Wolfsberger AC 2-0 SCR Altach – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Wolfsberger AC at 43% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Bundesliga clash, Regular Season - 14 as Wolfsberger AC welcome SCR Altach to Lavanttal Arena. Kick-off is set for Sunday 24 November 2024 at 13:30 UTC.
Form Guide
Wolfsberger AC — All Games: 4W 2D 4L from 10 Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 1.40 points per game. Last five: L W D L L. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 1.30 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Wolfsberger AC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Wolfsberger AC at Lavanttal Arena this season: 3W 2D 5L from 10 home games — 1.10 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Across all Bundesliga games this season, SCR Altach have recorded 0W 3D 7L from 10 outings — 0.30 PPG. Last five: L L D L L. Their scoring rate of 0.70 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
SCR Altach away from home this season: 3W 2D 5L from 10 away games — 1.10 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.10 exceeds their overall 0.30 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
On current form, Wolfsberger AC have the edge — a 1.10 PPG advantage (1.40 vs 0.30) represents a meaningful gap. That momentum makes them the form-based pick, though if the outright price looks short, Draw No Bet is worth comparing.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. Wolfsberger AC register both teams scoring in 70% of relevant matches, SCR Altach in 60% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
H2H Record
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 5 previous meetings, Wolfsberger AC have won 1, SCR Altach 1, with 3 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
The last 5 meetings have been tight affairs, averaging just 1.0 goals per game. That low-scoring pattern is a meaningful historical input for the Under 2.5 market. The most recent clash, on 18 Aug 2024, ended 0–2 with SCR Altach winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading Patterns
Wolfsberger AC in-play and half-time data (45 games, 22 at home): they score before half-time in 82% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 54% of the time; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 54% of games (home games); they fail to score in 33% of games.
SCR Altach in-play and half-time data (45 games, 22 at away): they score before half-time in 64% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 69% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (away games); they fail to score in 38% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Wolfsberger AC 51% versus SCR Altach 49%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Wolfsberger AC 51% | SCR Altach 42%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Wolfsberger AC 1.42 xG and SCR Altach 1.14 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Wolfsberger AC attack 0.905 / defence 1.240 | SCR Altach attack 0.847 / defence 1.010. League average goals — home 1.551 / away 1.086. Data: 35 Wolfsberger AC games / 35 SCR Altach games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Wolfsberger AC 43% | Draw 28% | SCR Altach 30%. Fair-value odds: Wolfsberger AC 2.33 | Draw 3.57 | SCR Altach 3.33. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 47% | BTTS probability 52% | Total xG 2.56. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 47%/53% — the total xG of 2.56 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 52% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Wolfsberger AC are the pick at 43% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 28% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Wolfsberger AC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.56 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 47% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by H2H averaging 1.0 goals per meeting.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 52%. Form rates corroborate: Wolfsberger AC 70% | SCR Altach 60% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 14 | Venue: Lavanttal Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 24 Nov 2024, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Wolfsberger AC 43% | Draw 28% | SCR Altach 30% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 47% | BTTS 52% | xG Wolfsberger AC 1.42 / SCR Altach 1.14 • Poisson strength factors: Wolfsberger AC attack 0.905 / def 1.240 | SCR Altach attack 0.847 / def 1.010 | league avg home 1.551 / away 1.086 • Poisson stance: Wolfsberger AC (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
1.42
Wolfsberger AC xG
Expected Goals
1.14
SCR Altach xG
52%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach kick off?
Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 24 November 2024 at Lavanttal Arena.
What was the final score in Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach?
Wolfsberger AC 2 - 0 SCR Altach.
Where is Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach being played?
The match is being played at Lavanttal Arena.
What competition is Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach part of?
Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach is a Regular Season - 14 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach?
Our statistical model gives Wolfsberger AC a 43% chance of winning, SCR Altach a 30% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Wolfsberger AC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Wolfsberger AC and SCR Altach will score (BTTS).
Will Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 47%.
What is the head-to-head record between Wolfsberger AC and SCR Altach?
Record (5 meetings): Wolfsberger AC 1W | Draws 3 | SCR Altach 1W.
What form are Wolfsberger AC and SCR Altach in?
Wolfsberger AC (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 1.30 | L5 L-W-D-L-L. SCR Altach (all comps): 0W-3D-7L in 10 | 0.30 PPG | GF 0.70 / GA 1.50 | L5 L-L-D-L-L.
