GO Ahead Eagles 1-5 Feyenoord – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Feyenoord at 39% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Eredivisie clash, Regular Season - 9 as GO Ahead Eagles welcome Feyenoord to De Adelaarshorst. Kick-off is set for Saturday 19 October 2024 at 20:00 UTC.
Form Guide
GO Ahead Eagles — All Games: 6W 1D 3L from 10 Eredivisie outings this season, averaging 1.90 points per game. Last five: L W D W W. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for GO Ahead Eagles, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at De Adelaarshorst, GO Ahead Eagles have gone 4W 2D 4L this season (10 games, 1.40 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Somewhat surprisingly, their home PPG of 1.40 lags behind their overall 1.90 — the home advantage has not translated into superior results at De Adelaarshorst this season.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Feyenoord stand at 6W 4D 0L from 10 Eredivisie matches — 2.20 PPG. Last five: D D W D W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.60 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Feyenoord have played only a handful of Eredivisie games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Feyenoord away from home this season: 5W 5D 0L from 10 away games — 2.00 PPG on the road. They are averaging 2.10 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. Both teams have scored in 80% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
There is minimal separation in the form figures — GO Ahead Eagles at 1.90 PPG versus Feyenoord's 2.20. The form guide is not providing a strong directional steer; the model and market data will carry more weight in the final assessment.
Head to Head
Despite the anticipated home advantage, Feyenoord have the better historical record — 6 wins from 6 previous contests against 0 for GO Ahead Eagles.
The 6 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 3.5 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 25 Apr 2024, ended 1–3 with Feyenoord winning.
The H2H provides genuine backing for the away side. Feyenoord have won 6 of 6 previous encounters, and at 3.5 goals per game, the goals market also points upward. The away win and Over 2.5 combination has a historical case worth noting.
Trading Patterns
GO Ahead Eagles in-play and half-time data (41 games, 19 at home): they score before half-time in 74% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 79% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 64% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 47% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 53% of games (home games).
Feyenoord in-play and half-time data (41 games, 19 at away): they score before half-time in 90% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; they lead at the break 56% of the time; BTTS occurs in 63% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 63% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 51%; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — GO Ahead Eagles 46% versus Feyenoord 56%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (GO Ahead Eagles 46% | Feyenoord 66%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects GO Ahead Eagles 1.49 xG and Feyenoord 1.56 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: GO Ahead Eagles attack 1.029 / defence 0.973 | Feyenoord attack 1.293 / defence 0.904. League average goals — home 1.598 / away 1.241. Feyenoord have an above-average attack strength of 1.293 — the away xG of 1.56 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 42 GO Ahead Eagles games / 41 Feyenoord games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: GO Ahead Eagles 35% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 39%. Fair-value odds: GO Ahead Eagles 2.86 | Draw 3.85 | Feyenoord 2.56. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 26% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 59% | BTTS probability 62% | Total xG 3.05. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 59% — the 3.05 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 62% reflects that both xG figures (1.49 / 1.56) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Feyenoord at 39% — marginal model lean. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Feyenoord offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 3.05 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 59% — strong confidence, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game and H2H averaging 3.5 goals per meeting.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 62% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: GO Ahead Eagles 40% | Feyenoord 80% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord | Competition: Eredivisie, Regular Season - 9 | Venue: De Adelaarshorst • Kick-off: Saturday 19 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: GO Ahead Eagles 35% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 39% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 59% | BTTS 62% | xG GO Ahead Eagles 1.49 / Feyenoord 1.56 • Poisson strength factors: GO Ahead Eagles attack 1.029 / def 0.973 | Feyenoord attack 1.293 / def 0.904 | league avg home 1.598 / away 1.241 • Poisson stance: Feyenoord (39%) — low confidence — close contest
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
1.49
GO Ahead Eagles xG
Expected Goals
1.56
Feyenoord xG
62%
BTTS
82%
Over 1.5
59%
Over 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord kick off?
GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord kicked off at 20:00 on Saturday 19 October 2024 at De Adelaarshorst.
What was the final score in GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord?
GO Ahead Eagles 1 - 5 Feyenoord.
Where is GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord being played?
The match is being played at De Adelaarshorst.
What competition is GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord part of?
GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord is a Regular Season - 9 fixture in the Eredivisie (Netherlands).
Who is favourite to win GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord?
Our statistical model gives GO Ahead Eagles a 35% chance of winning, Feyenoord a 39% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Feyenoord the favourite.
Will both teams score in GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord?
Our model estimates a 62% probability that both GO Ahead Eagles and Feyenoord will score (BTTS).
Will GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 59%.
What is the head-to-head record between GO Ahead Eagles and Feyenoord?
Record (6 meetings): GO Ahead Eagles 0W | Draws 0 | Feyenoord 6W.
What form are GO Ahead Eagles and Feyenoord in?
GO Ahead Eagles (all comps): 6W-1D-3L in 10 | 1.90 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.20 | L5 L-W-D-W-W. Feyenoord (all comps): 6W-4D-0L in 10 | 2.20 PPG | GF 2.60 / GA 0.90 | L5 D-D-W-D-W.
What do the betting odds say about GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord?
