Sharjah FC 0-0 Hatta SC – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Sharjah FC at 65% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Sharjah FC host Hatta SC at Sharjah Stadium in Pro League, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is scheduled for Tuesday 14 May 2024 at 15:10 UTC.
Form Guide
Sharjah FC — All Games: 2W 6D 2L from 10 Pro League outings this season, averaging 1.20 points per game. Last five: D D D L W. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.70 conceded. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for Sharjah FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Sharjah FC at Sharjah Stadium this season: 3W 6D 1L from 10 home games — 1.50 PPG on home soil. They are averaging 2.20 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Hatta SC stand at 0W 2D 8L from 10 Pro League matches — 0.20 PPG. Last five: L L D L D. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 2.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.60 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Hatta SC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Hatta SC have gone 1W 1D 8L from 10 away fixtures this term (0.40 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
Sharjah FC are in the better shape of the two on current Pro League data — 1.00 PPG ahead (1.20 vs 0.20). That form margin is the baseline of a sensible selection even before other signals are layered in.
Both teams score in over 70% of each side's relevant games (using home/away splits). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.
Head to Head
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 1 previous meetings, Sharjah FC have won 1, Hatta SC 0, with 0 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
The 1 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 5.0 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 9 Dec 2023, ended 4–1 with Sharjah FC winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 5.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Data
Sharjah FC trading profile (21 games, 10 at home): they score before half-time in 90% of fixtures in home games; BTTS occurs in 80% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 57%.
Hatta SC trading profile (21 games, 10 at away): they score before half-time in 90% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 70% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 70% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 38%; they fail to score in 52% of games.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Sharjah FC 81% and Hatta SC 48% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Sharjah FC 57% | Hatta SC 57%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Sharjah FC 2.56 xG and Hatta SC 1.29 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Sharjah FC attack 1.097 / defence 0.962 | Hatta SC attack 0.770 / defence 1.486. League average goals — home 1.574 / away 1.744. Hatta SC bring a strong defensive rating of 1.486 — this is suppressing Sharjah FC's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 48 Sharjah FC games / 21 Hatta SC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Sharjah FC 65% | Draw 18% | Hatta SC 18%. Fair-value odds: Sharjah FC 1.54 | Draw 5.56 | Hatta SC 5.56. The model has a clear lean to Sharjah FC (65%) — a 47pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 74% | BTTS probability 67% | Total xG 3.86. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 74% — a total xG of 3.86 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 67% reflects that both xG figures (2.56 / 1.29) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Sharjah FC as the most likely outcome at 65% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 18% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
The Poisson model projects 3.86 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 74% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 3.7 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 67% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: Sharjah FC 80% | Hatta SC 70% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 23 | Venue: Sharjah Stadium • Kick-off: Tuesday 14 May 2024, 15:10 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Sharjah FC 65% | Draw 18% | Hatta SC 18% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 74% | BTTS 67% | xG Sharjah FC 2.56 / Hatta SC 1.29 • Poisson strength factors: Sharjah FC attack 1.097 / def 0.962 | Hatta SC attack 0.770 / def 1.486 | league avg home 1.574 / away 1.744 • Poisson stance: Sharjah FC (65%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
2.56
Sharjah FC xG
Expected Goals
1.29
Hatta SC xG
67%
BTTS
90%
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC kick off?
Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC kicked off at 15:10 on Tuesday 14 May 2024 at Sharjah Stadium.
What was the final score in Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC?
Sharjah FC 0 - 0 Hatta SC.
Where is Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC being played?
The match is being played at Sharjah Stadium.
What competition is Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC part of?
Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC is a Regular Season - 23 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC?
Our statistical model gives Sharjah FC a 65% chance of winning, Hatta SC a 18% chance, and a 18% chance of a draw — making Sharjah FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC?
Our model estimates a 67% probability that both Sharjah FC and Hatta SC will score (BTTS).
Will Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 74%.
What is the head-to-head record between Sharjah FC and Hatta SC?
Record (1 meetings): Sharjah FC 1W | Draws 0 | Hatta SC 0W.
What form are Sharjah FC and Hatta SC in?
