Eintracht Braunschweig 0-1 VfL Bochum – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Eintracht Braunschweig at 42%, yet other data sources diverge — this Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
VfL Bochum make the trip to Eintracht-Stadion to face Eintracht Braunschweig in 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 2. The match kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 16:30 UTC.
Current Form
Eintracht Braunschweig's overall 2. Bundesliga record this term: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games (1.40 PPG). Last five: W L W L W. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Eintracht Braunschweig have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Eintracht Braunschweig at Eintracht-Stadion this season: 4W 4D 2L from 10 home games — 1.60 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
VfL Bochum have collected 1.20 PPG across 10 2. Bundesliga outings this season: 3W 3D 4L. Last five: W D D W L. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. VfL Bochum have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
On the road, VfL Bochum have gone 2W 5D 3L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.10 PPG). Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 1.40 vs 1.20 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
The BTTS picture is exceptionally clear (using home/away splits) — Eintracht Braunschweig register both teams scoring in 70% of relevant games, VfL Bochum in 70%. Both sides above 70% makes BTTS Yes one of the strongest standalone angles in this fixture.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Eintracht Braunschweig lead 0W to 2W over the last 2 encounters, with 0 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
These two sides have produced goals at a consistent rate historically, averaging 3.5 per game across 2 meetings. That scoring profile provides genuine support for the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent clash, on 12 Apr 2026, ended 1–4 with VfL Bochum winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.5 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading
Eintracht Braunschweig half-time and goal-timing data (35 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 76% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 88% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 65% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 53% of games (home games).
VfL Bochum half-time and goal-timing data (35 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 78% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 71% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 47% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Eintracht Braunschweig 60% and VfL Bochum 66% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Eintracht Braunschweig 51% | VfL Bochum 49%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Braunschweig 1.50 xG and VfL Bochum 1.24 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.928 / defence 0.992 | VfL Bochum attack 0.943 / defence 0.960. League average goals — home 1.679 / away 1.323. Data: 35 Eintracht Braunschweig games / 35 VfL Bochum games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 42% | Draw 27% | VfL Bochum 31%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Braunschweig 2.38 | Draw 3.70 | VfL Bochum 3.23. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 27% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 51% | BTTS probability 56% | Total xG 2.73. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 51%/49% — the total xG of 2.73 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 56% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Eintracht Braunschweig are the pick at 42% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 27% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Eintracht Braunschweig if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.73 combined xG gives a 51% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 56%. Form rates corroborate: Eintracht Braunschweig 70% | VfL Bochum 70% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects. The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (35 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 2 | Venue: Eintracht-Stadion • Kick-off: Friday 14 Aug 2026, 16:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 42% | Draw 27% | VfL Bochum 31% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 51% | BTTS 56% | xG Eintracht Braunschweig 1.50 / VfL Bochum 1.24 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.928 / def 0.992 | VfL Bochum attack 0.943 / def 0.960 | league avg home 1.679 / away 1.323 • Poisson stance: Eintracht Braunschweig (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.50
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Expected Goals
1.24
VfL Bochum xG
56%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
51%
Over 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum kick off?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum kicked off at 16:30 on Friday 14 August 2026 at Eintracht-Stadion.
What was the final score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum?
Eintracht Braunschweig 0 - 1 VfL Bochum.
Where is Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum being played?
The match is being played at Eintracht-Stadion.
What competition is Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum part of?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum is a Regular Season - 2 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 42% chance of winning, VfL Bochum a 31% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Eintracht Braunschweig the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum?
Our model estimates a 56% probability that both Eintracht Braunschweig and VfL Bochum will score (BTTS).
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 51%.
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and VfL Bochum?
Record (2 meetings): Eintracht Braunschweig 0W | Draws 0 | VfL Bochum 2W.
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and VfL Bochum in?
Eintracht Braunschweig (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.20 | L5 W-L-W-L-W. VfL Bochum (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.60 | L5 W-D-D-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Eintracht Braunschweig's attacking strength (0.93x league average) is weighed against VfL Bochum's defensive record (0.96x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.50. Flip it around — VfL Bochum's attack (0.94x) against Eintracht Braunschweig's defence (0.99x) — and the away total comes out at 1.24.
