Austria Klagenfurt 2-0 SCR Altach – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Austria Klagenfurt at 42% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Austria Klagenfurt host SCR Altach at Wörthersee Stadion in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 20. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 20 February 2022 at 13:30 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Bundesliga games this season, Austria Klagenfurt have gone 3W 5D 2L from 10 outings — a 1.40 PPG return. Last five: D W W L D. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Austria Klagenfurt, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, Austria Klagenfurt have posted 3W 5D 1L at Wörthersee Stadion — 1.56 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 78% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, SCR Altach stand at 1W 1D 8L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 0.40 PPG. Last five: L L L L L. Their scoring rate of 0.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.70 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in only 20% of their fixtures — a very low rate that strongly backs BTTS No. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
SCR Altach's form when playing away from home: 2W 2D 5L across 9 road games this term (0.89 PPG). Away from home they average 0.56 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game.
Austria Klagenfurt carry the stronger recent momentum — 1.00 PPG ahead of their opponents on 1.40 vs 0.40. The form data is a point in their favour, and where the price allows, it is the cleaner directional bet.
Head to Head
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 1 previous meetings, Austria Klagenfurt have won 1, SCR Altach 0, with 0 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
Goals have been a feature of this fixture. The last 1 meetings have averaged 4.0 per game — a rate that gives the Over 2.5 market a solid historical foundation. The most recent clash, on 25 Sep 2021, ended 4–0 with Austria Klagenfurt winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 4.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Profile
Austria Klagenfurt in-play tendencies (19 games, 9 at home): they score before half-time in 89% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; when trailing at the break they recover to draw or win in 26% of cases; BTTS occurs in 78% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (home games).
SCR Altach in-play tendencies (19 games, 9 at away): they score before half-time in 56% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 60% of the time; BTTS occurs in 33% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (away games); they fail to score in 58% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Austria Klagenfurt 68% versus SCR Altach 37%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Austria Klagenfurt 58% | SCR Altach 42%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Austria Klagenfurt 1.29 xG and SCR Altach 1.00 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Austria Klagenfurt attack 0.926 / defence 1.190 | SCR Altach attack 0.595 / defence 1.173. League average goals — home 1.191 / away 1.408. Data: 19 Austria Klagenfurt games / 19 SCR Altach games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Austria Klagenfurt 42% | Draw 30% | SCR Altach 28%. Fair-value odds: Austria Klagenfurt 2.38 | Draw 3.33 | SCR Altach 3.57. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 40% | BTTS probability 47% | Total xG 2.29. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 60% — total xG of 2.29 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 47% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Austria Klagenfurt are the pick at 42% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 30% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Austria Klagenfurt offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.29 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 40% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 47%. Form rates are neutral: Austria Klagenfurt 78% | SCR Altach 33%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 20 | Venue: Wörthersee Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 20 Feb 2022, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Austria Klagenfurt 42% | Draw 30% | SCR Altach 28% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 40% | BTTS 47% | xG Austria Klagenfurt 1.29 / SCR Altach 1.00 • Poisson strength factors: Austria Klagenfurt attack 0.926 / def 1.190 | SCR Altach attack 0.595 / def 1.173 | league avg home 1.191 / away 1.408 • Poisson stance: Austria Klagenfurt (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.29
Austria Klagenfurt xG
Expected Goals
1.00
SCR Altach xG
47%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach kick off?
Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 20 February 2022 at Wörthersee Stadion.
What was the final score in Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach?
Austria Klagenfurt 2 - 0 SCR Altach.
Where is Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach being played?
The match is being played at Wörthersee Stadion.
What competition is Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach part of?
Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach is a Regular Season - 20 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach?
Our statistical model gives Austria Klagenfurt a 42% chance of winning, SCR Altach a 28% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Austria Klagenfurt the favourite.
Will both teams score in Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach?
Our model estimates a 47% probability that both Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach will score (BTTS).
Will Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 40%.
What is the head-to-head record between Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach?
Record (1 meetings): Austria Klagenfurt 1W | Draws 0 | SCR Altach 0W.
What form are Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach in?
