Clermont Foot 0-0 Grenoble – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Grenoble at 38% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Clermont Foot vs Grenoble encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Stade Gabriel-Montpied plays host to Clermont Foot versus Grenoble in Ligue 2, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off: Friday 14 March 2025 at 19:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Clermont Foot have collected 0.80 PPG across 10 Ligue 2 outings this season: 2W 2D 6L. Last five: L D L L L. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.60 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Clermont Foot, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, Clermont Foot have posted 2W 5D 3L at Stade Gabriel-Montpied — 1.10 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Grenoble (all games): 5W 3D 2L across 10 Ligue 2 outings this term — 1.80 points per game. Last five: D W D L D. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Grenoble, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Grenoble's form when playing away from home: 2W 1D 7L across 10 road games this term (0.70 PPG). Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 0.70 is notably below their overall 1.80 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
On a straight form reading, Grenoble are the stronger side — 1.00 PPG clear of the hosts (1.80 vs 0.80). Backing them with draw insurance is the conservative play if the outright away price appears short.
H2H History
Form and model data should carry more weight here — the historical record is too balanced to provide a directional steer. From 1 meetings: Clermont Foot 0W, Grenoble 1W, 0D.
These two sides have produced goals at a consistent rate historically, averaging 3.0 per game across 1 meetings. That scoring profile provides genuine support for the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent clash, on 27 Sep 2024, ended 0–3 with Grenoble winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading Data
Clermont Foot goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (60 games, 29 at home): they score before half-time in 59% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 72% of the time; BTTS occurs in 52% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 31% of games (home games); they fail to score in 45% of games.
Grenoble goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (60 games, 29 at away): they score before half-time in 69% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 48% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 55% of games (away games); they fail to score in 37% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Clermont Foot 48% versus Grenoble 48%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Clermont Foot 43% | Grenoble 50%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Clermont Foot 1.00 xG and Grenoble 1.10 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Clermont Foot attack 0.703 / defence 1.078 | Grenoble attack 0.959 / defence 1.090. League average goals — home 1.303 / away 1.070. Clermont Foot's attack strength of 0.703 is below the league average — the 1.00 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 26 Clermont Foot games / 64 Grenoble games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Clermont Foot 32% | Draw 30% | Grenoble 38%. Fair-value odds: Clermont Foot 3.12 | Draw 3.33 | Grenoble 2.63. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 35% | BTTS probability 42% | Total xG 2.10. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 65% probability — total xG of 2.10 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 42% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Grenoble as the most likely outcome at 38% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 30% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Grenoble if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.10 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 35% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
Poisson assigns a 42% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Clermont Foot 70% | Grenoble 40%.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Clermont Foot vs Grenoble | Competition: Ligue 2, Regular Season - 27 | Venue: Stade Gabriel-Montpied • Kick-off: Friday 14 Mar 2025, 19:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Clermont Foot 32% | Draw 30% | Grenoble 38% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 35% | BTTS 42% | xG Clermont Foot 1.00 / Grenoble 1.10 • Poisson strength factors: Clermont Foot attack 0.703 / def 1.078 | Grenoble attack 0.959 / def 1.090 | league avg home 1.303 / away 1.070 • Poisson stance: Grenoble (38%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.00
Clermont Foot xG
Expected Goals
1.10
Grenoble xG
42%
BTTS
62%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
16%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Clermont Foot vs Grenoble kick off?
Clermont Foot vs Grenoble kicked off at 19:00 on Friday 14 March 2025 at Stade Gabriel-Montpied.
What was the final score in Clermont Foot vs Grenoble?
Clermont Foot 0 - 0 Grenoble.
Where is Clermont Foot vs Grenoble being played?
The match is being played at Stade Gabriel-Montpied.
What competition is Clermont Foot vs Grenoble part of?
Clermont Foot vs Grenoble is a Regular Season - 27 fixture in the Ligue 2 (France).
Who is favourite to win Clermont Foot vs Grenoble?
Our statistical model gives Clermont Foot a 32% chance of winning, Grenoble a 38% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Grenoble the favourite.
Will both teams score in Clermont Foot vs Grenoble?
Our model estimates a 42% probability that both Clermont Foot and Grenoble will score (BTTS).
Will Clermont Foot vs Grenoble have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 35%.
What is the head-to-head record between Clermont Foot and Grenoble?
Record (1 meetings): Clermont Foot 0W | Draws 0 | Grenoble 1W.
What form are Clermont Foot and Grenoble in?
