Feyenoord 2-1 Utrecht – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Feyenoord at 52% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Feyenoord vs Utrecht encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Utrecht make the trip to Stadion Feijenoord to face Feyenoord in Eredivisie, Regular Season - 30. The match kicks off on Sunday 24 April 2022 at 13:30 UTC.
Current Form
Feyenoord's overall Eredivisie record this term: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games (2.20 PPG). Last five: D W L W W. They are averaging 2.50 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
Feyenoord at Stadion Feijenoord this season: 7W 1D 2L from 10 home games — 2.20 PPG on home soil. They are averaging 2.20 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. 5 clean sheets from 10 home games (50%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Stadion Feijenoord. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
Utrecht have collected 1.30 PPG across 10 Eredivisie outings this season: 3W 4D 3L. Last five: D L L D D. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
Utrecht's away record: 2W 3D 5L from 10 road trips in Eredivisie this season (0.90 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
The form ledger tips toward Feyenoord. A 0.90 PPG lead over Utrecht (2.20 vs 1.30) is a consistent enough margin to carry weight. If the win odds appear compressed, Draw No Bet offers draw insurance at a lower cost than a full switch to Double Chance.
H2H History
Form and model data should carry more weight here — the historical record is too balanced to provide a directional steer. From 1 meetings: Feyenoord 0W, Utrecht 1W, 0D.
These two sides have produced goals at a consistent rate historically, averaging 4.0 per game across 1 meetings. That scoring profile provides genuine support for the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent clash, on 29 Aug 2021, ended 1–3 with Utrecht winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 4.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading & In-Play
Feyenoord — key trading statistics (29 games, 14 at home): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; BTTS occurs in 43% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 48%; they keep a clean sheet 41% of the time.
Utrecht — key trading statistics (29 games, 14 at away): they score before half-time in 64% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Feyenoord 52% versus Utrecht 62%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Feyenoord 66% | Utrecht 59%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Feyenoord 1.65 xG and Utrecht 1.04 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Feyenoord attack 1.248 / defence 0.970 | Utrecht attack 0.850 / defence 1.179. League average goals — home 1.125 / away 1.264. Data: 29 Feyenoord games / 29 Utrecht games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Feyenoord 52% | Draw 24% | Utrecht 24%. Fair-value odds: Feyenoord 1.92 | Draw 4.17 | Utrecht 4.17. Feyenoord hold a narrow Poisson edge at 52% — the draw (24%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 51% | BTTS probability 52% | Total xG 2.69. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 51%/49% — the total xG of 2.69 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 52% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Feyenoord are the pick at 52% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 24% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Feyenoord if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.69 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 51% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 3.0 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 52% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Feyenoord 30% | Utrecht 80% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Feyenoord vs Utrecht | Competition: Eredivisie, Regular Season - 30 | Venue: Stadion Feijenoord • Kick-off: Sunday 24 Apr 2022, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Feyenoord 52% | Draw 24% | Utrecht 24% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 51% | BTTS 52% | xG Feyenoord 1.65 / Utrecht 1.04 • Poisson strength factors: Feyenoord attack 1.248 / def 0.970 | Utrecht attack 0.850 / def 1.179 | league avg home 1.125 / away 1.264 • Poisson stance: Feyenoord (52%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.65
Feyenoord xG
Expected Goals
1.04
Utrecht xG
52%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
51%
Over 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Feyenoord vs Utrecht kick off?
Feyenoord vs Utrecht kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 24 April 2022 at Stadion Feijenoord.
What was the final score in Feyenoord vs Utrecht?
Feyenoord 2 - 1 Utrecht.
Where is Feyenoord vs Utrecht being played?
The match is being played at Stadion Feijenoord.
What competition is Feyenoord vs Utrecht part of?
Feyenoord vs Utrecht is a Regular Season - 30 fixture in the Eredivisie (Netherlands).
Who is favourite to win Feyenoord vs Utrecht?
Our statistical model gives Feyenoord a 52% chance of winning, Utrecht a 24% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw — making Feyenoord the favourite.
Will both teams score in Feyenoord vs Utrecht?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Feyenoord and Utrecht will score (BTTS).
Will Feyenoord vs Utrecht have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 51%.
What is the head-to-head record between Feyenoord and Utrecht?
Record (1 meetings): Feyenoord 0W | Draws 0 | Utrecht 1W.
What form are Feyenoord and Utrecht in?
