Halmstad 0-0 Djurgardens IF – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Djurgardens IF at 40% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Djurgardens IF make the trip to Örjans Vall to face Halmstad in Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 10. The match kicks off on Monday 12 July 2021 at 18:00 UTC.
Form
Halmstad (all games): 2W 4D 3L across 9 Allsvenskan fixtures this term — 1.11 PPG. Last five: L D W D D. They are averaging 0.89 goals per game and conceding 1.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 9 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Halmstad, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Halmstad's home record at Örjans Vall: 1W 3D 0L from 4 Allsvenskan appearances (1.50 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.75 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 2 clean sheets from 4 home games (50%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Örjans Vall.
Djurgardens IF have collected 2.30 PPG across 10 Allsvenskan outings this season: 7W 2D 1L. Last five: L W D D W. They are scoring at 1.70 per game and conceding 0.60. Defensively, 0.60 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 6 clean sheets from 10 games (60%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their games, reflecting a regular tendency to keep or record clean sheets. This season is still relatively young for Djurgardens IF, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Djurgardens IF away from home this season: 4W 3D 3L from 10 away games — 1.50 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.50 is notably below their overall 2.30 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Djurgardens IF arrive in superior form — a 1.19 PPG advantage (2.30 vs 1.11) that offsets much of the home-ground benefit. The away side are the form pick, with draw protection the sensible way to manage the home-field uncertainty.
Trading & In-Play
Halmstad — key trading statistics (9 games, 4 at home): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; when winning at HT they fail to see it out 33% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 0% of games (home games); they fail to score in 33% of games.
Djurgardens IF — key trading statistics (9 games, 4 at away): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; they lead at the break 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games); they keep a clean sheet 56% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Halmstad 56% versus Djurgardens IF 33%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Halmstad 22% | Djurgardens IF 44%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Halmstad 0.97 xG and Djurgardens IF 1.21 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Halmstad attack 0.696 / defence 0.960 | Djurgardens IF attack 1.148 / defence 0.917. League average goals — home 1.519 / away 1.095. Halmstad's attack strength of 0.696 is below the league average — the 0.97 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 9 Halmstad games / 39 Djurgardens IF games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Halmstad 28% | Draw 33% | Djurgardens IF 40%. Fair-value odds: Halmstad 3.57 | Draw 3.03 | Djurgardens IF 2.50. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 33% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 37% | BTTS probability 45% | Total xG 2.18. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 63% — total xG of 2.18 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 45% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Djurgardens IF are the pick at 40% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 33% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Djurgardens IF if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.18 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 37% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 2.1 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 45% on No. Form rates are neutral: Halmstad 50% | Djurgardens IF 60%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF | Competition: Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 10 | Venue: Örjans Vall • Kick-off: Monday 12 Jul 2021, 18:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Halmstad 28% | Draw 33% | Djurgardens IF 40% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 37% | BTTS 45% | xG Halmstad 0.97 / Djurgardens IF 1.21 • Poisson strength factors: Halmstad attack 0.696 / def 0.960 | Djurgardens IF attack 1.148 / def 0.917 | league avg home 1.519 / away 1.095 • Poisson stance: Djurgardens IF (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.97
Halmstad xG
Expected Goals
1.21
Djurgardens IF xG
45%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
18%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF kick off?
Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF kicked off at 18:00 on Monday 12 July 2021 at Örjans Vall.
What was the final score in Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF?
Halmstad 0 - 0 Djurgardens IF.
Where is Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF being played?
The match is being played at Örjans Vall.
What competition is Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF part of?
Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF is a Regular Season - 10 fixture in the Allsvenskan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF?
Our statistical model gives Halmstad a 28% chance of winning, Djurgardens IF a 40% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw — making Djurgardens IF the favourite.
Will both teams score in Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF?
Our model estimates a 45% probability that both Halmstad and Djurgardens IF will score (BTTS).
Will Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 37%.
What is the head-to-head record between Halmstad and Djurgardens IF?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Halmstad and Djurgardens IF in?
Halmstad (all comps): 2W-4D-3L in 9 | 1.11 PPG | GF 0.89 / GA 1.00 | L5 L-D-W-D-D. Djurgardens IF (all comps): 7W-2D-1L in 10 | 2.30 PPG | GF 1.70 / GA 0.60 | L5 L-W-D-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Halmstad's attack at 0.70x the league average against Djurgardens IF's defence at 0.92x — combine the two and it projects 0.97 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Djurgardens IF's attack (1.15x) against Halmstad's defence (0.96x) — and the away total comes out at 1.21.
