Sharjah FC 3-0 Al Bataeh – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Sharjah FC at 59% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Sharjah Stadium plays host to Sharjah FC versus Al Bataeh in Pro League, Regular Season - 20. Kick-off: Saturday 18 March 2023 at 13:45 UTC.
Current Form
Sharjah FC's overall Pro League record this term: 4W 4D 2L from 10 games (1.60 PPG). Last five: W W L L D. They are averaging 2.00 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. Defensively, conceding just 0.80 per game is an exceptional defensive record — one of the tightest in the division. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. This season is still relatively young for Sharjah FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, Sharjah FC have posted 4W 3D 3L at Sharjah Stadium — 1.50 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Al Bataeh (all games): 1W 5D 4L across 10 Pro League outings this term — 0.80 points per game. Last five: L D L D D. They are scoring at 1.70 per game and conceding 2.20. Conceding 2.20 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 90% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. This season is still relatively young for Al Bataeh, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Al Bataeh's away record: 4W 1D 4L from 9 road trips in Pro League this season (1.44 PPG). Away from home they average 1.22 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 56% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.44 exceeds their overall 0.80 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
Form favours the hosts. Sharjah FC's 1.60 PPG return is 0.80 points per game ahead of Al Bataeh's 0.80 — a genuine gap in recent results that provides a statistically grounded case for backing the home side.
Head-to-Head
Form and model data should carry more weight here — the historical record is too balanced to provide a directional steer. From 1 meetings: Sharjah FC 1W, Al Bataeh 0W, 0D.
Scoring has been limited when these teams have met. The 1 previous contests averaged 1.0 goals, making the Under 2.5 the historically backed angle in the goals market. The most recent clash, on 25 Oct 2022, ended 1–0 with Sharjah FC winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading Data
Sharjah FC goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (19 games, 9 at home): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; they lead at the break 47% of the time; BTTS occurs in 33% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 37%; they keep a clean sheet 53% of the time.
Al Bataeh goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (19 games, 9 at away): they score before half-time in 56% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 67% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 47%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Sharjah FC 32% versus Al Bataeh 63%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Sharjah FC 47% | Al Bataeh 74%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Sharjah FC 1.97 xG and Al Bataeh 1.02 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Sharjah FC attack 1.092 / defence 0.820 | Al Bataeh attack 0.830 / defence 1.211. League average goals — home 1.491 / away 1.501. Al Bataeh bring a strong defensive rating of 1.211 — this is suppressing Sharjah FC's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 45 Sharjah FC games / 19 Al Bataeh games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Sharjah FC 59% | Draw 21% | Al Bataeh 19%. Fair-value odds: Sharjah FC 1.69 | Draw 4.76 | Al Bataeh 5.26. The model has a clear lean to Sharjah FC (59%) — a 40pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 58% | BTTS probability 55% | Total xG 2.99. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 58% — the 2.99 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 55% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Sharjah FC as the most likely outcome at 59% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 21% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
The Poisson model projects 2.99 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 58% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
Poisson assigns a 55% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Sharjah FC 40% | Al Bataeh 56%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 20 | Venue: Sharjah Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 18 Mar 2023, 13:45 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Sharjah FC 59% | Draw 21% | Al Bataeh 19% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 58% | BTTS 55% | xG Sharjah FC 1.97 / Al Bataeh 1.02 • Poisson strength factors: Sharjah FC attack 1.092 / def 0.820 | Al Bataeh attack 0.830 / def 1.211 | league avg home 1.491 / away 1.501 • Poisson stance: Sharjah FC (59%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.97
Sharjah FC xG
Expected Goals
1.02
Al Bataeh xG
55%
BTTS
80%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh kick off?
Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh kicked off at 13:45 on Saturday 18 March 2023 at Sharjah Stadium.
What was the final score in Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh?
Sharjah FC 3 - 0 Al Bataeh.
Where is Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh being played?
The match is being played at Sharjah Stadium.
What competition is Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh part of?
Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh is a Regular Season - 20 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh?
Our statistical model gives Sharjah FC a 59% chance of winning, Al Bataeh a 19% chance, and a 21% chance of a draw — making Sharjah FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh?
Our model estimates a 55% probability that both Sharjah FC and Al Bataeh will score (BTTS).
Will Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 58%.
What is the head-to-head record between Sharjah FC and Al Bataeh?
Record (1 meetings): Sharjah FC 1W | Draws 0 | Al Bataeh 0W.
What form are Sharjah FC and Al Bataeh in?
Sharjah FC (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 2.00 / GA 0.80 | L5 W-W-L-L-D. Al Bataeh (all comps): 1W-5D-4L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.70 / GA 2.20 | L5 L-D-L-D-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Sharjah FC's attack at 1.09x the league average against Al Bataeh's defence at 1.21x — combine the two and it projects 1.97 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Al Bataeh's attack (0.83x) against Sharjah FC's defence (0.82x) — and the away total comes out at 1.02.
