SV Darmstadt 98 1-1 Eintracht Braunschweig – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates SV Darmstadt 98 at 47%, yet other data sources diverge — this SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A 2. Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 5 sees Eintracht Braunschweig travel to Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor to take on SV Darmstadt 98. The game is scheduled for Saturday 14 September 2024, 12:00 UTC.
Form Guide
SV Darmstadt 98 — All Games: 1W 1D 8L from 10 2. Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 0.40 points per game. Last five: L L L D L. They are averaging 0.40 goals per game and conceding 2.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.50 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in only 20% of their games — a low BTTS rate that suggests clean sheets are a regular occurrence. SV Darmstadt 98 have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
SV Darmstadt 98's form when playing at home: 0W 2D 8L across 10 games at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor this term (0.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.60 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Eintracht Braunschweig stand at 2W 2D 6L from 10 2. Bundesliga matches — 0.80 PPG. Last five: L L L L L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 2.70 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.70 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Eintracht Braunschweig have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Eintracht Braunschweig away from home this season: 2W 1D 7L from 10 away games — 0.70 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game.
The form figures are too closely matched to derive a directional pick: SV Darmstadt 98 0.40 PPG, Eintracht Braunschweig 0.80 PPG. Look to other data sets to build the analysis.
H2H Record
The H2H landscape is flat: 2 previous encounters have yielded 2 wins for SV Darmstadt 98, 0 for Eintracht Braunschweig and 0 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The 2 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 12 Feb 2023, ended 2–1 with SV Darmstadt 98 winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
In-Play Profile
SV Darmstadt 98 in-play tendencies (38 games, 19 at home): they score before half-time in 74% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; BTTS occurs in 47% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 58% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 47%; they fail to score in 50% of games.
Eintracht Braunschweig in-play tendencies (38 games, 19 at away): they score before half-time in 84% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; BTTS occurs in 42% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 68% of games (away games); they fail to score in 40% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SV Darmstadt 98 47% versus Eintracht Braunschweig 45%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SV Darmstadt 98 60% | Eintracht Braunschweig 58%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SV Darmstadt 98 1.70 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 1.22 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SV Darmstadt 98 attack 0.703 / defence 1.105 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.811 / defence 1.565. League average goals — home 1.543 / away 1.361. SV Darmstadt 98's attack strength of 0.703 is below the league average — the 1.70 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Eintracht Braunschweig bring a strong defensive rating of 1.565 — this is suppressing SV Darmstadt 98's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 4 SV Darmstadt 98 games / 38 Eintracht Braunschweig games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SV Darmstadt 98 47% | Draw 27% | Eintracht Braunschweig 26%. Fair-value odds: SV Darmstadt 98 2.13 | Draw 3.70 | Eintracht Braunschweig 3.85. SV Darmstadt 98 hold a narrow Poisson edge at 47% — the draw (27%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 56% | BTTS probability 59% | Total xG 2.92. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 56% — the 2.92 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 59% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is SV Darmstadt 98 at 47% — moderate model lean. With a 27% draw probability, Draw No Bet on SV Darmstadt 98 offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.92 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 56% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.5 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 59%. This conflicts with form data: SV Darmstadt 98 40% | Eintracht Braunschweig 40% from recent games — a notable divergence.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 5 | Venue: Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor • Kick-off: Saturday 14 Sep 2024, 12:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SV Darmstadt 98 47% | Draw 27% | Eintracht Braunschweig 26% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 56% | BTTS 59% | xG SV Darmstadt 98 1.70 / Eintracht Braunschweig 1.22 • Poisson strength factors: SV Darmstadt 98 attack 0.703 / def 1.105 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.811 / def 1.565 | league avg home 1.543 / away 1.361 • Poisson stance: SV Darmstadt 98 (47%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.70
SV Darmstadt 98 xG
Expected Goals
1.22
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
59%
BTTS
81%
Over 1.5
56%
Over 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig kick off?
SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig kicked off at 12:00 on Saturday 14 September 2024 at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor.
What was the final score in SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
SV Darmstadt 98 1 - 1 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Where is SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig being played?
The match is being played at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor.
What competition is SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig part of?
SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig is a Regular Season - 5 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our statistical model gives SV Darmstadt 98 a 47% chance of winning, Eintracht Braunschweig a 26% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite.
Will both teams score in SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our model estimates a 59% probability that both SV Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Braunschweig will score (BTTS).
Will SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between SV Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Braunschweig?
Record (2 meetings): SV Darmstadt 98 2W | Draws 0 | Eintracht Braunschweig 0W.
What form are SV Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Braunschweig in?
