FC Sion 2-0 Grasshoppers – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Grasshoppers at 42%, yet other data sources diverge — this FC Sion vs Grasshoppers fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Super League clash, Regular Season - 19 as FC Sion welcome Grasshoppers to Stade de Tourbillon. Kick-off is set for Sunday 30 January 2022 at 15:30 UTC.
Form Guide
FC Sion — All Games: 4W 0D 6L from 10 Super League outings this season, averaging 1.20 points per game. Last five: L W L L W. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for FC Sion, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, FC Sion have posted 4W 1D 4L at Stade de Tourbillon — 1.44 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 56% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Grasshoppers stand at 3W 4D 3L from 10 Super League matches — 1.30 PPG. Last five: L L W D D. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.20 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. This season is still relatively young for Grasshoppers, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Grasshoppers have gone 2W 4D 3L from 9 away fixtures this term (1.11 PPG). Away from home they average 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 78% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.20 PPG (FC Sion) versus 1.30 (Grasshoppers). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
In-Play Data
FC Sion trading profile (18 games, 9 at home): they score before half-time in 78% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 39%.
Grasshoppers trading profile (18 games, 9 at away): they score before half-time in 78% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 78% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 67% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 50%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — FC Sion 67% and Grasshoppers 78% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (FC Sion 50% | Grasshoppers 56%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects FC Sion 1.36 xG and Grasshoppers 1.56 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: FC Sion attack 0.926 / defence 0.984 | Grasshoppers attack 0.975 / defence 1.220. League average goals — home 1.204 / away 1.631. Grasshoppers bring a strong defensive rating of 1.220 — this is suppressing FC Sion's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 18 FC Sion games / 18 Grasshoppers games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: FC Sion 33% | Draw 25% | Grasshoppers 42%. Fair-value odds: FC Sion 3.03 | Draw 4.00 | Grasshoppers 2.38. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 25% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 56% | BTTS probability 59% | Total xG 2.93. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 56% — the 2.93 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 59% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Grasshoppers as the most likely outcome at 42% — marginal model lean. With a 25% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Grasshoppers offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.93 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 56% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 2.8 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 59%. Form rates corroborate: FC Sion 56% | Grasshoppers 78% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: FC Sion vs Grasshoppers | Competition: Super League, Regular Season - 19 | Venue: Stade de Tourbillon • Kick-off: Sunday 30 Jan 2022, 15:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: FC Sion 33% | Draw 25% | Grasshoppers 42% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 56% | BTTS 59% | xG FC Sion 1.36 / Grasshoppers 1.56 • Poisson strength factors: FC Sion attack 0.926 / def 0.984 | Grasshoppers attack 0.975 / def 1.220 | league avg home 1.204 / away 1.631 • Poisson stance: Grasshoppers (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.36
FC Sion xG
Expected Goals
1.56
Grasshoppers xG
59%
BTTS
79%
Over 1.5
56%
Over 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does FC Sion vs Grasshoppers kick off?
FC Sion vs Grasshoppers kicked off at 15:30 on Sunday 30 January 2022 at Stade de Tourbillon.
What was the final score in FC Sion vs Grasshoppers?
FC Sion 2 - 0 Grasshoppers.
Where is FC Sion vs Grasshoppers being played?
The match is being played at Stade de Tourbillon.
What competition is FC Sion vs Grasshoppers part of?
FC Sion vs Grasshoppers is a Regular Season - 19 fixture in the Super League (Switzerland).
Who is favourite to win FC Sion vs Grasshoppers?
Our statistical model gives FC Sion a 33% chance of winning, Grasshoppers a 42% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Grasshoppers the favourite.
Will both teams score in FC Sion vs Grasshoppers?
Our model estimates a 59% probability that both FC Sion and Grasshoppers will score (BTTS).
Will FC Sion vs Grasshoppers have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Sion and Grasshoppers?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are FC Sion and Grasshoppers in?