Austria Klagenfurt (all comps): 3W-5D-2L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.30 | L5 D-W-W-L-D. SCR Altach (all comps): 1W-1D-8L in 10 | 0.40 PPG | GF 0.30 / GA 1.70 | L5 L-L-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Austria Klagenfurt's attack at 0.93x the league average against SCR Altach's defence at 1.17x — combine the two and it projects 1.29 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, SCR Altach's attack versus Austria Klagenfurt's defence, projects 1.00 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 19/19 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.8% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (11.8%), 1-0 (11.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 38% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Austria Klagenfurt Win
42%
2.36
30%
3.33
28%
3.61
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
0 – 0
10.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.29
Austria Klagenfurt xG
Total xG
2.29
1.00
SCR Altach xG
2.36
42%
Home win
3.33
30%
Draw
3.61
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.14
53%
BTTS No
1.88
Clean Sheet
37%
2.71
27%
3.64
Win to Nil
16%
6.41
8%
13.15
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.1 | 13.1 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.
How many goals are Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach expected to score?
The model projects 1.29 expected goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 1.00 for SCR Altach, a combined total of 2.29.
How confident is the prediction model for Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 19 outings, Austria Klagenfurt have picked up 1.37 PPG on a 6W 8D 5L record — D-W-W-L-D across the most recent five. The sample for Austria Klagenfurt is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
SCR Altach's form line: 3W 4D 12L from 19 games, 0.68 PPG, last five L-L-L-L-L. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Austria Klagenfurt are the form team by 0.69 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against SCR Altach.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Austria Klagenfurt have posted 1.56 PPG from 9 outings (3W 5D 1L).
On the road, SCR Altach have gone 2W 2D 5L from 9 away games — 0.89 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Austria Klagenfurt come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Austria Klagenfurt are averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game recently; SCR Altach are on 0.53 scored and 1.58 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Austria Klagenfurt have seen both teams score in 68% of their recent games.
Last 19 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Austria Klagenfurt
Blended
SCR Altach
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach in coming into this match?
Austria Klagenfurt have gone 6W 8D 5L in their last 19 games (1.37 PPG), while SCR Altach have gone 3W 4D 12L in their last 19 (0.68 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Austria Klagenfurt at home or SCR Altach away?
Austria Klagenfurt's home record (1.56 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Austria Klagenfurt at home: 1.56 PPG; SCR Altach away: 0.89 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to September 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. It has been a while since the last meeting — 17 May 2025, some 3 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 25 Sep 2021, when Austria Klagenfurt won 0-4 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Austria Klagenfurt's record when hosting SCR Altach specifically: 2W 2D 1L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
5
Austria Klagenfurt
4
Draws
1
SCR Altach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach?
From 10 meetings on record, Austria Klagenfurt have won 5, SCR Altach have won 1, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach last play each other?
They last met on 17 May 2025, when SCR Altach 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt.
Who has won more matches between Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach?
Austria Klagenfurt have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Austria Klagenfurt are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 89% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 33% of those situations.
SCR Altach see a goal before the break in 56% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Austria Klagenfurt 78%, SCR Altach 33% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 56% (Austria Klagenfurt) and 44% (SCR Altach).
On the defensive side: SCR Altach in 33%; SCR Altach in 56%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Austria Klagenfurt home games / SCR Altach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Austria Klagenfurt play SCR Altach?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 78% of Austria Klagenfurt's games and 33% of SCR Altach's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 56% of Austria Klagenfurt's recent games and 44% of SCR Altach's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach tend to score early?
Austria Klagenfurt have had a goal before half-time in 89% of their recent matches, SCR Altach in 56% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Austria Klagenfurt cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over SCR Altach.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Austria Klagenfurt beat SCR Altach 2-0 at Wörthersee Stadion, Regular Season - 20, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Austria Klagenfurt 1.29 xG and SCR Altach 1.00 xG, a combined 2.29. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. SCR Altach landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Austria Klagenfurt attack 0.93 / defence 1.19 against SCR Altach attack 0.59 / defence 1.17, drawn from 19/19 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Austria Klagenfurt 42% | Draw 30% | SCR Altach 28%, with Austria Klagenfurt to win its most likely call at 42%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Austria Klagenfurt 58%, SCR Altach 42%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Austria Klagenfurt's trading profile (19 games, 9 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 68% of their matches — today it did not.
SCR Altach's trading profile (19 games, 9 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 37% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 58% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Austria Klagenfurt arrived the stronger side — 1.37 PPG against 0.68. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Austria Klagenfurt (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.56 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.