Veres Rivne 2-0 Ruh Lviv – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Ruh Lviv at 44% — the head-to-head data provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Veres Rivne host Ruh Lviv at Stadion Avanhard in Premier League (matchday 13). Kick-off is Sunday 10 November 2024 at 11:00 UK time.
Recent Form
Across their last 10 games, Veres Rivne have gone 2W 5D 3L — a 1.10 PPG return. Last five: D W D D D. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.40 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
At home, Veres Rivne have gone 2W 5D 3L in their last 10 home games (1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Ruh Lviv — last 10 games: 2W 6D 2L — 1.20 PPG. Last five: D D L D D. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 0.70 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Defensively, 0.70 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not.
On the road, Ruh Lviv have gone 1W 7D 2L in their last 10 away fixtures (1.00 PPG). Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from their last 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.10 PPG (Veres Rivne) versus 1.20 (Ruh Lviv). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. Both teams have scored in 80% of Veres Rivne's games and 60% of Ruh Lviv's (from Veres Rivne's last 10 home games and Ruh Lviv's last 10 away games) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
H2H
Ruh Lviv have tended to come out on top in this fixture, winning 3 of the 6 H2H matches we hold against 0 for Veres Rivne.
The 6 H2H matches in our data have been high-scoring — 3.3 goals per game on average — which backs the Over 2.5 market from the head-to-head side. The most recent of those, on 27 Apr 2024, ended Veres Rivne 1–3 Ruh Lviv — a Ruh Lviv win.
The H2H data backs the away side. Ruh Lviv have won 3 of 6 H2H matches, and at 3.3 goals per game the goals market also points upward — the away win and Over 2.5 combination has a head-to-head case.
Trading Patterns
Veres Rivne in-play and half-time data (last 41 games, 21 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 76% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 58% of the time; of the 12 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 50%; of the 12 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 42%; BTTS occurs in 71% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (home games); they fail to score in 32% of games.
Ruh Lviv in-play and half-time data (last 41 games, 21 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 62% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; of the 11 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 54%; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 43% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Veres Rivne 61% versus Ruh Lviv 56%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Veres Rivne 49% | Ruh Lviv 39%). There is an in-play dynamic worth noting: Veres Rivne surrender their half-time lead 50% of the time, while Ruh Lviv have come from behind at the break to draw or win in 54% of cases — a combination that makes laying the hosts at HT a potential angle.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Veres Rivne 1.01 xG and Ruh Lviv 1.37 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Veres Rivne attack 1.053 / defence 1.268 | Ruh Lviv attack 0.997 / defence 0.833. League average goals — home 1.151 / away 1.080. Veres Rivne's defence rating of 1.268 (above 1 = concedes more than average) is pushing Ruh Lviv's projected output up. Data: built from Veres Rivne's last 42 games and Ruh Lviv's last 41.
Result probabilities: Veres Rivne 27% | Draw 29% | Ruh Lviv 44%. Fair-value odds: Veres Rivne 3.74 | Draw 3.42 | Ruh Lviv 2.27. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 42% | BTTS Yes probability 48% | Total xG 2.38. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 58% — total xG of 2.38 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS No at 52% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Ruh Lviv as the most likely outcome at 44% — marginal model lean. The head-to-head data (Ruh Lviv 3 wins from 6 H2H matches) corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Ruh Lviv offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.38 combined xG gives a 58% probability to Under 2.5 — low conviction — though the H2H data averaging 3.3 goals per game across 6 H2H matches points the other way.
Poisson assigns a 52% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. This conflicts with form data — both teams scored in: Veres Rivne 80% (last 10 home games) | Ruh Lviv 60% (last 10 away games), a notable divergence.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv | Competition: Premier League, matchday 13 | Venue: Stadion Avanhard • Kick-off: Sunday 10 November 2024 at 11:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Veres Rivne 27% | Draw 29% | Ruh Lviv 44% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 42% (Under 58%) | BTTS Yes 48% (No 52%) | xG Veres Rivne 1.01 / Ruh Lviv 1.37 • Poisson strength factors: Veres Rivne attack 1.053 / def 1.268 | Ruh Lviv attack 0.997 / def 0.833 | league avg home 1.151 / away 1.080 • Poisson stance: Ruh Lviv (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.01
Veres Rivne xG
Expected Goals
1.37
Ruh Lviv xG
48%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv FAQs
What time does Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv kick off?
Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv kicked off at 11:00 UK time on Sunday 10 November 2024 at Stadion Avanhard.
What was the final score in Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Veres Rivne 2 - 0 Ruh Lviv.
Where is Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv being played?
The match is being played at Stadion Avanhard.
What competition is Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv part of?
Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv is a Premier League fixture (matchday 13) (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Our statistical model gives Veres Rivne a 27% chance of winning, Ruh Lviv a 44% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Ruh Lviv the favourite.
Will both teams score in Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (52%).