The sample (35/35 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.6%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.0%), 1-0 (8.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Eintracht Braunschweig Win
42%
2.36
27%
3.73
31%
3.26
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.7%
Home win
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.50
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Total xG
2.73
1.24
VfL Bochum xG
2.36
42%
Home win
3.73
27%
Draw
3.26
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.79
44%
BTTS No
2.26
Clean Sheet
29%
3.45
22%
4.46
Win to Nil
12%
8.12
7%
14.52
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.7 | 12.0 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.3 | 9.0 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.6%.
How many goals are Eintracht Braunschweig and VfL Bochum expected to score?
The model projects 1.50 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.24 for VfL Bochum, a combined total of 2.73.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Eintracht Braunschweig's recent record stands at 11W 7D 17L from 35 games, a 1.14 PPG return, with W-L-W-L-W in the last five. It's still early in the season for Eintracht Braunschweig, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
VfL Bochum, meanwhile, have gone 11W 11D 13L across 35 games — 1.26 PPG, with W-D-D-W-L in their last five. It's still early in the season for VfL Bochum, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.14 PPG for Eintracht Braunschweig against 1.26 for VfL Bochum. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, Eintracht Braunschweig have managed 6W 5D 6L from 17 games — 1.35 PPG in front of their own supporters.
VfL Bochum's away record stands at 3W 6D 8L across 17 trips, a 0.88 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Eintracht Braunschweig come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
Eintracht Braunschweig are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game recently; VfL Bochum are on 1.40 scored and 1.37 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Eintracht Braunschweig have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games; VfL Bochum in 66%.
Last 35 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Braunschweig
Early Season
VfL Bochum
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and VfL Bochum in coming into this match?
Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 11W 7D 17L in their last 35 games (1.14 PPG), while VfL Bochum have gone 11W 11D 13L in their last 35 (1.26 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Eintracht Braunschweig at home or VfL Bochum away?
Eintracht Braunschweig's home record (1.35 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Eintracht Braunschweig at home: 1.35 PPG; VfL Bochum away: 0.88 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 3 times that we have on record, stretching back to November 2025 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 1 year. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 14 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
There's a clear current trend here: VfL Bochum have taken the last 3 head-to-head results.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: VfL Bochum won 4-1 on 12 Apr 2026, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 0W 0D 2L from 2 meetings on their own ground against VfL Bochum — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 3 Meetings
0
Eintracht Braunschweig
0
Draws
3
VfL Bochum
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and VfL Bochum?
From 3 meetings on record, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 0, VfL Bochum have won 3, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Braunschweig and VfL Bochum last play each other?
They last met on 14 August 2026, when Eintracht Braunschweig 0-1 VfL Bochum.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Braunschweig and VfL Bochum?
VfL Bochum have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 3 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Eintracht Braunschweig are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
VfL Bochum are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 18% of those situations.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 65% for Eintracht Braunschweig, 71% for VfL Bochum — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 53% (Eintracht Braunschweig) and 47% (VfL Bochum).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Braunschweig home games / VfL Bochum away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Eintracht Braunschweig play VfL Bochum?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 65% of Eintracht Braunschweig's games and 71% of VfL Bochum's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 53% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent games and 47% of VfL Bochum's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Eintracht Braunschweig and VfL Bochum tend to score early?
Eintracht Braunschweig have had a goal before half-time in 76% of their recent matches, VfL Bochum in 71% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Shock result as VfL Bochum defy the odds to beat Eintracht Braunschweig 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
VfL Bochum beat Eintracht Braunschweig 0-1 at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 2, in the 2. Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.50 xG and VfL Bochum 1.24 xG, a combined 2.73. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Eintracht Braunschweig fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.93 / defence 0.99 against VfL Bochum attack 0.94 / defence 0.96, drawn from 35/35 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 42% | Draw 27% | VfL Bochum 31%, with Eintracht Braunschweig to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual VfL Bochum win had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 76% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 51%, VfL Bochum 49%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (35 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 26% of games, a blank that repeated today.
VfL Bochum's trading profile (35 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Eintracht Braunschweig 1.14 PPG, VfL Bochum 1.26 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the VfL Bochum win broke the near-deadlock. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.18 scoring average — below par going forward. VfL Bochum (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.53 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.