Wuhan Zall 0-0 SHANGHAI SIPG – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates SHANGHAI SIPG at 52% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Jiangyin Sports Park Stadium plays host to Wuhan Zall versus SHANGHAI SIPG in Super League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off: Monday 19 July 2021 at 09:30 UTC.
Form
Wuhan Zall (all games): 0W 2D 3L across 5 Super League fixtures this term — 0.40 PPG. Last five: D L D L L. They are averaging 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.60 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 5 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. Wuhan Zall have played only a handful of Super League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
SHANGHAI SIPG have collected 2.20 PPG across 5 Super League outings this season: 3W 2D 0L. Last five: W W D D W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.60 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. Defensively, 0.60 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 2 clean sheets in 5 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. SHANGHAI SIPG have played only a handful of Super League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
On a straight form reading, SHANGHAI SIPG are the stronger side — 1.80 PPG clear of the hosts (2.20 vs 0.40). Backing them with draw insurance is the conservative play if the outright away price appears short.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using overall form) — Wuhan Zall have seen both teams score in 60% of their games, SHANGHAI SIPG in 60%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
Trading Data
Wuhan Zall goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (5 games): they score before half-time in 60% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 40% of games; they fail to score in 40% of games.
SHANGHAI SIPG goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (5 games): they score before half-time in 60% of fixtures; they lead at the break 60% of the time; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games; Over 3.5 in 40%; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Wuhan Zall 60% and SHANGHAI SIPG 60% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Wuhan Zall 40% | SHANGHAI SIPG 60%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Wuhan Zall 0.91 xG and SHANGHAI SIPG 1.67 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Wuhan Zall attack 0.848 / defence 1.373 | SHANGHAI SIPG attack 1.171 / defence 1.140. League average goals — home 0.936 / away 1.036. Data: 5 Wuhan Zall games / 5 SHANGHAI SIPG games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Wuhan Zall 17% | Draw 31% | SHANGHAI SIPG 52%. Fair-value odds: Wuhan Zall 5.88 | Draw 3.23 | SHANGHAI SIPG 1.92. SHANGHAI SIPG hold a narrow Poisson edge at 52% — the draw (31%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 47% | BTTS probability 52% | Total xG 2.57. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 47%/53% — the total xG of 2.57 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 52% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates SHANGHAI SIPG as the most likely outcome at 52% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 31% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on SHANGHAI SIPG if the outright odds are short.
Poisson projects 2.57 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 47% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 52% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: Wuhan Zall 60% | SHANGHAI SIPG 60% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG | Competition: Super League, Regular Season - 6 | Venue: Jiangyin Sports Park Stadium • Kick-off: Monday 19 Jul 2021, 09:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Wuhan Zall 17% | Draw 31% | SHANGHAI SIPG 52% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 47% | BTTS 52% | xG Wuhan Zall 0.91 / SHANGHAI SIPG 1.67 • Poisson strength factors: Wuhan Zall attack 0.848 / def 1.373 | SHANGHAI SIPG attack 1.171 / def 1.140 | league avg home 0.936 / away 1.036 • Poisson stance: SHANGHAI SIPG (52%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.91
Wuhan Zall xG
Expected Goals
1.67
SHANGHAI SIPG xG
52%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG kick off?
Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG kicked off at 09:30 on Monday 19 July 2021 at Jiangyin Sports Park Stadium.
What was the final score in Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Wuhan Zall 0 - 0 SHANGHAI SIPG.
Where is Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG being played?
The match is being played at Jiangyin Sports Park Stadium.
What competition is Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG part of?
Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG is a Regular Season - 6 fixture in the Super League (China).
Who is favourite to win Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our statistical model gives Wuhan Zall a 17% chance of winning, SHANGHAI SIPG a 52% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw — making SHANGHAI SIPG the favourite.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Wuhan Zall and SHANGHAI SIPG will score (BTTS).
Will Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 47%.
What is the head-to-head record between Wuhan Zall and SHANGHAI SIPG?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Wuhan Zall and SHANGHAI SIPG in?
Wuhan Zall (all comps): 0W-2D-3L in 5 | 0.40 PPG | GF 0.60 / GA 1.60 | L5 D-L-D-L-L. SHANGHAI SIPG (all comps): 3W-2D-0L in 5 | 2.20 PPG | GF 2.60 / GA 0.60 | L5 W-W-D-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Wuhan Zall's attack rating (0.85) and SHANGHAI SIPG's defence rating (1.14), the model arrives at 0.91 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — SHANGHAI SIPG's attack (1.17x) against Wuhan Zall's defence (1.37x) — and the away total comes out at 1.67.