These ratings are built from 9/39 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 15.0% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (13.1%), 0-1 (12.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 40% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Djurgardens IF Win
28%
3.62
33%
3.04
40%
2.53
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
0 – 0
11.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.97
Halmstad xG
Total xG
2.18
1.21
Djurgardens IF xG
3.62
28%
Home win
3.04
33%
Draw
2.53
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.20
55%
BTTS No
1.83
Clean Sheet
30%
3.34
38%
2.64
Win to Nil
8%
12.11
15%
6.68
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.3 | 13.7 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 13.3 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.0%.
How many goals are Halmstad and Djurgardens IF expected to score?
The model projects 0.97 expected goals for Halmstad and 1.21 for Djurgardens IF, a combined total of 2.18.
How confident is the prediction model for Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Halmstad's recent record stands at 2W 4D 3L from 9 games, a 1.11 PPG return, with L-D-W-D-D in the last five. The sample for Halmstad is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Djurgardens IF, meanwhile, have gone 6W 2D 1L across 9 games — 2.22 PPG, with L-W-D-D-W in their last five. The sample for Djurgardens IF is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Djurgardens IF by 1.11 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Halmstad heading into this one.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Halmstad have managed 1W 3D 0L from 4 games — 1.50 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Djurgardens IF's away record stands at 2W 1D 1L across 4 trips, a 1.75 PPG haul. That's a step down from their 2.22 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Djurgardens IF's season.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Halmstad are averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game recently; Djurgardens IF are on 1.78 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both sides have been difficult to break down recently — a combination that often points to a tighter, lower-scoring game than the average fixture.
Defensively: Djurgardens IF in 56% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 9 Results — Allsvenskan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Halmstad
Blended
Djurgardens IF
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Halmstad and Djurgardens IF in coming into this match?
Halmstad have gone 2W 4D 3L in their last 9 games (1.11 PPG), while Djurgardens IF have gone 6W 2D 1L in their last 9 (2.22 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Halmstad at home or Djurgardens IF away?
Djurgardens IF's away record (1.75 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Halmstad at home: 1.50 PPG; Djurgardens IF away: 1.75 PPG.
Have Halmstad or Djurgardens IF been keeping clean sheets recently?
Halmstad have kept a clean sheet in 22% of their recent games, Djurgardens IF in 56%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 9 times since July 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Allsvenskan. The two were last together as recently as 13 July 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Djurgardens IF won 3-0 on 13 Jul 2026, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Halmstad have gone 3W 1D 0L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Djurgardens IF — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 9 Meetings
3
Halmstad
2
Draws
4
Djurgardens IF
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Halmstad and Djurgardens IF?
From 9 meetings on record, Halmstad have won 3, Djurgardens IF have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Halmstad and Djurgardens IF last play each other?
They last met on 13 July 2026, when Djurgardens IF 3-0 Halmstad.
Who has won more matches between Halmstad and Djurgardens IF?
Djurgardens IF have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 9 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Halmstad see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 50% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Djurgardens IF are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 75% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 25% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Halmstad 50%, Djurgardens IF 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 0% for Halmstad and 50% for Djurgardens IF.
On the defensive side: Halmstad keep a clean sheet in 50% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Halmstad home games / Djurgardens IF away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Halmstad play Djurgardens IF?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 50% of Halmstad's recent matches and 50% of Djurgardens IF's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 0% of Halmstad's recent games and 50% of Djurgardens IF's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Halmstad and Djurgardens IF tend to score early?
Halmstad have had a goal before half-time in 50% of their recent matches, Djurgardens IF in 75% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Halmstad's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Örjans Vall, Regular Season - 10, as Halmstad and Djurgardens IF drew 0-0 in the Allsvenskan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Halmstad 0.97 xG and Djurgardens IF 1.21 xG, a combined 2.18. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Halmstad fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Djurgardens IF landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Halmstad attack 0.70 / defence 0.96 against Djurgardens IF attack 1.15 / defence 0.92, drawn from 9/39 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Halmstad 28% | Draw 33% | Djurgardens IF 40%, with Djurgardens IF to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 33%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 37%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 66% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 33% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Halmstad 22%, Djurgardens IF 44%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Halmstad's trading profile (9 games, 4 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Djurgardens IF's trading profile (9 games, 4 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 33% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 56% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Djurgardens IF arrived the stronger side — 2.22 PPG against 1.11. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Djurgardens IF (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.75 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.25 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.