Strasbourg 0-0 Clermont Foot – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Strasbourg at 40%, yet other data sources diverge — this Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Clermont Foot make the trip to Stade de la Meinau to face Strasbourg in Ligue 1, Regular Season - 7. The match kicks off on Sunday 11 September 2022 at 12:00 UTC.
Current Form
Strasbourg's overall Ligue 1 record this term: 2W 5D 3L from 10 games (1.10 PPG). Last five: D D L D D. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.40 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. Strasbourg have played only a handful of Ligue 1 games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Strasbourg at Stade de la Meinau this season: 4W 5D 1L from 10 home games — 1.70 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.70 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.10 — Strasbourg are significantly better at Stade de la Meinau than their overall form suggests.
Clermont Foot (all games): 4W 0D 6L across 10 Ligue 1 outings this term — 1.20 points per game. Last five: W W L L W. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Clermont Foot have played only a handful of Ligue 1 games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
On the road, Clermont Foot have gone 3W 1D 6L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.00 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 1.10 PPG for Strasbourg against 1.20 for Clermont Foot. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Strasbourg lead 2W to 0W over the last 2 encounters, with 0 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
Scoring has been limited when these teams have met. The 2 previous contests averaged 1.5 goals, making the Under 2.5 the historically backed angle in the goals market. The most recent clash, on 14 May 2022, ended 1–0 with Strasbourg winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.5 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading & In-Play
Strasbourg — key trading statistics (44 games, 22 at home): they score before half-time in 77% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 85% of the time; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (home games).
Clermont Foot — key trading statistics (44 games, 22 at away): they score before half-time in 64% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 92% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 54% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 36% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (away games); they fail to score in 32% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Strasbourg 54% versus Clermont Foot 48%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Strasbourg 39% | Clermont Foot 50%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Strasbourg 1.41 xG and Clermont Foot 1.23 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Strasbourg attack 0.939 / defence 0.872 | Clermont Foot attack 0.935 / defence 0.999. League average goals — home 1.500 / away 1.508. Data: 44 Strasbourg games / 44 Clermont Foot games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Strasbourg 40% | Draw 28% | Clermont Foot 32%. Fair-value odds: Strasbourg 2.50 | Draw 3.57 | Clermont Foot 3.12. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 49% | BTTS probability 54% | Total xG 2.64. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 49%/51% — the total xG of 2.64 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 54% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Strasbourg are the pick at 40% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Strasbourg if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.64 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 49% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
Poisson assigns a 54% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Strasbourg 60% | Clermont Foot 40%.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot | Competition: Ligue 1, Regular Season - 7 | Venue: Stade de la Meinau • Kick-off: Sunday 11 Sep 2022, 12:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Strasbourg 40% | Draw 28% | Clermont Foot 32% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 49% | BTTS 54% | xG Strasbourg 1.41 / Clermont Foot 1.23 • Poisson strength factors: Strasbourg attack 0.939 / def 0.872 | Clermont Foot attack 0.935 / def 0.999 | league avg home 1.500 / away 1.508 • Poisson stance: Strasbourg (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.41
Strasbourg xG
Expected Goals
1.23
Clermont Foot xG
54%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
49%
Over 2.5
27%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot kick off?
Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot kicked off at 12:00 on Sunday 11 September 2022 at Stade de la Meinau.
What was the final score in Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot?
Strasbourg 0 - 0 Clermont Foot.
Where is Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot being played?
The match is being played at Stade de la Meinau.
What competition is Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot part of?
Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot is a Regular Season - 7 fixture in the Ligue 1 (France).
Who is favourite to win Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot?
Our statistical model gives Strasbourg a 40% chance of winning, Clermont Foot a 32% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Strasbourg the favourite.
Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both Strasbourg and Clermont Foot will score (BTTS).
Will Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 49%.
What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Clermont Foot?
Record (2 meetings): Strasbourg 2W | Draws 0 | Clermont Foot 0W.
What form are Strasbourg and Clermont Foot in?
Strasbourg (all comps): 2W-5D-3L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.40 | L5 D-D-L-D-D. Clermont Foot (all comps): 4W-0D-6L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.60 | L5 W-W-L-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Strasbourg's attacking strength (0.94x league average) is weighed against Clermont Foot's defensive record (1.00x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.41. Flip it around — Clermont Foot's attack (0.94x) against Strasbourg's defence (0.87x) — and the away total comes out at 1.23.