Feyenoord (all comps): 7W-1D-2L in 10 | 2.20 PPG | GF 2.50 / GA 1.00 | L5 D-W-L-W-W. Utrecht (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.20 | L5 D-L-L-D-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from Feyenoord's attack rating (1.25) and Utrecht's defence rating (1.18), the model arrives at 1.65 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Utrecht's attack (0.85x) against Feyenoord's defence (0.97x) — and the away total comes out at 1.04.
These ratings are built from 29/29 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.1%. Close behind: 1-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Feyenoord Win
52%
1.93
24%
4.09
24%
4.19
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.6%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.2%
Home win
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.65
Feyenoord xG
Total xG
2.69
1.04
Utrecht xG
1.93
52%
Home win
4.09
24%
Draw
4.19
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.91
48%
BTTS No
2.10
Clean Sheet
35%
2.83
19%
5.23
Win to Nil
18%
5.48
5%
21.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.2 | 11.6 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.2 | 9.6 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Feyenoord vs Utrecht?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.1%.
How many goals are Feyenoord and Utrecht expected to score?
The model projects 1.65 expected goals for Feyenoord and 1.04 for Utrecht, a combined total of 2.69.
How confident is the prediction model for Feyenoord vs Utrecht?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 52%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Feyenoord come into this having played 29 games, going 19W 4D 6L for 2.10 points per game. Their last five reads D-W-L-W-W.
On the other side, Utrecht sit at 1.45 PPG from 29 outings (11W 9D 9L), a run that reads D-L-L-D-D across their last five.
Feyenoord carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.65 PPG clear of Utrecht — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
How They Fare by Venue
Feyenoord's home form reads 10W 2D 2L across 14 games on their own ground, a 2.29 PPG return.
Away from home, Utrecht have taken 1.14 points per game from 14 outings (4W 4D 6L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Feyenoord come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
Feyenoord are averaging 2.31 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game recently; Utrecht are on 1.59 scored and 1.31 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Utrecht in 62%.
Defensively: Feyenoord have kept a clean sheet in 41% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 29 Results — Eredivisie
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Feyenoord
Current Season
Utrecht
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Feyenoord and Utrecht in coming into this match?
Feyenoord have gone 19W 4D 6L in their last 29 games (2.10 PPG), while Utrecht have gone 11W 9D 9L in their last 29 (1.45 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Feyenoord at home or Utrecht away?
Feyenoord's home record (2.29 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Feyenoord at home: 2.29 PPG; Utrecht away: 1.14 PPG.
Have Feyenoord or Utrecht been keeping clean sheets recently?
Feyenoord have kept a clean sheet in 41% of their recent games, Utrecht in 24%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to August 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Eredivisie. They last met on 8 February 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Notable Numbers
There's a clear current trend here: Feyenoord have taken the last 2 head-to-head results.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Feyenoord won 1-5 on 3 Sep 2023, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Feyenoord have gone 4W 0D 1L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Utrecht — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
7
Feyenoord
1
Draws
2
Utrecht
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Feyenoord and Utrecht?
From 10 meetings on record, Feyenoord have won 7, Utrecht have won 2, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Feyenoord and Utrecht last play each other?
They last met on 8 February 2026, when Utrecht 0-1 Feyenoord.
Who has won more matches between Feyenoord and Utrecht?
Feyenoord have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Feyenoord are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 36% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 14% of those situations.
Utrecht are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 64% of their matches.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Feyenoord 43%, Utrecht 57% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 57% (Feyenoord) and 57% (Utrecht). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 50% and 21% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Feyenoord keep a clean sheet in 43% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Feyenoord home games / Utrecht away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Feyenoord play Utrecht?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 43% of Feyenoord's recent matches and 57% of Utrecht's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Feyenoord vs Utrecht usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 57% of Feyenoord's matches and 57% of Utrecht's.
Do Feyenoord and Utrecht tend to score early?
Feyenoord have had a goal before half-time in 71% of their recent matches, Utrecht in 64% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Feyenoord edge out Utrecht 2-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Feyenoord beat Utrecht 2-1 at Stadion Feijenoord, Regular Season - 30, in the Eredivisie. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Feyenoord 1.65 xG and Utrecht 1.04 xG, a combined 2.69. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Feyenoord attack 1.25 / defence 0.97 against Utrecht attack 0.85 / defence 1.18, drawn from 29/29 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Feyenoord 52% | Draw 24% | Utrecht 24%, with Feyenoord to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Feyenoord 66%, Utrecht 59%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Feyenoord's trading profile (29 games, 14 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 41% of the time, and conceded here.
Utrecht's trading profile (29 games, 14 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
On form, Feyenoord arrived the stronger side — 2.10 PPG against 1.45. The form guide was vindicated by the result.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.