West Brom 0-2 Sheffield Utd – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Sheffield Utd at 39% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this West Brom vs Sheffield Utd encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Sheffield Utd make the trip to The Hawthorns to face West Brom in Championship, Regular Season - 18. The match kicks off on Saturday 29 October 2022 at 12:30 UTC.
Form
West Brom (all games): 1W 4D 5L across 10 Championship fixtures this term — 0.70 PPG. Last five: L D W L L. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.40 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for West Brom, so this record blends games from this season and last.
West Brom at The Hawthorns this season: 2W 5D 3L from 10 home games — 1.10 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Sheffield Utd have collected 1.50 PPG across 10 Championship outings this season: 4W 3D 3L. Last five: L L D L D. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 1.10. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. This season is still relatively young for Sheffield Utd, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Sheffield Utd away from home this season: 5W 2D 3L from 10 away games — 1.70 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game.
The travelling side arrive in better shape. Sheffield Utd are 0.80 PPG clear of West Brom in recent Championship fixtures (1.50 vs 0.70). Backing the visitors outright or on Draw No Bet are both valid approaches where the price allows.
Head-to-Head
Neither side has dominated this fixture. The last 2 head-to-head meetings have produced 1 wins for West Brom, 1 for Sheffield Utd and 0 draws — an even split that leaves the H2H largely neutral as a betting input.
Attacking output has been a hallmark of this fixture. At 3.0 goals per game across 2 meetings, the Over 2.5 has a statistically grounded case from the head-to-head record alone. The most recent clash, on 9 Feb 2022, ended 0–2 with Sheffield Utd winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading & In-Play
West Brom — key trading statistics (62 games, 31 at home): they score before half-time in 58% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 65% of the time; BTTS occurs in 42% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 39% of games (home games); they fail to score in 36% of games.
Sheffield Utd — key trading statistics (62 games, 31 at away): they score before half-time in 48% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; BTTS occurs in 48% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 42% of games (away games); they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — West Brom 42% versus Sheffield Utd 45%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (West Brom 39% | Sheffield Utd 45%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects West Brom 1.14 xG and Sheffield Utd 1.25 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: West Brom attack 0.919 / defence 1.167 | Sheffield Utd attack 0.948 / defence 0.928. League average goals — home 1.331 / away 1.126. Data: 62 West Brom games / 62 Sheffield Utd games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: West Brom 33% | Draw 28% | Sheffield Utd 39%. Fair-value odds: West Brom 3.03 | Draw 3.57 | Sheffield Utd 2.56. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 43% | BTTS probability 48% | Total xG 2.38. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 57% — total xG of 2.38 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 48% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Sheffield Utd are the pick at 39% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Sheffield Utd if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.38 combined xG gives a 43% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 48%. Form rates are neutral: West Brom 50% | Sheffield Utd 50%.
The outsider holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: West Brom vs Sheffield Utd | Competition: Championship, Regular Season - 18 | Venue: The Hawthorns • Kick-off: Saturday 29 Oct 2022, 12:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: West Brom 33% | Draw 28% | Sheffield Utd 39% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 43% | BTTS 48% | xG West Brom 1.14 / Sheffield Utd 1.25 • Poisson strength factors: West Brom attack 0.919 / def 1.167 | Sheffield Utd attack 0.948 / def 0.928 | league avg home 1.331 / away 1.126 • Poisson stance: Sheffield Utd (39%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.14
West Brom xG
Expected Goals
1.25
Sheffield Utd xG
48%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does West Brom vs Sheffield Utd kick off?
West Brom vs Sheffield Utd kicked off at 12:30 on Saturday 29 October 2022 at The Hawthorns.
What was the final score in West Brom vs Sheffield Utd?
West Brom 0 - 2 Sheffield Utd.
Where is West Brom vs Sheffield Utd being played?
The match is being played at The Hawthorns.
What competition is West Brom vs Sheffield Utd part of?
West Brom vs Sheffield Utd is a Regular Season - 18 fixture in the Championship (England).
Who is favourite to win West Brom vs Sheffield Utd?
Our statistical model gives West Brom a 33% chance of winning, Sheffield Utd a 39% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Sheffield Utd the favourite.
Will both teams score in West Brom vs Sheffield Utd?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both West Brom and Sheffield Utd will score (BTTS).
Will West Brom vs Sheffield Utd have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 43%.
What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Sheffield Utd?
Record (2 meetings): West Brom 1W | Draws 0 | Sheffield Utd 1W.
What form are West Brom and Sheffield Utd in?
