Djurgardens IF 1-0 Halmstad – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Djurgardens IF at 52% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Tele2 Arena plays host to Djurgardens IF versus Halmstad in Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off: Saturday 6 November 2021 at 16:30 UTC.
Form
Djurgardens IF (all games): 5W 1D 4L across 10 Allsvenskan fixtures this term — 1.60 PPG. Last five: L L W L W. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.40 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Djurgardens IF, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, Djurgardens IF have posted 6W 2D 2L at Tele2 Arena — 2.00 PPG. They are averaging 2.10 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Halmstad have collected 1.00 PPG across 10 Allsvenskan outings this season: 2W 4D 4L. Last five: D L W D W. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 1.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Halmstad, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Allsvenskan this season, Halmstad have posted 3W 3D 4L from 10 away outings — 1.20 PPG. Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game.
The form ledger tips toward Djurgardens IF. A 0.60 PPG lead over Halmstad (1.60 vs 1.00) is a consistent enough margin to carry weight. If the win odds appear compressed, Draw No Bet offers draw insurance at a lower cost than a full switch to Double Chance.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Djurgardens IF lead 0W to 0W over the last 1 encounters, with 1 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
Scoring has been limited when these teams have met. The 1 previous contests averaged 0.0 goals, making the Under 2.5 the historically backed angle in the goals market. The most recent clash, on 12 Jul 2021, ended 0–0 with a draw.
With a balanced win record and just 0.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading Data
Djurgardens IF goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (26 games, 13 at home): they score before half-time in 69% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; they lead at the break 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 54% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 69% of games (home games); they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time; they fail to score in 31% of games.
Halmstad goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (26 games, 13 at away): they score before half-time in 54% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 64% of the time; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 31% of games (away games); they fail to score in 38% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Djurgardens IF 38% versus Halmstad 50%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Djurgardens IF 50% | Halmstad 19%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Djurgardens IF 1.76 xG and Halmstad 1.13 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Djurgardens IF attack 1.211 / defence 1.212 | Halmstad attack 0.839 / defence 0.956. League average goals — home 1.520 / away 1.109. Data: 56 Djurgardens IF games / 26 Halmstad games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Djurgardens IF 52% | Draw 25% | Halmstad 24%. Fair-value odds: Djurgardens IF 1.92 | Draw 4.00 | Halmstad 4.17. Djurgardens IF hold a narrow Poisson edge at 52% — the draw (25%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 55% | BTTS probability 57% | Total xG 2.89. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 55% — the 2.89 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 57% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Djurgardens IF as the most likely outcome at 52% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 25% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Djurgardens IF if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.89 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 55% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 57% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Djurgardens IF 60% | Halmstad 50% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad | Competition: Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 27 | Venue: Tele2 Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 6 Nov 2021, 16:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Djurgardens IF 52% | Draw 25% | Halmstad 24% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 55% | BTTS 57% | xG Djurgardens IF 1.76 / Halmstad 1.13 • Poisson strength factors: Djurgardens IF attack 1.211 / def 1.212 | Halmstad attack 0.839 / def 0.956 | league avg home 1.520 / away 1.109 • Poisson stance: Djurgardens IF (52%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.76
Djurgardens IF xG
Expected Goals
1.13
Halmstad xG
57%
BTTS
79%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad kick off?
Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad kicked off at 16:30 on Saturday 6 November 2021 at Tele2 Arena.
What was the final score in Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad?
Djurgardens IF 1 - 0 Halmstad.
Where is Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad being played?
The match is being played at Tele2 Arena.
What competition is Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad part of?
Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad is a Regular Season - 27 fixture in the Allsvenskan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad?
Our statistical model gives Djurgardens IF a 52% chance of winning, Halmstad a 24% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Djurgardens IF the favourite.
Will both teams score in Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad?
Our model estimates a 57% probability that both Djurgardens IF and Halmstad will score (BTTS).
Will Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 55%.
What is the head-to-head record between Djurgardens IF and Halmstad?
Record (1 meetings): Djurgardens IF 0W | Draws 1 | Halmstad 0W.
What form are Djurgardens IF and Halmstad in?
Djurgardens IF (all comps): 5W-1D-4L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-L-W-L-W. Halmstad (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.10 | L5 D-L-W-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Djurgardens IF's attack rating (1.21) and Halmstad's defence rating (0.96), the model arrives at 1.76 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Halmstad's attack (0.84x) against Djurgardens IF's defence (1.21x) — and the away total comes out at 1.13.
