Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Eintracht Frankfurt at 40% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Deutsche Bank Park plays host to Eintracht Frankfurt versus Borussia Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off: Saturday 21 September 2024 at 17:30 UTC.
Current Form
Eintracht Frankfurt's overall Bundesliga record this term: 3W 3D 4L from 10 games (1.20 PPG). Last five: D D L W W. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. Eintracht Frankfurt have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Eintracht Frankfurt's form when playing at home: 4W 5D 1L across 10 games at Deutsche Bank Park this term (1.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.70 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.20 — Eintracht Frankfurt are significantly better at Deutsche Bank Park than their overall form suggests.
Borussia Mönchengladbach have collected 0.90 PPG across 10 Bundesliga outings this season: 2W 3D 5L. Last five: D L L W L. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 2.00. Conceding 2.00 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Borussia Mönchengladbach have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's form when playing away from home: 2W 4D 4L across 10 road games this term (1.00 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 1.20 vs 0.90 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using home/away splits) — Eintracht Frankfurt have seen both teams score in 80% of their games, Borussia Mönchengladbach in 60%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
H2H Analysis
Historically, Eintracht Frankfurt have had the better of this match-up — 3 wins from 6 meetings, with Borussia Mönchengladbach managing just 0 victories and 3 draws shared.
These two sides have produced goals at a consistent rate historically, averaging 3.0 per game across 6 meetings. That scoring profile provides genuine support for the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent clash, on 11 May 2024, ended 1–1 with a draw.
From a betting standpoint, the H2H backs both Eintracht Frankfurt and goals. The home side's 3 wins from 6 meetings, combined with an average of 3.0 goals per game, gives the home win and Over 2.5 combination a historically grounded case.
Trading & In-Play
Eintracht Frankfurt — key trading statistics (37 games, 18 at home): they score before half-time in 78% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 57% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 72% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 35%.
Borussia Mönchengladbach — key trading statistics (37 games, 18 at away): they score before half-time in 89% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 78% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 72% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 54%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Eintracht Frankfurt 68% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 73% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (Eintracht Frankfurt 60% | Borussia Mönchengladbach 76%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Frankfurt 1.71 xG and Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.53 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Frankfurt attack 1.123 / defence 0.924 | Borussia Mönchengladbach attack 0.991 / defence 0.953. League average goals — home 1.597 / away 1.672. Data: 37 Eintracht Frankfurt games / 37 Borussia Mönchengladbach games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 40% | Draw 27% | Borussia Mönchengladbach 33%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.50 | Draw 3.70 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.03. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 27% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 63% | BTTS probability 66% | Total xG 3.24. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 63% — the 3.24 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 66% reflects that both xG figures (1.71 / 1.53) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Eintracht Frankfurt are the pick at 40% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 27% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Eintracht Frankfurt if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.24 combined xG gives a 63% probability to Over 2.5 — strong, supported by form averaging 3.1 goals per game and H2H averaging 3.0 goals per meeting.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 66%. Form rates corroborate: Eintracht Frankfurt 80% | Borussia Mönchengladbach 60% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 4 | Venue: Deutsche Bank Park • Kick-off: Saturday 21 Sep 2024, 17:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 40% | Draw 27% | Borussia Mönchengladbach 33% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 63% | BTTS 66% | xG Eintracht Frankfurt 1.71 / Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.53 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Frankfurt attack 1.123 / def 0.924 | Borussia Mönchengladbach attack 0.991 / def 0.953 | league avg home 1.597 / away 1.672 • Poisson stance: Eintracht Frankfurt (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.71
Eintracht Frankfurt xG
Expected Goals
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
66%
BTTS
86%
Over 1.5
63%
Over 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach kick off?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach kicked off at 17:30 on Saturday 21 September 2024 at Deutsche Bank Park.
What was the final score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Where is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach being played?
The match is being played at Deutsche Bank Park.
What competition is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach part of?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is a Regular Season - 4 fixture in the Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 40% chance of winning, Borussia Mönchengladbach a 33% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our model estimates a 66% probability that both Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach will score (BTTS).
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 63%.
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Record (6 meetings): Eintracht Frankfurt 3W | Draws 3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W.
What form are Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach in?
Eintracht Frankfurt (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.90 | L5 D-D-L-W-W. Borussia Mönchengladbach (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 2.00 | L5 D-L-L-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Eintracht Frankfurt's attack at 1.12x the league average against Borussia Mönchengladbach's defence at 0.95x — combine the two and it projects 1.71 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Borussia Mönchengladbach's attack (0.99x) against Eintracht Frankfurt's defence (0.92x) — and the away total comes out at 1.53.