Will Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 42%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (58%).
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Veres Rivne's attack rating (1.05) and Ruh Lviv's defence rating (0.83), the model arrives at 1.01 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Ruh Lviv's attack versus Veres Rivne's defence, projects 1.37 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from Veres Rivne's last 42 games and Ruh Lviv's last 41 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.5%. Close behind: 0-1 (11.0%), 0-0 (11.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 36% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Ruh Lviv Win
27%
3.74
29%
3.42
44%
2.27
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
12.7%
Away win
1 – 0
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.01
Veres Rivne xG
Total xG
2.38
1.37
Ruh Lviv xG
3.74
27%
Home win
3.42
29%
Draw
2.27
44%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.07
52%
BTTS No
1.93
Clean Sheet
26%
3.92
36%
2.74
Win to Nil
7%
14.64
16%
6.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 12.7 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 12.8 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.5%.
How many goals are Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv expected to score?
The model projects 1.01 expected goals for Veres Rivne and 1.37 for Ruh Lviv, a combined total of 2.38.
How confident is the prediction model for Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Veres Rivne come into this having played 41 games, going 9W 16D 16L for 1.05 points per game. Their last five reads D-W-D-D-D.
On the other side, Ruh Lviv sit at 1.56 PPG from 41 outings (15W 19D 7L), a run that reads D-D-L-D-D across their last five.
Ruh Lviv carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.51 PPG clear of Veres Rivne — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Venue Form
Veres Rivne's home form reads 6W 9D 6L across their last 21 home games, a 1.29 PPG return.
Away from home, Ruh Lviv have taken 1.57 points per game from their last 21 away games (8W 9D 4L).
Goals in Recent Form
Veres Rivne are averaging 1.12 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game recently; Ruh Lviv are on 1.46 scored and 0.93 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Veres Rivne have seen both teams score in 61% of their recent games.
Defensively: Ruh Lviv in 37% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 41 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Veres Rivne
Blended
Ruh Lviv
Blended
Veres Rivne (Home) vs Ruh Lviv (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Veres Rivne
Blended
Ruh Lviv
Blended
❓ Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv Form FAQs
What form are Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv in coming into this match?
Veres Rivne have gone 9W 16D 16L in their last 41 games (1.05 PPG), while Ruh Lviv have gone 15W 19D 7L in their last 41 (1.56 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Veres Rivne at home or Ruh Lviv away?
Ruh Lviv's away record (1.57 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Veres Rivne at home: 1.29 PPG; Ruh Lviv away: 1.57 PPG.
Have Veres Rivne or Ruh Lviv been keeping clean sheets recently?
Veres Rivne have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their recent games, Ruh Lviv in 37%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
This section is based on the 10 H2H matches we hold for this pairing, spanning roughly 4 years from August 2021. All of them came in Premier League. The most recent was on 9 May 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap in our H2H data came on 22 Oct 2023, when Ruh Lviv won Veres Rivne 2-5 Ruh Lviv.
Veres Rivne's record when hosting Ruh Lviv specifically: 2W 2D 1L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
2
Veres Rivne
4
Draws
4
Ruh Lviv
Recent Meetings
❓ Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, Veres Rivne have won 2, Ruh Lviv have won 4, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 9 May 2026: Ruh Lviv 0-0 Veres Rivne.
Who has won more matches between Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv?
Ruh Lviv have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from the 10 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Veres Rivne are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 43% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 40% of those situations.
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 29% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Veres Rivne 71%, Ruh Lviv 57% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 62% (Veres Rivne) and 43% (Ruh Lviv).
On the defensive side: Ruh Lviv in 38%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Veres Rivne home games / Ruh Lviv away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 71% of Veres Rivne's games and 57% of Ruh Lviv's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 62% of Veres Rivne's recent games and 43% of Ruh Lviv's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 76% of Veres Rivne's recent matches and 62% of Ruh Lviv's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Veres Rivne cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Ruh Lviv.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Veres Rivne beat Ruh Lviv 2-0 at Stadion Avanhard, Regular Season - 13, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Veres Rivne 1.01 xG and Ruh Lviv 1.37 xG, a combined 2.38. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Veres Rivne beat their projection by 1.0 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Ruh Lviv landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Veres Rivne attack 1.05 / defence 1.27 against Ruh Lviv attack 1.00 / defence 0.83, drawn from 42/41 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Veres Rivne 27% | Draw 29% | Ruh Lviv 44%, with Ruh Lviv to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual Veres Rivne win had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 44% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Veres Rivne 49%, Ruh Lviv 39%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Veres Rivne's trading profile (41 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (41 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 37% of the time, and conceded here.
Form vs Result
On form, Ruh Lviv arrived the stronger side — 1.56 PPG against 1.05. Form was overturned, with Veres Rivne winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Veres Rivne (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.62 average — tighter than their form line. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.48 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.05 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.