West Brom (all comps): 1W-4D-5L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-D-W-L-L. Sheffield Utd (all comps): 4W-3D-3L in 10 | 1.50 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-L-D-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
West Brom's attacking strength (0.92x league average) is weighed against Sheffield Utd's defensive record (0.93x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.14. Flip it around — Sheffield Utd's attack (0.95x) against West Brom's defence (1.17x) — and the away total comes out at 1.25.
These ratings are built from 62/62 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.8%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.9%), 0-1 (9.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 36% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Sheffield Utd Win
33%
2.99
28%
3.61
39%
2.58
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.5%
Away win
1 – 0
10.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.14
West Brom xG
Total xG
2.38
1.25
Sheffield Utd xG
2.99
33%
Home win
3.61
28%
Draw
2.58
39%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.07
52%
BTTS No
1.94
Clean Sheet
29%
3.48
32%
3.11
Win to Nil
10%
10.39
12%
8.02
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2 | 11.5 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.5 | 13.1 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.0 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for West Brom vs Sheffield Utd?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.
How many goals are West Brom and Sheffield Utd expected to score?
The model projects 1.14 expected goals for West Brom and 1.25 for Sheffield Utd, a combined total of 2.38.
How confident is the prediction model for West Brom vs Sheffield Utd?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 39%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
West Brom's recent record stands at 20W 21D 21L from 62 games, a 1.31 PPG return, with L-D-W-L-L in the last five. The sample for West Brom is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Sheffield Utd, meanwhile, have gone 29W 16D 17L across 62 games — 1.66 PPG, with L-L-D-L-D in their last five. The sample for Sheffield Utd is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.31 PPG for West Brom against 1.66 for Sheffield Utd. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, West Brom have managed 13W 12D 6L from 31 games — 1.65 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Sheffield Utd's away record stands at 12W 8D 11L across 31 trips, a 1.42 PPG haul.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
West Brom are averaging 1.16 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game recently; Sheffield Utd are on 1.48 scored and 1.02 conceded.
Defensively: West Brom have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their games; Sheffield Utd in 40% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 62 Results — Championship
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
West Brom
Blended
Sheffield Utd
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are West Brom and Sheffield Utd in coming into this match?
West Brom have gone 20W 21D 21L in their last 62 games (1.31 PPG), while Sheffield Utd have gone 29W 16D 17L in their last 62 (1.66 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — West Brom at home or Sheffield Utd away?
West Brom's home record (1.65 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — West Brom at home: 1.65 PPG; Sheffield Utd away: 1.42 PPG.
Have West Brom or Sheffield Utd been keeping clean sheets recently?
West Brom have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their recent games, Sheffield Utd in 40%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 8 times since August 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Championship. They last met on 7 March 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: West Brom won 4-0 on 18 Aug 2021, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, West Brom have gone 2W 1D 1L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Sheffield Utd — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
2
West Brom
3
Draws
3
Sheffield Utd
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Sheffield Utd?
From 8 meetings on record, West Brom have won 2, Sheffield Utd have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did West Brom and Sheffield Utd last play each other?
They last met on 7 March 2026, when Sheffield Utd 1-1 West Brom.
Who has won more matches between West Brom and Sheffield Utd?
Sheffield Utd have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
West Brom see a goal before the break in 58% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 16% of those situations.
Sheffield Utd see a goal before the break in 48% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 13% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — West Brom 42%, Sheffield Utd 48% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 39% (West Brom) and 42% (Sheffield Utd).
On the defensive side: West Brom keep a clean sheet in 48% of their matches; West Brom have failed to score in 29% of games; Sheffield Utd in 32%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = West Brom home games / Sheffield Utd away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when West Brom play Sheffield Utd?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 42% of West Brom's recent matches and 48% of Sheffield Utd's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is West Brom vs Sheffield Utd usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 39% of West Brom's recent games and 42% of Sheffield Utd's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Sheffield Utd cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over West Brom.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Sheffield Utd beat West Brom 0-2 at The Hawthorns, Regular Season - 18, in the Championship. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting West Brom 1.14 xG and Sheffield Utd 1.25 xG, a combined 2.38. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. West Brom fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of West Brom attack 0.92 / defence 1.17 against Sheffield Utd attack 0.95 / defence 0.93, drawn from 62/62 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it West Brom 33% | Draw 28% | Sheffield Utd 39%, with Sheffield Utd to win its most likely call at 39%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 69% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (West Brom 39%, Sheffield Utd 45%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
West Brom's trading profile (62 games, 31 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 42% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 36% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Sheffield Utd's trading profile (62 games, 31 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — West Brom 1.31 PPG, Sheffield Utd 1.66 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Sheffield Utd win broke the near-deadlock. West Brom (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.42 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 0.90 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Sheffield Utd (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.16 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.26 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.