These ratings are built from 37/37 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 11.6% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (8.8%), 1-2 (7.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 28% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Eintracht Frankfurt Win
40%
2.50
27%
3.64
33%
3.08
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.8%
Home win
1 – 2
7.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.71
Eintracht Frankfurt xG
Total xG
3.24
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
2.50
40%
Home win
3.64
27%
Draw
3.08
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.51
34%
BTTS No
2.97
Clean Sheet
22%
4.62
18%
5.51
Win to Nil
9%
11.56
6%
16.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.7 | 10.3 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 8.8 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.6%.
How many goals are Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach expected to score?
The model projects 1.71 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.53 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, a combined total of 3.24.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 37 outings, Eintracht Frankfurt have picked up 1.43 PPG on a 13W 14D 10L record — D-D-L-W-W across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for Eintracht Frankfurt, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's form line: 8W 13D 16L from 37 games, 1.00 PPG, last five D-L-L-W-L. It's still early in the season for Borussia Mönchengladbach, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Put side by side, Eintracht Frankfurt are the form team by 0.43 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Borussia Mönchengladbach.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, Eintracht Frankfurt have posted 1.78 PPG from 18 outings (8W 8D 2L).
On the road, Borussia Mönchengladbach have gone 3W 7D 8L from 18 away games — 0.89 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Eintracht Frankfurt come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
Eintracht Frankfurt are averaging 1.51 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game recently; Borussia Mönchengladbach are on 1.65 scored and 1.97 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Eintracht Frankfurt have seen both teams score in 68% of their recent games; Borussia Mönchengladbach in 73%.
Last 37 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Frankfurt
Early Season
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach in coming into this match?
Eintracht Frankfurt have gone 13W 14D 10L in their last 37 games (1.43 PPG), while Borussia Mönchengladbach have gone 8W 13D 16L in their last 37 (1.00 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Eintracht Frankfurt at home or Borussia Mönchengladbach away?
Eintracht Frankfurt's home record (1.78 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Eintracht Frankfurt at home: 1.78 PPG; Borussia Mönchengladbach away: 0.89 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to December 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 14 February 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Notable Numbers
Eintracht Frankfurt go into this on the back of 2 straight wins in the series — the current momentum sits squarely with them.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Eintracht Frankfurt won 3-0 on 14 Feb 2026, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Eintracht Frankfurt have gone 3W 2D 0L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Borussia Mönchengladbach — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
6
Eintracht Frankfurt
4
Draws
0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
From 10 meetings on record, Eintracht Frankfurt have won 6, Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 0, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach last play each other?
They last met on 14 February 2026, when Eintracht Frankfurt 3-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Eintracht Frankfurt have the better head-to-head record, with 6 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Eintracht Frankfurt are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 28% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 28% of those situations.
Borussia Mönchengladbach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 89% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 72% for Eintracht Frankfurt, 78% for Borussia Mönchengladbach — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 56% for Eintracht Frankfurt and 72% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 44% and 67% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Frankfurt home games / Borussia Mönchengladbach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Eintracht Frankfurt play Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 72% of Eintracht Frankfurt's games and 78% of Borussia Mönchengladbach's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 56% of Eintracht Frankfurt's matches and 72% of Borussia Mönchengladbach's.
Do Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach tend to score early?
Eintracht Frankfurt have had a goal before half-time in 78% of their recent matches, Borussia Mönchengladbach in 89% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Eintracht Frankfurt cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Eintracht Frankfurt beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 at Deutsche Bank Park, Regular Season - 4, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Frankfurt 1.71 xG and Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.53 xG, a combined 3.24. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Borussia Mönchengladbach landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Frankfurt attack 1.12 / defence 0.92 against Borussia Mönchengladbach attack 0.99 / defence 0.95, drawn from 37/37 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Frankfurt 40% | Draw 27% | Borussia Mönchengladbach 33%, with Eintracht Frankfurt to win its most likely call at 40%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 66% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 68% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Frankfurt 60%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 76%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 70%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Frankfurt's trading profile (37 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 68% of their matches — today it did not.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's trading profile (37 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 73% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Eintracht Frankfurt arrived the stronger side — 1.43 PPG against 1.00. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Eintracht Frankfurt (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.22 average — tighter than their form line. Borussia Mönchengladbach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.72 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.