Al-Jazira 0-0 Al Wahda FC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Al-Jazira at 48%, yet the head-to-head data favours Al Wahda FC — this Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC meet at Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium in Pro League (matchday 12). This fixture gets under way on Saturday 11 January 2025 at 15:45 UK time.
Current Form
Al-Jazira's record over their last 10 games: 6W 2D 2L (2.00 PPG). Last five: D W D L W. They are averaging 2.60 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
In front of their own supporters, Al-Jazira have posted 7W 2D 1L from their last 10 home games — 2.30 PPG. They are averaging 2.40 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. 4 home clean sheets from their last 10 home games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Al Wahda FC (all games): 5W 3D 2L across their last 10 — 1.80 points per game. Last five: D D W L W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.10 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
Al Wahda FC's form when playing away from home: 4W 2D 4L across their last 10 road games (1.40 PPG). Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from their last 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 2.00 PPG for Al-Jazira against 1.80 for Al Wahda FC. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
Head-to-Head
Across the 6 H2H matches in our data, Al Wahda FC have the stronger record — 5 wins to Al-Jazira's 0, with 1 draw.
Goals have been a feature of this fixture — the 6 H2H matches in our data averaged 3.0 per game, which gives Over 2.5 a solid head-to-head foundation. The most recent of those, on 2 Mar 2024, ended Al-Jazira 2–3 Al Wahda FC — a Al Wahda FC win.
The H2H data backs the away side. Al Wahda FC have won 5 of 6 H2H matches, and at 3.0 goals per game the goals market also points upward — the away win and Over 2.5 combination has a head-to-head case.
Trading
Al-Jazira half-time and goal-timing data (last 37 games, 18 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 89% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 100% of those occasions; of the 9 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 33%; BTTS occurs in 78% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 72% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 62%.
Al Wahda FC half-time and goal-timing data (last 37 games, 18 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 89% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; of the 11 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 36%; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 40%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Al-Jazira 73% and Al Wahda FC 65% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (Al-Jazira 70% | Al Wahda FC 62%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Al-Jazira 1.91 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.40 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Al-Jazira attack 1.150 / defence 0.986 | Al Wahda FC attack 1.007 / defence 0.894. League average goals — home 1.857 / away 1.406. Data: built from Al-Jazira's last 37 games and Al Wahda FC's last 37.
Result probabilities: Al-Jazira 48% | Draw 25% | Al Wahda FC 27%. Fair-value odds: Al-Jazira 2.08 | Draw 4.00 | Al Wahda FC 3.73. Al-Jazira hold a narrow Poisson edge at 48% — the draw (25%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 64% | BTTS Yes probability 65% | Total xG 3.31. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 64% — the 3.31 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 65% — both xG figures (1.91 / 1.40) are high enough that each side is projected to find the net.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Al-Jazira as the most likely outcome at 48% — moderate model lean. Draw probability of 25% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Al-Jazira if the outright odds are short.
Poisson projects 3.31 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 64% probability — strong conviction, supported by recent form (Al-Jazira's last 10 home games and Al Wahda FC's last 10 away games) averaging 3.3 goals per game and the H2H data averaging 3.0 goals per game across 6 H2H matches.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 65% on Yes. Form rates are neutral — both teams scored in: Al-Jazira 60% (last 10 home games) | Al Wahda FC 40% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC | Competition: Pro League, matchday 12 | Venue: Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 11 January 2025 at 15:45 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Al-Jazira 48% | Draw 25% | Al Wahda FC 27% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 64% (Under 36%) | BTTS Yes 65% (No 35%) | xG Al-Jazira 1.91 / Al Wahda FC 1.40 • Poisson strength factors: Al-Jazira attack 1.150 / def 0.986 | Al Wahda FC attack 1.007 / def 0.894 | league avg home 1.857 / away 1.406 • Poisson stance: Al-Jazira (48%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.91
Al-Jazira xG
Expected Goals
1.40
Al Wahda FC xG
65%
BTTS
86%
Over 1.5
64%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC FAQs
What time does Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC kick off?
Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC kicked off at 15:45 UK time on Saturday 11 January 2025 at Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium.
What was the final score in Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC?
Al-Jazira 0 - 0 Al Wahda FC.
Where is Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC being played?
The match is being played at Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium.
What competition is Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC part of?
Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC is a Pro League fixture (matchday 12) (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC?
Our statistical model gives Al-Jazira a 48% chance of winning, Al Wahda FC a 27% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Al-Jazira the favourite.
Will both teams score in Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC?