What do the betting odds say about Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach?
Odds data is not currently available for this fixture.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Wolfsberger AC's attack at 0.91x the league average against SCR Altach's defence at 1.01x — combine the two and it projects 1.42 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, SCR Altach's attack versus Wolfsberger AC's defence, projects 1.14 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 35/35 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.1% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (9.4%), 1-0 (9.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Wolfsberger AC Win
43%
2.35
28%
3.59
30%
3.38
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.0%
Home win
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.42
Wolfsberger AC xG
Total xG
2.56
1.14
SCR Altach xG
2.35
43%
Home win
3.59
28%
Draw
3.38
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.91
48%
BTTS No
2.10
Clean Sheet
32%
3.13
24%
4.13
Win to Nil
14%
7.35
7%
13.97
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 12.5 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.8 | 8.9 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.1%.
How many goals are Wolfsberger AC and SCR Altach expected to score?
The model projects 1.42 expected goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.14 for SCR Altach, a combined total of 2.56.
How confident is the prediction model for Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 45 outings, Wolfsberger AC have picked up 1.33 PPG on a 16W 12D 17L record — L-W-D-L-L across the most recent five. The sample for Wolfsberger AC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
SCR Altach's form line: 8W 16D 21L from 45 games, 0.89 PPG, last five L-L-D-L-L. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Wolfsberger AC are the form team by 0.44 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against SCR Altach.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Wolfsberger AC have posted 1.18 PPG from 22 outings (7W 5D 10L).
On the road, SCR Altach have gone 4W 7D 11L from 22 away games — 0.86 PPG when travelling.
The Goals Picture
Wolfsberger AC are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game recently; SCR Altach are on 0.87 scored and 1.29 conceded.
Last 45 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Wolfsberger AC
Blended
SCR Altach
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Wolfsberger AC and SCR Altach in coming into this match?
Wolfsberger AC have gone 16W 12D 17L in their last 45 games (1.33 PPG), while SCR Altach have gone 8W 16D 21L in their last 45 (0.89 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Wolfsberger AC at home or SCR Altach away?
Wolfsberger AC's home record (1.18 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Wolfsberger AC at home: 1.18 PPG; SCR Altach away: 0.86 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Wolfsberger AC and SCR Altach runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to October 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 4 May 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 4 May 2026, when Wolfsberger AC won 1-4 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Wolfsberger AC's record when hosting SCR Altach specifically: 1W 3D 1L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
Wolfsberger AC
4
Draws
3
SCR Altach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Wolfsberger AC and SCR Altach?
From 10 meetings on record, Wolfsberger AC have won 3, SCR Altach have won 3, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Wolfsberger AC and SCR Altach last play each other?
They last met on 4 May 2026, when SCR Altach 1-4 Wolfsberger AC.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Wolfsberger AC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 82% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 36% of the time.
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 64% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Wolfsberger AC 59%, SCR Altach 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 54% (Wolfsberger AC) and 46% (SCR Altach).
On the defensive side: Wolfsberger AC have failed to score in 32% of games; SCR Altach in 36%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Wolfsberger AC home games / SCR Altach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Wolfsberger AC play SCR Altach?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 59% of Wolfsberger AC's recent matches and 50% of SCR Altach's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Wolfsberger AC vs SCR Altach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 54% of Wolfsberger AC's recent games and 46% of SCR Altach's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Wolfsberger AC and SCR Altach tend to score early?
Wolfsberger AC have had a goal before half-time in 82% of their recent matches, SCR Altach in 64% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Wolfsberger AC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over SCR Altach.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Wolfsberger AC beat SCR Altach 2-0 at Lavanttal Arena, Regular Season - 14, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Wolfsberger AC 1.42 xG and SCR Altach 1.14 xG, a combined 2.56. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. SCR Altach landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Wolfsberger AC attack 0.91 / defence 1.24 against SCR Altach attack 0.85 / defence 1.01, drawn from 35/35 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Wolfsberger AC 43% | Draw 28% | SCR Altach 30%, with Wolfsberger AC to win its most likely call at 43%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 73% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Wolfsberger AC 51%, SCR Altach 42%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Wolfsberger AC's trading profile (45 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not.
SCR Altach's trading profile (45 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 38% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Wolfsberger AC arrived the stronger side — 1.33 PPG against 0.89. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Wolfsberger AC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.36 average — tighter than their form line. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.82 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.