These ratings are built from 45/19 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 11.4% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (10.0%), 2-0 (9.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Sharjah FC Win
59%
1.68
21%
4.66
19%
5.25
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.1%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
10.0%
Home win
1 – 0
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.97
Sharjah FC xG
Total xG
2.99
1.02
Al Bataeh xG
1.68
59%
Home win
4.66
21%
Draw
5.25
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.82
45%
BTTS No
2.23
Clean Sheet
36%
2.78
14%
7.19
Win to Nil
21%
4.67
3%
37.70
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.7 | 10.0 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.4%.
How many goals are Sharjah FC and Al Bataeh expected to score?
The model projects 1.97 expected goals for Sharjah FC and 1.02 for Al Bataeh, a combined total of 2.99.
How confident is the prediction model for Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 59%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 19 outings, Sharjah FC have picked up 1.84 PPG on a 10W 5D 4L record — W-W-L-L-D across the most recent five. The sample for Sharjah FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Al Bataeh's form line: 4W 5D 10L from 19 games, 0.89 PPG, last five L-D-L-D-D. The sample for Al Bataeh is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Sharjah FC are the form team by 0.95 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Al Bataeh.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, Sharjah FC have posted 1.33 PPG from 9 outings (3W 3D 3L). That actually lags their 1.84 PPG overall record — home advantage hasn't been translating into results for them lately.
On the road, Al Bataeh have gone 4W 1D 4L from 9 away games — 1.44 PPG when travelling. That's actually stronger than their 0.89 PPG overall record — Al Bataeh travel well.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Sharjah FC are averaging 1.89 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game recently; Al Bataeh are on 1.26 scored and 2.16 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Al Bataeh in 63%.
Defensively: Sharjah FC have kept a clean sheet in 53% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 19 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Sharjah FC
Blended
Al Bataeh
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Sharjah FC and Al Bataeh in coming into this match?
Sharjah FC have gone 10W 5D 4L in their last 19 games (1.84 PPG), while Al Bataeh have gone 4W 5D 10L in their last 19 (0.89 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Sharjah FC at home or Al Bataeh away?
Al Bataeh's away record (1.44 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Sharjah FC at home: 1.33 PPG; Al Bataeh away: 1.44 PPG.
Have Sharjah FC or Al Bataeh been keeping clean sheets recently?
Sharjah FC have kept a clean sheet in 53% of their recent games, Al Bataeh in 16%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 8 times since October 2022 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. They last met on 10 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Sharjah FC won 3-0 on 18 Mar 2023, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Sharjah FC have gone 1W 1D 2L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Al Bataeh — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
3
Sharjah FC
3
Draws
2
Al Bataeh
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Sharjah FC and Al Bataeh?
From 8 meetings on record, Sharjah FC have won 3, Al Bataeh have won 2, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Sharjah FC and Al Bataeh last play each other?
They last met on 10 May 2026, when Al Bataeh 0-0 Sharjah FC.
Who has won more matches between Sharjah FC and Al Bataeh?
Sharjah FC have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Sharjah FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 56% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 22% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 11% of those situations.
Al Bataeh see a goal before the break in 56% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 11% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Sharjah FC 33%, Al Bataeh 56% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 56% for Sharjah FC and 67% for Al Bataeh. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 33% and 22% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Sharjah FC keep a clean sheet in 44% of their matches; Al Bataeh in 33%; Sharjah FC have failed to score in 33% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Sharjah FC home games / Al Bataeh away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Sharjah FC play Al Bataeh?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 33% of Sharjah FC's recent matches and 56% of Al Bataeh's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Sharjah FC vs Al Bataeh usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 56% of Sharjah FC's matches and 67% of Al Bataeh's.
Do Sharjah FC and Al Bataeh tend to score early?
Sharjah FC have had a goal before half-time in 67% of their recent matches, Al Bataeh in 56% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant Sharjah FC run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Al Bataeh.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Sharjah FC beat Al Bataeh 3-0 at Sharjah Stadium, Regular Season - 20, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Sharjah FC 1.97 xG and Al Bataeh 1.02 xG, a combined 2.99. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Sharjah FC beat their projection by 1.0 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Al Bataeh landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sharjah FC attack 1.09 / defence 0.82 against Al Bataeh attack 0.83 / defence 1.21, drawn from 45/19 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Sharjah FC 59% | Draw 21% | Al Bataeh 19%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 59%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sharjah FC 47%, Al Bataeh 74%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 47%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Sharjah FC's trading profile (19 games, 9 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 32% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 53% of the time, and duly kept one.
Al Bataeh's trading profile (19 games, 9 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Sharjah FC arrived the stronger side — 1.84 PPG against 0.89. That form edge translated into the three points. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.67 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 0.89 average — tighter than their form line. Al Bataeh (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.22 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.44 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.