Our model estimates a 65% probability that both Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 64%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Al-Jazira's attack at 1.15x the league average against Al Wahda FC's defence at 0.89x — combine the two and it projects 1.91 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Al Wahda FC's attack (1.01x) against Al-Jazira's defence (0.99x) — and the away total comes out at 1.40.
These ratings are built from Al-Jazira's last 37 games and Al Wahda FC's last 37 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 11.0% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (9.3%), 1-2 (6.8%). Together the top three scorelines make up 27% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Al-Jazira Win
48%
2.08
25%
4.00
27%
3.73
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
1 – 0
7.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.91
Al-Jazira xG
Total xG
3.31
1.40
Al Wahda FC xG
2.08
48%
Home win
4.00
25%
Draw
3.73
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
42%
Over 3.5
2.38
58%
Under 3.5
1.72
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.53
35%
BTTS No
2.90
Clean Sheet
25%
4.04
15%
6.75
Win to Nil
12%
8.39
4%
25.14
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.0 | 9.8 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 9.3 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.0%.
How many goals are Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC expected to score?
The model projects 1.91 expected goals for Al-Jazira and 1.40 for Al Wahda FC, a combined total of 3.31.
How confident is the prediction model for Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 48%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 37 outings, Al-Jazira have picked up 1.49 PPG on a 15W 10D 12L record — D-W-D-L-W across the most recent five.
Al Wahda FC's form line: 18W 9D 10L from 37 games, 1.70 PPG, last five D-D-W-L-W.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.49 PPG for Al-Jazira against 1.70 for Al Wahda FC. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, Al-Jazira have posted 1.72 PPG from their last 18 home games (9W 4D 5L).
On the road, Al Wahda FC have gone 8W 3D 7L from their last 18 away games — 1.50 PPG when travelling.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Al-Jazira are averaging 2.05 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game recently; Al Wahda FC are on 1.81 scored and 1.30 conceded. Both sides have been scoring freely, which tends to support the goals markets running hot in this fixture.
On BTTS specifically: Al-Jazira have seen both teams score in 73% of their recent games; Al Wahda FC in 65%.
Last 37 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Al-Jazira
Blended
Al Wahda FC
Blended
Al-Jazira (Home) vs Al Wahda FC (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Al-Jazira
Blended
Al Wahda FC
Blended
❓ Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC Form FAQs
What form are Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC in coming into this match?
Al-Jazira have gone 15W 10D 12L in their last 37 games (1.49 PPG), while Al Wahda FC have gone 18W 9D 10L in their last 37 (1.70 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Al-Jazira at home or Al Wahda FC away?
Al-Jazira's home record (1.72 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Al-Jazira at home: 1.72 PPG; Al Wahda FC away: 1.50 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 10 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to December 2021 — enough to show some patterns. All of them came in Pro League. The most recent was on 20 February 2026, roughly 8 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Al-Jazira have gone 0W 1D 4L from the 5 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against Al Wahda FC — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
1
Al-Jazira
3
Draws
6
Al Wahda FC
Recent Meetings
❓ Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, Al-Jazira have won 1, Al Wahda FC have won 6, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 20 February 2026: Al Wahda FC 1-2 Al-Jazira.
Who has won more matches between Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC?
Al Wahda FC have the better head-to-head record, with 6 wins from the 10 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Al-Jazira are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 89% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 22% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 33% of those situations.
Al Wahda FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 89% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 17% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 78% for Al-Jazira, 56% for Al Wahda FC — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 72% for Al-Jazira and 56% for Al Wahda FC. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 61% and 33% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Al Wahda FC in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Al-Jazira home games / Al Wahda FC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Al-Jazira vs Al Wahda FC Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 78% of Al-Jazira's games and 56% of Al Wahda FC's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 72% of Al-Jazira's matches and 56% of Al Wahda FC's.
Do Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 89% of Al-Jazira's recent matches and 89% of Al Wahda FC's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Al-Jazira's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC finished level at 0-0 at Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium, Regular Season - 12, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Jazira 1.91 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.40 xG, a combined 3.31. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Al-Jazira fell 1.9 short of their projected output. Al Wahda FC landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Jazira attack 1.15 / defence 0.99 against Al Wahda FC attack 1.01 / defence 0.89, drawn from 37/37 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Al-Jazira 48% | Draw 25% | Al Wahda FC 27%, with Al-Jazira to win its most likely call at 48%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 25% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 86% and missed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 65% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Jazira 70%, Al Wahda FC 62%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 69%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Al-Jazira's trading profile (37 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 73% of their matches — today it did not.
Al Wahda FC's trading profile (37 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Al-Jazira 1.49 PPG, Al Wahda FC 1.70 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Al-Jazira (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.11 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.67 average — tighter than their form line. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.61 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.33 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.