SV Darmstadt 98 (all comps): 1W-1D-8L in 10 | 0.40 PPG | GF 0.40 / GA 2.50 | L5 L-L-L-D-L. Eintracht Braunschweig (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 2.70 | L5 L-L-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates SV Darmstadt 98's attack at 0.70x the league average against Eintracht Braunschweig's defence at 1.56x — combine the two and it projects 1.70 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Eintracht Braunschweig's attack versus SV Darmstadt 98's defence, projects 1.22 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 4/38 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 12.7% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (7.8%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
SV Darmstadt 98 Win
47%
2.13
27%
3.65
26%
3.88
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
1 – 0
9.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.70
SV Darmstadt 98 xG
Total xG
2.92
1.22
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
2.13
47%
Home win
3.65
27%
Draw
3.88
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.69
41%
BTTS No
2.46
Clean Sheet
30%
3.38
18%
5.46
Win to Nil
14%
7.22
5%
21.19
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 11.2 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.8 | 9.5 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.7%.
How many goals are SV Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Braunschweig expected to score?
The model projects 1.70 expected goals for SV Darmstadt 98 and 1.22 for Eintracht Braunschweig, a combined total of 2.92.
How confident is the prediction model for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 47%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
SV Darmstadt 98 come into this having played 38 games, going 3W 9D 26L for 0.47 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-L-D-L. It's still early in the season for SV Darmstadt 98, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Eintracht Braunschweig sit at 1.00 PPG from 38 outings (11W 5D 22L), a run that reads L-L-L-L-L across their last five. It's still early in the season for Eintracht Braunschweig, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Eintracht Braunschweig carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.53 PPG clear of SV Darmstadt 98 — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Venue Form
SV Darmstadt 98's home form reads 1W 4D 14L across 19 games on their own ground, a 0.37 PPG return.
Away from home, Eintracht Braunschweig have taken 0.68 points per game from 19 outings (4W 1D 14L).
Goals in Recent Form
SV Darmstadt 98 are averaging 0.84 goals scored and 2.53 conceded per game recently; Eintracht Braunschweig are on 1.05 scored and 1.79 conceded.
Last 38 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SV Darmstadt 98
Early Season
Eintracht Braunschweig
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SV Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Braunschweig in coming into this match?
SV Darmstadt 98 have gone 3W 9D 26L in their last 38 games (0.47 PPG), while Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 11W 5D 22L in their last 38 (1.00 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SV Darmstadt 98 at home or Eintracht Braunschweig away?
Eintracht Braunschweig's away record (0.68 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SV Darmstadt 98 at home: 0.37 PPG; Eintracht Braunschweig away: 0.68 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
6 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. They last met on 14 February 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Streaks & Records
SV Darmstadt 98's record when hosting Eintracht Braunschweig specifically: 2W 1D 0L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
3
SV Darmstadt 98
2
Draws
1
Eintracht Braunschweig
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SV Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Braunschweig?
From 6 meetings on record, SV Darmstadt 98 have won 3, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did SV Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Braunschweig last play each other?
They last met on 14 February 2026, when Eintracht Braunschweig 2-2 SV Darmstadt 98.
Who has won more matches between SV Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Braunschweig?
SV Darmstadt 98 have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
SV Darmstadt 98 are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 74% of their matches.
Eintracht Braunschweig are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 84% of their matches.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SV Darmstadt 98 47%, Eintracht Braunschweig 42% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 58% for SV Darmstadt 98 and 68% for Eintracht Braunschweig. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 42% and 26% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: SV Darmstadt 98 have failed to score in 53% of games; Eintracht Braunschweig in 53%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SV Darmstadt 98 home games / Eintracht Braunschweig away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SV Darmstadt 98 play Eintracht Braunschweig?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 47% of SV Darmstadt 98's recent matches and 42% of Eintracht Braunschweig's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is SV Darmstadt 98 vs Eintracht Braunschweig usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 58% of SV Darmstadt 98's matches and 68% of Eintracht Braunschweig's.
Do SV Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Braunschweig tend to score early?
SV Darmstadt 98 have had a goal before half-time in 74% of their recent matches, Eintracht Braunschweig in 84% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
SV Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Braunschweig share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
SV Darmstadt 98 and Eintracht Braunschweig finished level at 1-1 at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Regular Season - 5, in the 2. Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SV Darmstadt 98 1.70 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 1.22 xG, a combined 2.92. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SV Darmstadt 98 attack 0.70 / defence 1.10 against Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.81 / defence 1.56, drawn from 4/38 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SV Darmstadt 98 47% | Draw 27% | Eintracht Braunschweig 26%, with SV Darmstadt 98 to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 56%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SV Darmstadt 98 60%, Eintracht Braunschweig 58%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 46%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SV Darmstadt 98's trading profile (38 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did.
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (38 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
On form, Eintracht Braunschweig arrived the stronger side — 1.00 PPG against 0.47. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. SV Darmstadt 98 (home/away splits) conceded 1 against a 2.47 average — tighter than their form line. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) conceded 1 against a 2.21 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.