Al Wahda FC 0-0 Sharjah FC – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Sharjah FC at 54%, yet other data sources diverge — this Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Pro League encounter, Regular Season - 21 sees Sharjah FC travel to Al Nahyan Stadium to take on Al Wahda FC. The game is scheduled for Friday 31 March 2023, 19:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Pro League games this season, Al Wahda FC have gone 5W 3D 2L from 10 outings — a 1.80 PPG return. Last five: D W W L W. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.20 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Al Wahda FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Al Wahda FC's home record at Al Nahyan Stadium: 4W 3D 3L from 10 Pro League appearances (1.50 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game.
Sharjah FC — All Games: 5W 3D 2L from 10 Pro League fixtures this season — 1.80 PPG. Last five: W L L D W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.10 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. Defensively, 0.60 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 6 clean sheets from 10 games (60%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their games, reflecting a regular tendency to keep or record clean sheets. This season is still relatively young for Sharjah FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Sharjah FC away from home this season: 7W 2D 1L from 10 away games — 2.30 PPG on the road. They are averaging 2.10 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. 6 away clean sheets from 10 games (60%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
The form figures are too closely matched to derive a directional pick: Al Wahda FC 1.80 PPG, Sharjah FC 1.80 PPG. Look to other data sets to build the analysis.
H2H Record
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 3 previous meetings, Al Wahda FC have won 2, Sharjah FC 1, with 0 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
The 3 previous meetings have averaged 2.3 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 30 Oct 2022, ended 1–0 with Al Wahda FC winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
In-Play Data
Al Wahda FC trading profile (46 games, 23 at home): they score before half-time in 70% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 61% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 37%.
Sharjah FC trading profile (46 games, 23 at away): they score before half-time in 70% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 85% of the time; they lead at the break 52% of the time; BTTS occurs in 39% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (away games); they keep a clean sheet 48% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Al Wahda FC 56% versus Sharjah FC 37%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Al Wahda FC 61% | Sharjah FC 54%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Al Wahda FC 1.06 xG and Sharjah FC 1.77 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Al Wahda FC attack 1.014 / defence 1.075 | Sharjah FC attack 1.128 / defence 0.700. League average goals — home 1.488 / away 1.463. Sharjah FC's defence strength of 0.700 is below average — they are conceding at a rate that inflates the home xG figure. Data: 46 Al Wahda FC games / 46 Sharjah FC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Al Wahda FC 22% | Draw 23% | Sharjah FC 54%. Fair-value odds: Al Wahda FC 4.55 | Draw 4.35 | Sharjah FC 1.85. Sharjah FC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 54% — the draw (23%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 54% | BTTS probability 54% | Total xG 2.83. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 54%/46% — the total xG of 2.83 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 54% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Sharjah FC are the pick at 54% — moderate model lean. With a 23% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Sharjah FC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 2.83 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 54% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 3.0 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 54% on Yes. This conflicts with form data: Al Wahda FC 50% | Sharjah FC 30% from recent games — a notable divergence.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 21 | Venue: Al Nahyan Stadium • Kick-off: Friday 31 Mar 2023, 19:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Al Wahda FC 22% | Draw 23% | Sharjah FC 54% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 54% | BTTS 54% | xG Al Wahda FC 1.06 / Sharjah FC 1.77 • Poisson strength factors: Al Wahda FC attack 1.014 / def 1.075 | Sharjah FC attack 1.128 / def 0.700 | league avg home 1.488 / away 1.463 • Poisson stance: Sharjah FC (54%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.06
Al Wahda FC xG
Expected Goals
1.77
Sharjah FC xG
54%
BTTS
77%
Over 1.5
54%
Over 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC kick off?
Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC kicked off at 19:00 on Friday 31 March 2023 at Al Nahyan Stadium.
What was the final score in Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC?
Al Wahda FC 0 - 0 Sharjah FC.
Where is Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC being played?
The match is being played at Al Nahyan Stadium.
What competition is Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC part of?
Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC is a Regular Season - 21 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC?
Our statistical model gives Al Wahda FC a 22% chance of winning, Sharjah FC a 54% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw — making Sharjah FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both Al Wahda FC and Sharjah FC will score (BTTS).
Will Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 54%.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Wahda FC and Sharjah FC?
Record (3 meetings): Al Wahda FC 2W | Draws 0 | Sharjah FC 1W.
What form are Al Wahda FC and Sharjah FC in?