Sharjah FC (all comps): 2W-6D-2L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.70 | L5 D-D-D-L-W. Hatta SC (all comps): 0W-2D-8L in 10 | 0.20 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 2.60 | L5 L-L-D-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Sharjah FC's attack at 1.10x the league average against Hatta SC's defence at 1.49x — combine the two and it projects 2.56 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Hatta SC's attack versus Sharjah FC's defence, projects 1.29 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 48/21 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 2-1 carries the highest individual probability at 9.0% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-1 (7.9%), 3-1 (7.7%). Together the top three scorelines make up 25% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Sharjah FC Win
65%
1.54
18%
5.69
18%
5.70
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 1
7.7%
Home win
1 – 1
7.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.56
Sharjah FC xG
Total xG
3.86
1.29
Hatta SC xG
1.54
65%
Home win
5.69
18%
Draw
5.70
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
90%
Over 1.5
1.11
10%
Under 1.5
10.00
74%
Over 2.5
1.35
26%
Under 2.5
3.85
54%
Over 3.5
1.85
46%
Under 3.5
2.17
34%
Over 4.5
2.94
66%
Under 4.5
1.52
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
67%
BTTS Yes
1.49
33%
BTTS No
3.02
Clean Sheet
27%
3.64
8%
12.99
Win to Nil
18%
5.61
1%
74.05
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 5.4 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.9 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC?
Our Poisson model rates 2-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 9.0%.
How many goals are Sharjah FC and Hatta SC expected to score?
The model projects 2.56 expected goals for Sharjah FC and 1.29 for Hatta SC, a combined total of 3.86.
How confident is the prediction model for Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 65%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Sharjah FC come into this having played 21 games, going 7W 10D 4L for 1.48 points per game. Their last five reads D-D-D-L-W. The sample for Sharjah FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Hatta SC sit at 0.33 PPG from 21 outings (1W 4D 16L), a run that reads L-L-D-L-D across their last five. The sample for Hatta SC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Sharjah FC carry the stronger recent form of the two, 1.15 PPG clear of Hatta SC — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Venue Form
Sharjah FC's home form reads 3W 6D 1L across 10 games on their own ground, a 1.50 PPG return.
Away from home, Hatta SC have taken 0.40 points per game from 10 outings (1W 1D 8L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Sharjah FC come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Sharjah FC are averaging 1.95 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game recently; Hatta SC are on 0.76 scored and 2.33 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Sharjah FC have seen both teams score in 81% of their recent games.
Last 21 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Sharjah FC
Blended
Hatta SC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Sharjah FC and Hatta SC in coming into this match?
Sharjah FC have gone 7W 10D 4L in their last 21 games (1.48 PPG), while Hatta SC have gone 1W 4D 16L in their last 21 (0.33 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Sharjah FC at home or Hatta SC away?
Sharjah FC's home record (1.50 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Sharjah FC at home: 1.50 PPG; Hatta SC away: 0.40 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
2 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to December 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. It has been a while since the last meeting — 14 May 2024, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Last 2 Meetings
1
Sharjah FC
1
Draws
0
Hatta SC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Sharjah FC and Hatta SC?
From 2 meetings on record, Sharjah FC have won 1, Hatta SC have won 0, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Sharjah FC and Hatta SC last play each other?
They last met on 14 May 2024, when Sharjah FC 0-0 Hatta SC.
Who has won more matches between Sharjah FC and Hatta SC?
Sharjah FC have the better head-to-head record, with 1 wins from 2 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Sharjah FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 90% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 20% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
Hatta SC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 90% of their matches.
Full-Time Trends
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — Sharjah FC at 80%, Hatta SC at 70%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 60% for Sharjah FC and 70% for Hatta SC. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 60% and 40% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Hatta SC in 30%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Sharjah FC home games / Hatta SC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Sharjah FC play Hatta SC?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 80% of Sharjah FC's games and 70% of Hatta SC's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Sharjah FC vs Hatta SC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of Sharjah FC's matches and 70% of Hatta SC's.
Do Sharjah FC and Hatta SC tend to score early?
Sharjah FC have had a goal before half-time in 90% of their recent matches, Hatta SC in 90% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Sharjah FC's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Sharjah Stadium, Regular Season - 23, as Sharjah FC and Hatta SC drew 0-0 in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Sharjah FC 2.56 xG and Hatta SC 1.29 xG, a combined 3.86. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Sharjah FC fell 2.6 short of their projected output. Hatta SC landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sharjah FC attack 1.10 / defence 0.96 against Hatta SC attack 0.77 / defence 1.49, drawn from 48/21 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Sharjah FC 65% | Draw 18% | Hatta SC 18%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 65%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 18% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 74%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 90% and missed. Over 3.5 was 54% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 67% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sharjah FC 57%, Hatta SC 57%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Sharjah FC's trading profile (21 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 81% of their matches — today it did not.
Hatta SC's trading profile (21 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 52% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Sharjah FC arrived the stronger side — 1.48 PPG against 0.33. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.20 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.40 average — tighter than their form line. Hatta SC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.30 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 2.40 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.