Clermont Foot (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-D-L-L-L. Grenoble (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.10 | L5 D-W-D-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Clermont Foot's attack at 0.70x the league average against Grenoble's defence at 1.09x — combine the two and it projects 1.00 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Grenoble's attack (0.96x) against Clermont Foot's defence (1.08x) — and the away total comes out at 1.10.
These ratings are built from 26/64 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 15.2% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (14.0%), 0-1 (11.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 41% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Grenoble Win
32%
3.10
30%
3.35
38%
2.64
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.5%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
0 – 0
12.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.00
Clermont Foot xG
Total xG
2.10
1.10
Grenoble xG
3.10
32%
Home win
3.35
30%
Draw
2.64
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
35%
Over 2.5
2.86
65%
Under 2.5
1.54
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.37
58%
BTTS No
1.73
Clean Sheet
33%
3.02
37%
2.71
Win to Nil
11%
9.34
14%
7.17
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.2 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 13.5 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Clermont Foot vs Grenoble?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.2%.
How many goals are Clermont Foot and Grenoble expected to score?
The model projects 1.00 expected goals for Clermont Foot and 1.10 for Grenoble, a combined total of 2.10.
How confident is the prediction model for Clermont Foot vs Grenoble?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Clermont Foot come into this having played 60 games, going 11W 17D 32L for 0.83 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-L-L-L. The sample for Clermont Foot is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Grenoble sit at 1.32 PPG from 60 outings (21W 16D 23L), a run that reads D-W-D-L-D across their last five. The sample for Grenoble is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Grenoble carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.49 PPG clear of Clermont Foot — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
How They Fare by Venue
Clermont Foot's home form reads 5W 11D 13L across 29 games on their own ground, a 0.90 PPG return.
Away from home, Grenoble have taken 1.00 points per game from 29 outings (8W 5D 16L).
Attack vs Defence
Clermont Foot are averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game recently; Grenoble are on 1.20 scored and 1.25 conceded.
Last 60 Results — Ligue 2
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Clermont Foot
Blended
Grenoble
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Clermont Foot and Grenoble in coming into this match?
Clermont Foot have gone 11W 17D 32L in their last 60 games (0.83 PPG), while Grenoble have gone 21W 16D 23L in their last 60 (1.32 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Clermont Foot at home or Grenoble away?
Grenoble's away record (1.00 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Clermont Foot at home: 0.90 PPG; Grenoble away: 1.00 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 4 times that we have on record, stretching back to September 2024 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 1 year. Every recorded meeting has come in Ligue 2. They last met on 3 April 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Grenoble won 3-0 on 27 Sep 2024, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Clermont Foot have gone 1W 1D 0L from 2 meetings on their own ground against Grenoble — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 4 Meetings
1
Clermont Foot
2
Draws
1
Grenoble
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Clermont Foot and Grenoble?
From 4 meetings on record, Clermont Foot have won 1, Grenoble have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Clermont Foot and Grenoble last play each other?
They last met on 3 April 2026, when Grenoble 2-2 Clermont Foot.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Clermont Foot see a goal before the break in 59% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 14% of those situations.
Grenoble are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 69% of their matches.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Clermont Foot 52%, Grenoble 48% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 31% (Clermont Foot) and 55% (Grenoble).
On the defensive side: Clermont Foot have failed to score in 45% of games; Grenoble in 38%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Clermont Foot home games / Grenoble away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Clermont Foot play Grenoble?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 52% of Clermont Foot's recent matches and 48% of Grenoble's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Clermont Foot vs Grenoble usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 31% of Clermont Foot's recent games and 55% of Grenoble's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Clermont Foot and Grenoble tend to score early?
Clermont Foot have had a goal before half-time in 59% of their recent matches, Grenoble in 69% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Clermont Foot's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Clermont Foot and Grenoble finished level at 0-0 at Stade Gabriel-Montpied, Regular Season - 27, in the Ligue 2. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Clermont Foot 1.00 xG and Grenoble 1.10 xG, a combined 2.10. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Clermont Foot fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Grenoble landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Clermont Foot attack 0.70 / defence 1.08 against Grenoble attack 0.96 / defence 1.09, drawn from 26/64 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Clermont Foot 32% | Draw 30% | Grenoble 38%, with Grenoble to win its most likely call at 38%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 35%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 62% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Clermont Foot 43%, Grenoble 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 48%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Clermont Foot's trading profile (60 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 45% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Grenoble's trading profile (60 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Grenoble arrived the stronger side — 1.32 PPG against 0.83. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Clermont Foot (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.86 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.28 average — tighter than their form line. Grenoble (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.07 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.45 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.