These ratings are built from 5/5 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.0%. Close behind: 0-1 (11.2%), 0-2 (10.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 35% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
SHANGHAI SIPG Win
17%
5.91
31%
3.20
52%
1.93
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
12.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.5%
Draw
0 – 2
10.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.91
Wuhan Zall xG
Total xG
2.57
1.67
SHANGHAI SIPG xG
5.91
17%
Home win
3.20
31%
Draw
1.93
52%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.93
48%
BTTS No
2.07
Clean Sheet
19%
5.29
40%
2.47
Win to Nil
3%
31.27
21%
4.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6 | 12.7 | 10.6 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 6.9 | 11.5 | 9.6 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.0%.
How many goals are Wuhan Zall and SHANGHAI SIPG expected to score?
The model projects 0.91 expected goals for Wuhan Zall and 1.67 for SHANGHAI SIPG, a combined total of 2.57.
How confident is the prediction model for Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 52%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 5 outings, Wuhan Zall have picked up 0.40 PPG on a 0W 2D 3L record — D-L-D-L-L across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for Wuhan Zall, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
SHANGHAI SIPG's form line: 3W 2D 0L from 5 games, 2.20 PPG, last five W-W-D-D-W. It's still early in the season for SHANGHAI SIPG, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Put side by side, SHANGHAI SIPG are the form team by 1.80 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Wuhan Zall.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Wuhan Zall are averaging 0.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game recently; SHANGHAI SIPG are on 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Wuhan Zall have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games; SHANGHAI SIPG in 60%.
Defensively: SHANGHAI SIPG in 40% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 5 Results — Super League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Wuhan Zall
Early Season
SHANGHAI SIPG
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Wuhan Zall and SHANGHAI SIPG in coming into this match?
Wuhan Zall have gone 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 games (0.40 PPG), while SHANGHAI SIPG have gone 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 (2.20 PPG).
Have Wuhan Zall or SHANGHAI SIPG been keeping clean sheets recently?
Wuhan Zall have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their recent games, SHANGHAI SIPG in 40%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 4 times since July 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Super League. It has been a while since the last meeting — 25 June 2022, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: SHANGHAI SIPG won 3-0 on 9 Aug 2021, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Wuhan Zall have gone 0W 1D 1L from 2 meetings on their own ground against SHANGHAI SIPG — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 4 Meetings
1
Wuhan Zall
1
Draws
2
SHANGHAI SIPG
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Wuhan Zall and SHANGHAI SIPG?
From 4 meetings on record, Wuhan Zall have won 1, SHANGHAI SIPG have won 2, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Wuhan Zall and SHANGHAI SIPG last play each other?
They last met on 25 June 2022, when Wuhan Zall 1-2 SHANGHAI SIPG.
Who has won more matches between Wuhan Zall and SHANGHAI SIPG?
SHANGHAI SIPG have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 4 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Wuhan Zall are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches.
SHANGHAI SIPG are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 60% of the time.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Wuhan Zall 60%, SHANGHAI SIPG 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 40% (Wuhan Zall) and 60% (SHANGHAI SIPG).
On the defensive side: SHANGHAI SIPG in 40%; Wuhan Zall have failed to score in 40% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Wuhan Zall home games / SHANGHAI SIPG away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Wuhan Zall play SHANGHAI SIPG?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 60% of Wuhan Zall's games and 60% of SHANGHAI SIPG's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Wuhan Zall vs SHANGHAI SIPG usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 40% of Wuhan Zall's recent games and 60% of SHANGHAI SIPG's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Wuhan Zall and SHANGHAI SIPG tend to score early?
Wuhan Zall have had a goal before half-time in 60% of their recent matches, SHANGHAI SIPG in 60% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Wuhan Zall's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Wuhan Zall and SHANGHAI SIPG finished level at 0-0 at Jiangyin Sports Park Stadium, Regular Season - 6, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Wuhan Zall 0.91 xG and SHANGHAI SIPG 1.67 xG, a combined 2.57. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Wuhan Zall fell 0.9 short of their projected output. SHANGHAI SIPG landed 1.7 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Wuhan Zall attack 0.85 / defence 1.37 against SHANGHAI SIPG attack 1.17 / defence 1.14, drawn from 5/5 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Wuhan Zall 17% | Draw 31% | SHANGHAI SIPG 52%, with SHANGHAI SIPG to win its most likely call at 52%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 76% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Wuhan Zall 40%, SHANGHAI SIPG 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Wuhan Zall's trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.
SHANGHAI SIPG's trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, SHANGHAI SIPG arrived the stronger side — 2.20 PPG against 0.40. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Wuhan Zall conceded 0 against a 1.60 average — tighter than their form line. SHANGHAI SIPG managed 0 against a 2.60 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.