Landskrona BoIS 0-0 Osters IF – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Osters IF at 41% — the head-to-head data provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Osters IF make the trip to Landskrona Idrottsplats to face Landskrona BoIS in Superettan (matchday 22). The match kicks off on Friday 13 September 2024 at 19:00 UK time.
Form & Momentum
Landskrona BoIS have collected 1.70 PPG across their last 10 games: 5W 2D 3L. Last five: W D L L W. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 1.70 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
In front of their own supporters, Landskrona BoIS have posted 6W 2D 2L from their last 10 home games — 2.00 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets from their last 10 home games (50%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at home.
Osters IF's record over their last 10 games: 4W 3D 3L (1.50 PPG). Last five: L D W L D. They are scoring at 1.70 per game and conceding 1.10. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity.
On the road, Osters IF have gone 3W 3D 4L in their last 10 away fixtures (1.20 PPG). Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 1.70 PPG for Landskrona BoIS against 1.50 for Osters IF. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
H2H Analysis
Across the 7 H2H matches in our data, Osters IF have the stronger record — 4 wins to Landskrona BoIS's 0, with 3 draws.
These two sides have produced goals at a healthy rate, averaging 3.0 per game across the 7 H2H matches we hold. That scoring profile supports the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent of those, on 22 May 2024, ended Landskrona BoIS 1–2 Osters IF — a Osters IF win.
The H2H data backs the away side. Osters IF have won 4 of 7 H2H matches, and at 3.0 goals per game the goals market also points upward — the away win and Over 2.5 combination has a head-to-head case.
Trading Data
Landskrona BoIS goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 51 games, 25 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 80% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 64% of the time; of the 15 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 27%; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (home games).
Osters IF goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 51 games, 25 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 68% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 87% of the time; of the 8 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 50%; BTTS occurs in 80% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 68% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Landskrona BoIS 57% versus Osters IF 61%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Landskrona BoIS 59% | Osters IF 61%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Landskrona BoIS 1.40 xG and Osters IF 1.59 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Landskrona BoIS attack 0.988 / defence 1.251 | Osters IF attack 1.014 / defence 1.010. League average goals — home 1.404 / away 1.250. Landskrona BoIS's defence rating of 1.251 (above 1 = concedes more than average) is pushing Osters IF's projected output up. Data: built from Landskrona BoIS's last 51 games and Osters IF's last 51.
Result probabilities: Landskrona BoIS 33% | Draw 26% | Osters IF 41%. Fair-value odds: Landskrona BoIS 3.02 | Draw 3.91 | Osters IF 2.42. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 26% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 57% | BTTS Yes probability 61% | Total xG 2.99. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 57% — the 2.99 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 61% — both xG figures (1.40 / 1.59) are high enough that each side is projected to find the net.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Osters IF as the most likely outcome at 41% — marginal model lean. The head-to-head data (Osters IF 4 wins from 7 H2H matches) corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 26% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Osters IF if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.99 combined xG gives a 57% probability to Over 2.5 — strong conviction, supported by recent form (Landskrona BoIS's last 10 home games and Osters IF's last 10 away games) averaging 2.9 goals per game and the H2H data averaging 3.0 goals per game across 7 H2H matches.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 61%. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Landskrona BoIS 40% (last 10 home games) | Osters IF 70% (last 10 away games).
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF | Competition: Superettan, matchday 22 | Venue: Landskrona Idrottsplats • Kick-off: Friday 13 September 2024 at 19:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Landskrona BoIS 33% | Draw 26% | Osters IF 41% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 57% (Under 43%) | BTTS Yes 61% (No 39%) | xG Landskrona BoIS 1.40 / Osters IF 1.59 • Poisson strength factors: Landskrona BoIS attack 0.988 / def 1.251 | Osters IF attack 1.014 / def 1.010 | league avg home 1.404 / away 1.250 • Poisson stance: Osters IF (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.40
Landskrona BoIS xG
Expected Goals
1.59
Osters IF xG
61%
BTTS
81%
Over 1.5
57%
Over 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF FAQs
What time does Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF kick off?
Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF kicked off at 19:00 UK time on Friday 13 September 2024 at Landskrona Idrottsplats.
What was the final score in Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF?
Landskrona BoIS 0 - 0 Osters IF.
Where is Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF being played?
The match is being played at Landskrona Idrottsplats.
What competition is Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF part of?
Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF is a Superettan fixture (matchday 22) (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF?
