Veres Rivne 1-0 Ruh Lviv – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model projects a closely fought contest — draw probability sits at 35% as Veres Rivne take on Ruh Lviv.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Veres Rivne host Ruh Lviv at Avanhard in Premier League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 8 November 2025 at 13:30 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Premier League games this season, Veres Rivne have gone 3W 4D 3L from 10 outings — a 1.30 PPG return. Last five: L D D D W. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. This season is still relatively young for Veres Rivne, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Avanhard, Veres Rivne have gone 3W 3D 4L this season (10 games, 1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game.
Ruh Lviv — All Games: 1W 1D 8L from 10 Premier League fixtures this season — 0.40 PPG. Last five: L W L D L. Their scoring rate of 0.50 per game is modest, conceding 1.80 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their games, reflecting a regular tendency to keep or record clean sheets. This season is still relatively young for Ruh Lviv, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Ruh Lviv have gone 4W 1D 5L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.30 PPG). Away from home they average 0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 20% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel. Their away PPG of 1.30 exceeds their overall 0.40 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
Veres Rivne carry the stronger recent momentum — 0.90 PPG ahead of their opponents on 1.30 vs 0.40. The form data is a point in their favour, and where the price allows, it is the cleaner directional bet.
H2H
Despite the anticipated home advantage, Ruh Lviv have the better historical record — 4 wins from 8 previous contests against 1 for Veres Rivne.
The 8 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 3.0 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 10 May 2025, ended 0–2 with Ruh Lviv winning.
The H2H provides genuine backing for the away side. Ruh Lviv have won 4 of 8 previous encounters, and at 3.0 goals per game, the goals market also points upward. The away win and Over 2.5 combination has a historical case worth noting.
Trading Patterns
Veres Rivne in-play and half-time data (41 games, 20 at home): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 65% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 45% of games (home games); they fail to score in 39% of games.
Ruh Lviv in-play and half-time data (41 games, 20 at away): they score before half-time in 65% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 64% of the time; BTTS occurs in 30% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 20% of games (away games); they fail to score in 42% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Veres Rivne 49% versus Ruh Lviv 37%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Veres Rivne 44% | Ruh Lviv 29%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Veres Rivne 0.84 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.85 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Veres Rivne attack 0.842 / defence 0.959 | Ruh Lviv attack 0.670 / defence 0.884. League average goals — home 1.130 / away 1.321. Data: 41 Veres Rivne games / 41 Ruh Lviv games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Veres Rivne 32% | Draw 35% | Ruh Lviv 33%. Fair-value odds: Veres Rivne 3.12 | Draw 2.86 | Ruh Lviv 3.03. The draw (35%) is the Poisson-preferred outcome — neither side is more likely to win than to draw, making draw-inclusive markets the most model-aligned approach.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 24% | BTTS probability 33% | Total xG 1.69. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 76% probability — total xG of 1.69 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS No has firm model support at 67% — Veres Rivne's lower xG of 0.84 creates a meaningful probability of a scoring blank, which suppresses the BTTS Yes probability to 33%.
Our Verdict
Ruh Lviv lead the H2H ledger, but Veres Rivne carry stronger current form — do not let history alone dictate your assessment.
The Poisson model's preferred outcome is the draw at 35% — neither side is more likely to win than to draw. Draw-inclusive markets are the most model-aligned approach. Home win at 32% and away win at 33% are close enough that backing either outright carries significant draw exposure.
On the goals line, Poisson's 1.69 combined xG gives a 24% probability to Under 2.5 — marginal — conflicting signals, supported by form averaging 2.0 goals per game — though H2H averaging only 3.0 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
Poisson assigns a 33% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Veres Rivne 50% | Ruh Lviv 20% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 12 | Venue: Avanhard • Kick-off: Saturday 8 Nov 2025, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Veres Rivne 32% | Draw 35% | Ruh Lviv 33% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 24% | BTTS 33% | xG Veres Rivne 0.84 / Ruh Lviv 0.85 • Poisson strength factors: Veres Rivne attack 0.842 / def 0.959 | Ruh Lviv attack 0.670 / def 0.884 | league avg home 1.130 / away 1.321 • Poisson stance: Draw (35%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.84
Veres Rivne xG
Expected Goals
0.85
Ruh Lviv xG
33%
BTTS
51%
Over 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
9%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv kick off?
Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv kicked off at 13:30 on Saturday 8 November 2025 at Avanhard.
What was the final score in Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Veres Rivne 1 - 0 Ruh Lviv.
Where is Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv being played?
The match is being played at Avanhard.
What competition is Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv part of?
Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv is a Regular Season - 12 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Our statistical model gives Veres Rivne a 32% chance of winning, Ruh Lviv a 33% chance, and a 35% chance of a draw, making this a very evenly-matched fixture.
Will both teams score in Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Our model estimates a 33% probability that both Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv will score (BTTS).
Will Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 24%.
What is the head-to-head record between Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv?
Record (8 meetings): Veres Rivne 1W | Draws 3 | Ruh Lviv 4W.