Odds data is not currently available for this fixture.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
GO Ahead Eagles's attacking strength (1.03x league average) is weighed against Feyenoord's defensive record (0.90x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.49. The same calculation in reverse, Feyenoord's attack versus GO Ahead Eagles's defence, projects 1.56 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 42/41 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.4%. Close behind: 1-2 (8.6%), 2-1 (8.2%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Feyenoord Win
35%
2.83
26%
3.82
39%
2.59
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.6%
Away win
2 – 1
8.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.49
GO Ahead Eagles xG
Total xG
3.05
1.56
Feyenoord xG
2.83
35%
Home win
3.82
26%
Draw
2.59
39%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.61
38%
BTTS No
2.64
Clean Sheet
21%
4.76
23%
4.42
Win to Nil
7%
13.49
9%
11.48
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 11.0 | 8.6 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 8.2 | 6.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.4%.
How many goals are GO Ahead Eagles and Feyenoord expected to score?
The model projects 1.49 expected goals for GO Ahead Eagles and 1.56 for Feyenoord, a combined total of 3.05.
How confident is the prediction model for GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 39%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
GO Ahead Eagles's recent record stands at 16W 11D 14L from 41 games, a 1.44 PPG return, with L-W-D-W-W in the last five. The sample for GO Ahead Eagles is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Feyenoord, meanwhile, have gone 29W 10D 2L across 41 games — 2.37 PPG, with D-D-W-D-W in their last five. It's still early in the season for Feyenoord, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
The points-per-game comparison favours Feyenoord by 0.93 — a real, if not enormous, edge over GO Ahead Eagles heading into this one.
Venue Form
At home specifically, GO Ahead Eagles have managed 7W 5D 7L from 19 games — 1.37 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Feyenoord's away record stands at 13W 5D 1L across 19 trips, a 2.32 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Feyenoord come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
GO Ahead Eagles are averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game recently; Feyenoord are on 2.59 scored and 0.80 conceded.
Defensively: Feyenoord in 44% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 41 Results — Eredivisie
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
GO Ahead Eagles
Blended
Feyenoord
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are GO Ahead Eagles and Feyenoord in coming into this match?
GO Ahead Eagles have gone 16W 11D 14L in their last 41 games (1.44 PPG), while Feyenoord have gone 29W 10D 2L in their last 41 (2.37 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — GO Ahead Eagles at home or Feyenoord away?
Feyenoord's away record (2.32 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — GO Ahead Eagles at home: 1.37 PPG; Feyenoord away: 2.32 PPG.
Have GO Ahead Eagles or Feyenoord been keeping clean sheets recently?
GO Ahead Eagles have kept a clean sheet in 32% of their recent games, Feyenoord in 44%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Eredivisie. They last met on 15 February 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 19 Oct 2024, when Feyenoord won 1-5 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
GO Ahead Eagles's record when hosting Feyenoord specifically: 1W 0D 4L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
1
GO Ahead Eagles
0
Draws
9
Feyenoord
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between GO Ahead Eagles and Feyenoord?
From 10 meetings on record, GO Ahead Eagles have won 1, Feyenoord have won 9, and 0 have been drawn.
When did GO Ahead Eagles and Feyenoord last play each other?
They last met on 15 February 2026, when Feyenoord 1-0 GO Ahead Eagles.
Who has won more matches between GO Ahead Eagles and Feyenoord?
Feyenoord have the better head-to-head record, with 9 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
GO Ahead Eagles are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 74% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 26% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 10% of those situations.
Feyenoord are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 90% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 53% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 10% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — GO Ahead Eagles 47%, Feyenoord 63% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 53% (GO Ahead Eagles) and 63% (Feyenoord). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 37% and 47% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: GO Ahead Eagles keep a clean sheet in 32% of their matches; Feyenoord in 37%; GO Ahead Eagles have failed to score in 26% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = GO Ahead Eagles home games / Feyenoord away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when GO Ahead Eagles play Feyenoord?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 47% of GO Ahead Eagles's games and 63% of Feyenoord's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is GO Ahead Eagles vs Feyenoord usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 53% of GO Ahead Eagles's matches and 63% of Feyenoord's.
Do GO Ahead Eagles and Feyenoord tend to score early?
GO Ahead Eagles have had a goal before half-time in 74% of their recent matches, Feyenoord in 90% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant Feyenoord run riot with a 1-5 hammering of GO Ahead Eagles.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Feyenoord beat GO Ahead Eagles 1-5 at De Adelaarshorst, Regular Season - 9, in the Eredivisie. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting GO Ahead Eagles 1.49 xG and Feyenoord 1.56 xG, a combined 3.05. The scoreboard read 1-5 for 6 actual goals. Feyenoord outscored their 1.56 projection by 3.4. Those figures were built on strength ratings of GO Ahead Eagles attack 1.03 / defence 0.97 against Feyenoord attack 1.29 / defence 0.90, drawn from 42/41 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it GO Ahead Eagles 35% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 39%, with Feyenoord to win its most likely call at 39%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. Over 3.5 was 36% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (GO Ahead Eagles 46%, Feyenoord 66%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
GO Ahead Eagles's trading profile (41 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and conceded here.
Feyenoord's trading profile (41 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and conceded here.
Form vs Result
On form, Feyenoord arrived the stronger side — 2.37 PPG against 1.44. That form edge translated into the three points. GO Ahead Eagles (home/away splits) shipped 5 against a 1.26 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Feyenoord (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 2.26 average — above their attacking norm.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.