Al Wahda FC (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.20 | L5 D-W-W-L-W. Sharjah FC (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 2.10 / GA 0.60 | L5 W-L-L-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Al Wahda FC's attacking strength (1.01x league average) is weighed against Sharjah FC's defensive record (0.70x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.06. The same calculation in reverse, Sharjah FC's attack versus Al Wahda FC's defence, projects 1.77 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 46/46 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.5%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.8%), 0-2 (9.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Sharjah FC Win
22%
4.45
23%
4.28
54%
1.85
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.5%
Away win
1 – 2
9.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.06
Al Wahda FC xG
Total xG
2.83
1.77
Sharjah FC xG
4.45
22%
Home win
4.28
23%
Draw
1.85
54%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
17%
5.89
35%
2.88
Win to Nil
4%
26.18
19%
5.31
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9 | 10.5 | 9.3 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 11.1 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.5%.
How many goals are Al Wahda FC and Sharjah FC expected to score?
The model projects 1.06 expected goals for Al Wahda FC and 1.77 for Sharjah FC, a combined total of 2.83.
How confident is the prediction model for Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 54%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 46 outings, Al Wahda FC have picked up 2.02 PPG on a 27W 12D 7L record — D-W-W-L-W across the most recent five. The sample for Al Wahda FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Sharjah FC's form line: 28W 9D 9L from 46 games, 2.02 PPG, last five W-L-L-D-W. The sample for Sharjah FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Al Wahda FC on 2.02 PPG, Sharjah FC on 2.02. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
On home soil, Al Wahda FC have posted 1.74 PPG from 23 outings (11W 7D 5L).
On the road, Sharjah FC have gone 13W 6D 4L from 23 away games — 1.96 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
Al Wahda FC are averaging 1.93 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game recently; Sharjah FC are on 1.85 scored and 0.87 conceded. Al Wahda FC's scoring rate against Sharjah FC's tighter defensive record is one of the more interesting match-ups in the goals markets here.
Defensively: Sharjah FC in 48% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 46 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Al Wahda FC
Blended
Sharjah FC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Al Wahda FC and Sharjah FC in coming into this match?
Al Wahda FC have gone 27W 12D 7L in their last 46 games (2.02 PPG), while Sharjah FC have gone 28W 9D 9L in their last 46 (2.02 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Al Wahda FC at home or Sharjah FC away?
Sharjah FC's away record (1.96 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Al Wahda FC at home: 1.74 PPG; Sharjah FC away: 1.96 PPG.
Have Al Wahda FC or Sharjah FC been keeping clean sheets recently?
Al Wahda FC have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their recent games, Sharjah FC in 48%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to November 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. They last met on 23 April 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 3 Nov 2021, when Al Wahda FC won 0-3 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Al Wahda FC's record when hosting Sharjah FC specifically: 1W 3D 1L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
4
Al Wahda FC
3
Draws
3
Sharjah FC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Al Wahda FC and Sharjah FC?
From 10 meetings on record, Al Wahda FC have won 4, Sharjah FC have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Al Wahda FC and Sharjah FC last play each other?
They last met on 23 April 2026, when Sharjah FC 0-2 Al Wahda FC.
Who has won more matches between Al Wahda FC and Sharjah FC?
Al Wahda FC have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Al Wahda FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 35% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 22% of those situations.
Sharjah FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 52% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Al Wahda FC 56%, Sharjah FC 39% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 61% (Al Wahda FC) and 44% (Sharjah FC).
On the defensive side: Sharjah FC in 48%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Al Wahda FC home games / Sharjah FC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Al Wahda FC play Sharjah FC?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 56% of Al Wahda FC's recent matches and 39% of Sharjah FC's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Al Wahda FC vs Sharjah FC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 61% of Al Wahda FC's recent games and 44% of Sharjah FC's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Al Wahda FC and Sharjah FC tend to score early?
Al Wahda FC have had a goal before half-time in 70% of their recent matches, Sharjah FC in 70% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Al Wahda FC's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Al Nahyan Stadium, Regular Season - 21, as Al Wahda FC and Sharjah FC drew 0-0 in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Wahda FC 1.06 xG and Sharjah FC 1.77 xG, a combined 2.83. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Al Wahda FC fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Sharjah FC landed 1.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Wahda FC attack 1.01 / defence 1.07 against Sharjah FC attack 1.13 / defence 0.70, drawn from 46/46 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Al Wahda FC 22% | Draw 23% | Sharjah FC 54%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 54%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 77% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Wahda FC 61%, Sharjah FC 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 47%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Al Wahda FC's trading profile (46 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.
Sharjah FC's trading profile (46 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 37% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 48% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Al Wahda FC 2.02 PPG, Sharjah FC 2.02 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.87 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.17 average — tighter than their form line. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.83 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.87 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.