What form are Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv in?
Veres Rivne (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-D-D-D-W. Ruh Lviv (all comps): 1W-1D-8L in 10 | 0.40 PPG | GF 0.50 / GA 1.80 | L5 L-W-L-D-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Veres Rivne's attack rating (0.84) and Ruh Lviv's defence rating (0.88), the model arrives at 0.84 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Ruh Lviv's attack versus Veres Rivne's defence, projects 0.85 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 41/41 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 0-0 emerges as the single most likely result, at 20.2%. Close behind: 1-1 (14.9%), 0-1 (14.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 49% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
32%
3.08
35%
2.88
33%
3.04
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
18.5%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
15.7%
Away win
1 – 0
15.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.84
Veres Rivne xG
Total xG
1.69
0.85
Ruh Lviv xG
3.08
32%
Home win
2.88
35%
Draw
3.04
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
50%
Over 1.5
2.00
50%
Under 1.5
2.00
24%
Over 2.5
4.17
76%
Under 2.5
1.32
9%
Over 3.5
11.11
91%
Under 3.5
1.10
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
33%
BTTS Yes
3.05
67%
BTTS No
1.49
Clean Sheet
43%
2.34
43%
2.32
Win to Nil
14%
7.21
14%
7.05
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.5 | 15.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.5 | 13.2 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 20.2%.
How many goals are Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv expected to score?
The model projects 0.84 expected goals for Veres Rivne and 0.85 for Ruh Lviv, a combined total of 1.69.
How confident is the prediction model for Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 35%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Veres Rivne come into this having played 41 games, going 12W 13D 16L for 1.20 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-D-D-W. The sample for Veres Rivne is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Ruh Lviv sit at 1.10 PPG from 41 outings (11W 12D 18L), a run that reads L-W-L-D-L across their last five. The sample for Ruh Lviv is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Veres Rivne on 1.20 PPG, Ruh Lviv on 1.10. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
Veres Rivne's home form reads 6W 7D 7L across 20 games on their own ground, a 1.25 PPG return.
Away from home, Ruh Lviv have taken 1.20 points per game from 20 outings (6W 6D 8L).
Goals in Recent Form
Veres Rivne are averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game recently; Ruh Lviv are on 0.90 scored and 1.12 conceded.
Last 41 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Veres Rivne
Blended
Ruh Lviv
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv in coming into this match?
Veres Rivne have gone 12W 13D 16L in their last 41 games (1.20 PPG), while Ruh Lviv have gone 11W 12D 18L in their last 41 (1.10 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Veres Rivne at home or Ruh Lviv away?
Veres Rivne's home record (1.25 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Veres Rivne at home: 1.25 PPG; Ruh Lviv away: 1.20 PPG.
Have Veres Rivne or Ruh Lviv been keeping clean sheets recently?
Veres Rivne have kept a clean sheet in 24% of their recent games, Ruh Lviv in 34%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. They last met on 9 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 22 Oct 2023, when Ruh Lviv won 2-5 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Veres Rivne's record when hosting Ruh Lviv specifically: 2W 2D 1L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
2
Veres Rivne
4
Draws
4
Ruh Lviv
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv?
From 10 meetings on record, Veres Rivne have won 2, Ruh Lviv have won 4, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv last play each other?
They last met on 9 May 2026, when Ruh Lviv 0-0 Veres Rivne.
Who has won more matches between Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv?
Ruh Lviv have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Veres Rivne are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 30% of the time.
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 65% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Veres Rivne 65%, Ruh Lviv 30% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 45% for Veres Rivne and 20% for Ruh Lviv.
On the defensive side: Ruh Lviv in 40%; Ruh Lviv in 45%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Veres Rivne home games / Ruh Lviv away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Veres Rivne play Ruh Lviv?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 65% of Veres Rivne's recent matches and 30% of Ruh Lviv's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 45% of Veres Rivne's recent games and 20% of Ruh Lviv's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv tend to score early?
Veres Rivne have had a goal before half-time in 80% of their recent matches, Ruh Lviv in 65% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Shock result as Veres Rivne defy the odds to beat Ruh Lviv 1-0.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Veres Rivne beat Ruh Lviv 1-0 at Avanhard, Regular Season - 12, in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Veres Rivne 0.84 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.85 xG, a combined 1.69. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Ruh Lviv landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Veres Rivne attack 0.84 / defence 0.96 against Ruh Lviv attack 0.67 / defence 0.88, drawn from 41/41 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Veres Rivne 32% | Draw 35% | Ruh Lviv 33%, with the draw its most likely call at 35%. The actual Veres Rivne win had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 24%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 51% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 33% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 37% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Veres Rivne 44%, Ruh Lviv 29%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 43%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Veres Rivne's trading profile (41 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not.
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (41 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 37% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 42% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Veres Rivne 1.20 PPG, Ruh Lviv 1.10 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Veres Rivne win broke the near-deadlock. Veres Rivne (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.40 average — tighter than their form line. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.80 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.