These ratings are built from 44/44 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.0%. Close behind: 0-0 (8.8%), 2-1 (8.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Strasbourg Win
40%
2.50
28%
3.55
32%
3.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.1%
Home win
0 – 1
8.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.41
Strasbourg xG
Total xG
2.64
1.23
Clermont Foot xG
2.50
40%
Home win
3.55
28%
Draw
3.15
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.84
46%
BTTS No
2.20
Clean Sheet
29%
3.42
24%
4.08
Win to Nil
12%
8.53
8%
12.85
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2 | 8.8 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 12.4 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 8.7 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.0%.
How many goals are Strasbourg and Clermont Foot expected to score?
The model projects 1.41 expected goals for Strasbourg and 1.23 for Clermont Foot, a combined total of 2.64.
How confident is the prediction model for Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Strasbourg come into this having played 44 games, going 17W 16D 11L for 1.52 points per game. Their last five reads D-D-L-D-D. It's still early in the season for Strasbourg, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Clermont Foot sit at 1.02 PPG from 44 outings (12W 9D 23L), a run that reads W-W-L-L-W across their last five. It's still early in the season for Clermont Foot, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Strasbourg carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.50 PPG clear of Clermont Foot — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home & Away Splits
Strasbourg's home form reads 11W 7D 4L across 22 games on their own ground, a 1.82 PPG return.
Away from home, Clermont Foot have taken 0.95 points per game from 22 outings (6W 3D 13L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Strasbourg come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Strasbourg are averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game recently; Clermont Foot are on 1.05 scored and 1.80 conceded.
Last 44 Results — Ligue 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Strasbourg
Early Season
Clermont Foot
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Strasbourg and Clermont Foot in coming into this match?
Strasbourg have gone 17W 16D 11L in their last 44 games (1.52 PPG), while Clermont Foot have gone 12W 9D 23L in their last 44 (1.02 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Strasbourg at home or Clermont Foot away?
Strasbourg's home record (1.82 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Strasbourg at home: 1.82 PPG; Clermont Foot away: 0.95 PPG.
Have Strasbourg or Clermont Foot been keeping clean sheets recently?
Strasbourg have kept a clean sheet in 32% of their recent games, Clermont Foot in 23%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 6 times since January 2022 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Ligue 1. It has been a while since the last meeting — 28 January 2024, some 2 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Records & Recent Trends
The last 4 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Strasbourg have gone 1W 2D 0L from 3 meetings on their own ground against Clermont Foot — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 6 Meetings
2
Strasbourg
4
Draws
0
Clermont Foot
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Clermont Foot?
From 6 meetings on record, Strasbourg have won 2, Clermont Foot have won 0, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Strasbourg and Clermont Foot last play each other?
They last met on 28 January 2024, when Clermont Foot 1-1 Strasbourg.
Who has won more matches between Strasbourg and Clermont Foot?
Strasbourg have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Strasbourg are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 77% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 14% of those situations.
Clermont Foot are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 64% of their matches.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Strasbourg 59%, Clermont Foot 36% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 46% (Strasbourg) and 46% (Clermont Foot).
On the defensive side: Strasbourg keep a clean sheet in 32% of their matches; Clermont Foot in 41%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Strasbourg home games / Clermont Foot away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Strasbourg play Clermont Foot?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 59% of Strasbourg's recent matches and 36% of Clermont Foot's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Strasbourg vs Clermont Foot usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 46% of Strasbourg's recent games and 46% of Clermont Foot's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Strasbourg and Clermont Foot tend to score early?
Strasbourg have had a goal before half-time in 77% of their recent matches, Clermont Foot in 64% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Strasbourg's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Strasbourg and Clermont Foot finished level at 0-0 at Stade de la Meinau, Regular Season - 7, in the Ligue 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Strasbourg 1.41 xG and Clermont Foot 1.23 xG, a combined 2.64. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Strasbourg fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Clermont Foot landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Strasbourg attack 0.94 / defence 0.87 against Clermont Foot attack 0.94 / defence 1.00, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Strasbourg 40% | Draw 28% | Clermont Foot 32%, with Strasbourg to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 75% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 44% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Strasbourg 39%, Clermont Foot 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Strasbourg's trading profile (44 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and duly kept one.
Clermont Foot's trading profile (44 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Strasbourg arrived the stronger side — 1.52 PPG against 1.02. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Strasbourg (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.77 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Clermont Foot (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.95 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.86 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.