FC Sion (all comps): 4W-0D-6L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.90 | L5 L-W-L-L-W. Grasshoppers (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 2.20 / GA 1.70 | L5 L-L-W-D-D.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
FC Sion's attacking strength (0.93x league average) is weighed against Grasshoppers's defensive record (1.22x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.36. The same calculation in reverse, Grasshoppers's attack versus FC Sion's defence, projects 1.56 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 18/18 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.9%. Close behind: 1-2 (8.9%), 2-1 (7.8%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Grasshoppers Win
33%
3.01
25%
4.08
42%
2.36
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.9%
Away win
0 – 1
8.4%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.36
FC Sion xG
Total xG
2.93
1.56
Grasshoppers xG
3.01
33%
Home win
4.08
25%
Draw
2.36
42%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.70
41%
BTTS No
2.43
Clean Sheet
21%
4.78
26%
3.90
Win to Nil
7%
14.41
11%
9.22
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 8.4 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 11.4 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 7.8 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for FC Sion vs Grasshoppers?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.9%.
How many goals are FC Sion and Grasshoppers expected to score?
The model projects 1.36 expected goals for FC Sion and 1.56 for Grasshoppers, a combined total of 2.93.
How confident is the prediction model for FC Sion vs Grasshoppers?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
FC Sion's recent record stands at 6W 3D 9L from 18 games, a 1.17 PPG return, with L-W-L-L-W in the last five. The sample for FC Sion is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Grasshoppers, meanwhile, have gone 5W 8D 5L across 18 games — 1.28 PPG, with L-L-W-D-D in their last five. The sample for Grasshoppers is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: FC Sion on 1.17 PPG, Grasshoppers on 1.28. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
At home specifically, FC Sion have managed 4W 1D 4L from 9 games — 1.44 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Grasshoppers's away record stands at 2W 4D 3L across 9 trips, a 1.11 PPG haul.
Goals in Recent Form
FC Sion are averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game recently; Grasshoppers are on 1.78 scored and 1.44 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: FC Sion have seen both teams score in 67% of their recent games; Grasshoppers in 78%.
Last 18 Results — Super League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
FC Sion
Blended
Grasshoppers
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are FC Sion and Grasshoppers in coming into this match?
FC Sion have gone 6W 3D 9L in their last 18 games (1.17 PPG), while Grasshoppers have gone 5W 8D 5L in their last 18 (1.28 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — FC Sion at home or Grasshoppers away?
FC Sion's home record (1.44 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — FC Sion at home: 1.44 PPG; Grasshoppers away: 1.11 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Super League. They last met on 6 April 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Streaks & Records
There's a clear current trend here: FC Sion have taken the last 4 head-to-head results.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 6 Apr 2026, when FC Sion won 0-4 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
FC Sion's record when hosting Grasshoppers specifically: 2W 0D 2L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
5
FC Sion
2
Draws
3
Grasshoppers
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between FC Sion and Grasshoppers?
From 10 meetings on record, FC Sion have won 5, Grasshoppers have won 3, and 2 have been drawn.
When did FC Sion and Grasshoppers last play each other?
They last met on 6 April 2026, when Grasshoppers 0-4 FC Sion.
Who has won more matches between FC Sion and Grasshoppers?
FC Sion have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
FC Sion are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches.
Grasshoppers are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 22% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — FC Sion at 56%, Grasshoppers at 78%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 44% (FC Sion) and 67% (Grasshoppers). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 33% and 56% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = FC Sion home games / Grasshoppers away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when FC Sion play Grasshoppers?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 56% of FC Sion's games and 78% of Grasshoppers's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is FC Sion vs Grasshoppers usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 44% of FC Sion's matches and 67% of Grasshoppers's.
Do FC Sion and Grasshoppers tend to score early?
FC Sion have had a goal before half-time in 78% of their recent matches, Grasshoppers in 78% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
FC Sion cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Grasshoppers.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
FC Sion beat Grasshoppers 2-0 at Stade de Tourbillon, Regular Season - 19, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Sion 1.36 xG and Grasshoppers 1.56 xG, a combined 2.93. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Grasshoppers landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Sion attack 0.93 / defence 0.98 against Grasshoppers attack 0.97 / defence 1.22, drawn from 18/18 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it FC Sion 33% | Draw 25% | Grasshoppers 42%, with Grasshoppers to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual FC Sion win had been the model's second-ranked read at 33%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 56%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Sion 50%, Grasshoppers 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 72%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
FC Sion's trading profile (18 games, 9 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.
Grasshoppers's trading profile (18 games, 9 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 78% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — FC Sion 1.17 PPG, Grasshoppers 1.28 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Sion win broke the near-deadlock. FC Sion (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.22 average — tighter than their form line. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.67 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.