30% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
Red Bull Salzburg are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 30% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 30% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Lask Linz 50%, Red Bull Salzburg 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 40% (Lask Linz) and 50% (Red Bull Salzburg).
On the defensive side: Red Bull Salzburg in 40%; Lask Linz have failed to score in 30% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Lask Linz home games / Red Bull Salzburg away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Lask Linz play Red Bull Salzburg?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 50% of Lask Linz's games and 60% of Red Bull Salzburg's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 40% of Lask Linz's recent games and 50% of Red Bull Salzburg's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg tend to score early?
Lask Linz have had a goal before half-time in 50% of their recent matches, Red Bull Salzburg in 80% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Lask Linz's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Raiffeisen Arena, Regular Season - 21, as Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Lask Linz 1.12 xG and Red Bull Salzburg 1.43 xG, a combined 2.55. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Lask Linz fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Red Bull Salzburg landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lask Linz attack 0.94 / defence 1.13 against Red Bull Salzburg attack 0.95 / defence 1.03, drawn from 20/20 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Lask Linz 28% | Draw 28% | Red Bull Salzburg 43%, with Red Bull Salzburg to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lask Linz 50%, Red Bull Salzburg 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Lask Linz's trading profile (20 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.
Red Bull Salzburg's trading profile (20 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 45% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Red Bull Salzburg arrived the stronger side — 2.55 PPG against 1.20. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Lask Linz (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.20 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.20 average — tighter than their form line. Red Bull Salzburg (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.70 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.80 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.