These ratings are built from 56/26 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 12.5%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.7%), 2-0 (8.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Djurgardens IF Win
52%
1.94
25%
4.05
24%
4.22
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.8%
Home win
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.76
Djurgardens IF xG
Total xG
2.89
1.13
Halmstad xG
1.94
52%
Home win
4.05
25%
Draw
4.22
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.77
43%
BTTS No
2.30
Clean Sheet
32%
3.09
17%
5.81
Win to Nil
17%
5.98
4%
24.51
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.8 | 11.1 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 9.7 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.5%.
How many goals are Djurgardens IF and Halmstad expected to score?
The model projects 1.76 expected goals for Djurgardens IF and 1.13 for Halmstad, a combined total of 2.89.
How confident is the prediction model for Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 52%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Djurgardens IF come into this having played 26 games, going 15W 5D 6L for 1.92 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-W-L-W. The sample for Djurgardens IF is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Halmstad sit at 1.15 PPG from 26 outings (6W 12D 8L), a run that reads D-L-W-D-W across their last five. The sample for Halmstad is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Djurgardens IF carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.77 PPG clear of Halmstad — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home & Away Splits
Djurgardens IF's home form reads 9W 2D 2L across 13 games on their own ground, a 2.23 PPG return.
Away from home, Halmstad have taken 0.92 points per game from 13 outings (3W 3D 7L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Djurgardens IF come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Djurgardens IF are averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game recently; Halmstad are on 0.81 scored and 0.92 conceded. Both sides have been difficult to break down recently — a combination that often points to a tighter, lower-scoring game than the average fixture.
Defensively: Djurgardens IF have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 26 Results — Allsvenskan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Djurgardens IF
Blended
Halmstad
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Djurgardens IF and Halmstad in coming into this match?
Djurgardens IF have gone 15W 5D 6L in their last 26 games (1.92 PPG), while Halmstad have gone 6W 12D 8L in their last 26 (1.15 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Djurgardens IF at home or Halmstad away?
Djurgardens IF's home record (2.23 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Djurgardens IF at home: 2.23 PPG; Halmstad away: 0.92 PPG.
Have Djurgardens IF or Halmstad been keeping clean sheets recently?
Djurgardens IF have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their recent games, Halmstad in 27%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 9 times since July 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Allsvenskan. The two were last together as recently as 13 July 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Djurgardens IF won 3-0 on 13 Jul 2026, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Djurgardens IF have gone 4W 1D 0L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Halmstad — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 9 Meetings
4
Djurgardens IF
2
Draws
3
Halmstad
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Djurgardens IF and Halmstad?
From 9 meetings on record, Djurgardens IF have won 4, Halmstad have won 3, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Djurgardens IF and Halmstad last play each other?
They last met on 13 July 2026, when Djurgardens IF 3-0 Halmstad.
Who has won more matches between Djurgardens IF and Halmstad?
Djurgardens IF have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 9 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Djurgardens IF are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 69% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 54% of the time.
Halmstad see a goal before the break in 54% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 15% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Djurgardens IF 54%, Halmstad 46% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 69% (Djurgardens IF) and 31% (Halmstad).
On the defensive side: Djurgardens IF keep a clean sheet in 38% of their matches; Halmstad in 46%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Djurgardens IF home games / Halmstad away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Djurgardens IF play Halmstad?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 54% of Djurgardens IF's recent matches and 46% of Halmstad's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Djurgardens IF vs Halmstad usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 69% of Djurgardens IF's recent games and 31% of Halmstad's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Djurgardens IF and Halmstad tend to score early?
Djurgardens IF have had a goal before half-time in 69% of their recent matches, Halmstad in 54% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Djurgardens IF edge out Halmstad 1-0.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Djurgardens IF beat Halmstad 1-0 at Tele2 Arena, Regular Season - 27, in the Allsvenskan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Djurgardens IF 1.76 xG and Halmstad 1.13 xG, a combined 2.89. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Halmstad landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Djurgardens IF attack 1.21 / defence 1.21 against Halmstad attack 0.84 / defence 0.96, drawn from 56/26 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Djurgardens IF 52% | Draw 25% | Halmstad 24%, with Djurgardens IF to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 79% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 35% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Djurgardens IF 50%, Halmstad 19%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Djurgardens IF's trading profile (26 games, 13 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 38% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time, and duly kept one.
Halmstad's trading profile (26 games, 13 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 38% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Djurgardens IF arrived the stronger side — 1.92 PPG against 1.15. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Djurgardens IF (home/away splits) managed 1 against a 2.08 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.15 average — tighter than their form line. Halmstad (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.85 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.