Our statistical model gives Landskrona BoIS a 33% chance of winning, Osters IF a 41% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Osters IF the favourite.
Will both teams score in Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF?
Our model estimates a 61% probability that both Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 57%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Landskrona BoIS's attack at 0.99x the league average against Osters IF's defence at 1.01x — combine the two and it projects 1.40 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Osters IF's attack (1.01x) against Landskrona BoIS's defence (1.25x) — and the away total comes out at 1.59.
These ratings are built from Landskrona BoIS's last 51 games and Osters IF's last 51 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 12.7% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-2 (8.9%), 2-1 (7.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Osters IF Win
33%
3.02
26%
3.91
41%
2.42
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.9%
Away win
0 – 1
8.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.40
Landskrona BoIS xG
Total xG
2.99
1.59
Osters IF xG
3.02
33%
Home win
3.91
26%
Draw
2.42
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.54
Clean Sheet
20%
4.88
25%
4.06
Win to Nil
7%
14.73
10%
9.84
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 11.2 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 7.9 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.7%.
How many goals are Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF expected to score?
The model projects 1.40 expected goals for Landskrona BoIS and 1.59 for Osters IF, a combined total of 2.99.
How confident is the prediction model for Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 51 outings, Landskrona BoIS have picked up 1.57 PPG on a 23W 11D 17L record — W-D-L-L-W across the most recent five.
Osters IF's form line: 25W 13D 13L from 51 games, 1.73 PPG, last five L-D-W-L-D.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.57 PPG for Landskrona BoIS against 1.73 for Osters IF. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, Landskrona BoIS have posted 1.68 PPG from their last 25 home games (12W 6D 7L).
On the road, Osters IF have gone 10W 7D 8L from their last 25 away games — 1.48 PPG when travelling.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Landskrona BoIS are averaging 1.49 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game recently; Osters IF are on 1.75 scored and 1.08 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Osters IF in 61%.
Last 51 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Landskrona BoIS
Blended
Osters IF
Blended
Landskrona BoIS (Home) vs Osters IF (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Landskrona BoIS
Blended
Osters IF
Blended
❓ Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF Form FAQs
What form are Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF in coming into this match?
Landskrona BoIS have gone 23W 11D 17L in their last 51 games (1.57 PPG), while Osters IF have gone 25W 13D 13L in their last 51 (1.73 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Landskrona BoIS at home or Osters IF away?
Landskrona BoIS's home record (1.68 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Landskrona BoIS at home: 1.68 PPG; Osters IF away: 1.48 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 10 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to April 2021 — enough to show some patterns. All of them came in Superettan. The most recent was on 8 August 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Osters IF won Landskrona BoIS 1-4 Osters IF on 2 Nov 2021, the biggest margin in the H2H matches we hold.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Landskrona BoIS have gone 0W 3D 2L from the 5 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against Osters IF — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
1
Landskrona BoIS
5
Draws
4
Osters IF
Recent Meetings
❓ Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, Landskrona BoIS have won 1, Osters IF have won 4, and 5 have been drawn.
When did Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 8 August 2026: Osters IF 0-1 Landskrona BoIS.
Who has won more matches between Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF?
Osters IF have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from the 10 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Landskrona BoIS are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 44% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 18% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 50% of those situations.
Osters IF are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 40% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 56% for Landskrona BoIS, 80% for Osters IF — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 56% for Landskrona BoIS and 68% for Osters IF. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 32% and 36% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Landskrona BoIS keep a clean sheet in 32% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Landskrona BoIS home games / Osters IF away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 56% of Landskrona BoIS's games and 80% of Osters IF's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 56% of Landskrona BoIS's matches and 68% of Osters IF's.
Do Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 80% of Landskrona BoIS's recent matches and 68% of Osters IF's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Landskrona BoIS's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Landskrona Idrottsplats, Regular Season - 22, as Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF drew 0-0 in the Superettan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Landskrona BoIS 1.40 xG and Osters IF 1.59 xG, a combined 2.99. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Landskrona BoIS fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Osters IF landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Landskrona BoIS attack 0.99 / defence 1.25 against Osters IF attack 1.01 / defence 1.01, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Landskrona BoIS 33% | Draw 26% | Osters IF 41%, with Osters IF to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 81% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Landskrona BoIS 59%, Osters IF 61%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Landskrona BoIS's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.
Osters IF's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Landskrona BoIS 1.57 PPG, Osters IF 1.73 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Landskrona BoIS (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.60 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.28 average — tighter than their form line. Osters IF (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.60 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.40 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.