Austria Vienna 1-1 WSG Wattens – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates WSG Wattens at 40% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 2 sees WSG Wattens travel to Generali Arena to take on Austria Vienna. The game is scheduled for Sunday 1 August 2021, 16:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Austria Vienna stand at 0W 0D 1L from 1 Bundesliga matches — 0.00 PPG. Last five: L. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.00 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. Both teams have scored in 100% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. Austria Vienna have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
WSG Wattens — All Games: 0W 1D 0L from 1 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.00 PPG. Last five: D. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Both teams have scored in 100% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. WSG Wattens have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Form points away from home here. WSG Wattens's 1.00 PPG return is 1.00 points per game ahead of Austria Vienna's 0.00 — the visitors are the form-based selection, and Double Chance is an alternative worth pricing if the outright looks tight.
Both teams score in over 100% of each side's relevant games (using overall form). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Austria Vienna 0.99 xG and WSG Wattens 1.31 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Austria Vienna attack 0.974 / defence 1.150 | WSG Wattens attack 0.850 / defence 1.150. League average goals — home 0.885 / away 1.343. Data: 1 Austria Vienna games / 1 WSG Wattens games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: Austria Vienna 24% | Draw 36% | WSG Wattens 40%. Fair-value odds: Austria Vienna 4.17 | Draw 2.78 | WSG Wattens 2.50. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 36% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 41% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.30. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 59% — total xG of 2.30 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, WSG Wattens are the pick at 40% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 36% draw probability, Draw No Bet on WSG Wattens offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.30 combined xG gives a 41% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (1 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 2 | Venue: Generali Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 1 Aug 2021, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Austria Vienna 24% | Draw 36% | WSG Wattens 40% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 41% | BTTS 50% | xG Austria Vienna 0.99 / WSG Wattens 1.31 • Poisson strength factors: Austria Vienna attack 0.974 / def 1.150 | WSG Wattens attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | league avg home 0.885 / away 1.343 • Poisson stance: WSG Wattens (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.99
Austria Vienna xG
Expected Goals
1.31
WSG Wattens xG
50%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
41%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens kick off?
Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens kicked off at 16:00 on Sunday 1 August 2021 at Generali Arena.
What was the final score in Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Austria Vienna 1 - 1 WSG Wattens.
Where is Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens being played?
The match is being played at Generali Arena.
What competition is Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens part of?
Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens is a Regular Season - 2 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Our statistical model gives Austria Vienna a 24% chance of winning, WSG Wattens a 40% chance, and a 36% chance of a draw — making WSG Wattens the favourite.
Will both teams score in Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens will score (BTTS).
Will Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 41%.
What is the head-to-head record between Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens in?
Austria Vienna (all comps): 0W-0D-1L in 1 | 0.00 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 2.00 | L5 L. WSG Wattens (all comps): 0W-1D-0L in 1 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.00 | L5 D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Austria Vienna's attacking strength (0.97x league average) is weighed against WSG Wattens's defensive record (1.15x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.99. The same calculation in reverse, WSG Wattens's attack versus Austria Vienna's defence, projects 1.31 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (1/1 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.7%. Close behind: 0-0 (11.7%), 0-1 (11.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 38% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
WSG Wattens Win
24%
4.12
36%
2.80
40%
2.50
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.1%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
0 – 0
10.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.99
Austria Vienna xG
Total xG
2.30
1.31
WSG Wattens xG
4.12
24%
Home win
2.80
36%
Draw
2.50
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.00
50%
BTTS No
2.00
Clean Sheet
27%
3.72
37%
2.70
Win to Nil
7%
15.31
15%
6.73
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 13.1 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.9 | 13.0 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.7%.
How many goals are Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens expected to score?
The model projects 0.99 expected goals for Austria Vienna and 1.31 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 2.30.
How confident is the prediction model for Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Austria Vienna come into this having played 1 games, going 0W 0D 1L for 0.00 points per game. Their last five reads L. It's still early in the season for Austria Vienna, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, WSG Wattens sit at 1.00 PPG from 1 outings (0W 1D 0L), a run that reads D across their last five. It's still early in the season for WSG Wattens, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
WSG Wattens carry the stronger recent form of the two, 1.00 PPG clear of Austria Vienna — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
The Goals Picture
Austria Vienna are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game recently; WSG Wattens are on 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Austria Vienna have seen both teams score in 100% of their recent games; WSG Wattens in 100%.
Last 1 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Austria Vienna
Early Season
WSG Wattens
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens in coming into this match?
Austria Vienna have gone 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 games (0.00 PPG), while WSG Wattens have gone 0W 1D 0L in their last 1 (1.00 PPG).
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 29 November 2025, roughly 8 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 20 Apr 2024, when Austria Vienna won 3-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Austria Vienna's record when hosting WSG Wattens specifically: 4W 1D 0L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
7
Austria Vienna
2
Draws
1
WSG Wattens
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens?
From 10 meetings on record, Austria Vienna have won 7, WSG Wattens have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens last play each other?
They last met on 29 November 2025, when Austria Vienna 0-0 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens?
Austria Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Austria Vienna home games / WSG Wattens away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Austria Vienna play WSG Wattens?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 100% of Austria Vienna's games and 100% of WSG Wattens's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 100% of Austria Vienna's recent games and 0% of WSG Wattens's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens tend to score early?
Austria Vienna have had a goal before half-time in 0% of their recent matches, WSG Wattens in 0% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Austria Vienna and WSG Wattens finished level at 1-1 at Generali Arena, Regular Season - 2, in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Austria Vienna 0.99 xG and WSG Wattens 1.31 xG, a combined 2.30. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Austria Vienna attack 0.97 / defence 1.15 against WSG Wattens attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 1/1 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Austria Vienna 24% | Draw 36% | WSG Wattens 40%, with WSG Wattens to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 36%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Austria Vienna 100%, WSG Wattens 0%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 100%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Form vs Result
On form, WSG Wattens arrived the stronger side — 1.00 PPG against 0.00. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Austria Vienna conceded 1 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.