QPR 1-1 Huddersfield – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates QPR at 44%, yet other data sources diverge — this QPR vs Huddersfield fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Championship clash, Regular Season - 29 as QPR welcome Huddersfield to MATRADE Loftus Road. Kick-off is set for Sunday 28 January 2024 at 13:30 UTC.
Form Guide
QPR — All Games: 3W 2D 5L from 10 Championship outings this season, averaging 1.10 points per game. Last five: L D L L W. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 0.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes.
QPR's home record at MATRADE Loftus Road: 3W 2D 5L from 10 Championship appearances (1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Across all Championship games this season, Huddersfield have recorded 1W 5D 4L from 10 outings — 0.80 PPG. Last five: W L L D D. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play.
On the road, Huddersfield have gone 1W 4D 5L from 10 away fixtures this term (0.70 PPG). Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.10 PPG (QPR) versus 0.80 (Huddersfield). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
Head to Head
The rivalry is an even one: 1 wins apiece for QPR, 2 for Huddersfield and 2 shared spoils from 5 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
The 5 previous meetings have averaged 2.6 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 21 Oct 2023, ended 1–2 with Huddersfield winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading Patterns
QPR in-play and half-time data (74 games, 37 at home): they score before half-time in 78% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 49% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 51% of games (home games); they fail to score in 40% of games.
Huddersfield in-play and half-time data (74 games, 37 at away): they score before half-time in 70% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 77% of the time; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 49% of games (away games); they fail to score in 34% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — QPR 46% versus Huddersfield 54%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (QPR 47% | Huddersfield 45%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects QPR 1.37 xG and Huddersfield 1.06 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: QPR attack 0.837 / defence 1.060 | Huddersfield attack 0.841 / defence 1.163. League average goals — home 1.411 / away 1.186. Data: 74 QPR games / 74 Huddersfield games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: QPR 44% | Draw 28% | Huddersfield 29%. Fair-value odds: QPR 2.27 | Draw 3.57 | Huddersfield 3.45. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 44% | BTTS probability 49% | Total xG 2.43. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 56% — total xG of 2.43 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 49% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is QPR at 44% — marginal model lean. With a 28% draw probability, Draw No Bet on QPR offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.43 combined xG gives a 44% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 49% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: QPR 40% | Huddersfield 70%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: QPR vs Huddersfield | Competition: Championship, Regular Season - 29 | Venue: MATRADE Loftus Road • Kick-off: Sunday 28 Jan 2024, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: QPR 44% | Draw 28% | Huddersfield 29% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 44% | BTTS 49% | xG QPR 1.37 / Huddersfield 1.06 • Poisson strength factors: QPR attack 0.837 / def 1.060 | Huddersfield attack 0.841 / def 1.163 | league avg home 1.411 / away 1.186 • Poisson stance: QPR (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.37
QPR xG
Expected Goals
1.06
Huddersfield xG
49%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
44%
Over 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does QPR vs Huddersfield kick off?
QPR vs Huddersfield kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 28 January 2024 at MATRADE Loftus Road.
What was the final score in QPR vs Huddersfield?
QPR 1 - 1 Huddersfield.
Where is QPR vs Huddersfield being played?
The match is being played at MATRADE Loftus Road.
What competition is QPR vs Huddersfield part of?
QPR vs Huddersfield is a Regular Season - 29 fixture in the Championship (England).
Who is favourite to win QPR vs Huddersfield?
Our statistical model gives QPR a 44% chance of winning, Huddersfield a 29% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making QPR the favourite.
Will both teams score in QPR vs Huddersfield?
Our model estimates a 49% probability that both QPR and Huddersfield will score (BTTS).
Will QPR vs Huddersfield have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 44%.
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Huddersfield?
Record (5 meetings): QPR 1W | Draws 2 | Huddersfield 2W.
What form are QPR and Huddersfield in?
QPR (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 0.90 | L5 L-D-L-L-W. Huddersfield (all comps): 1W-5D-4L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.60 | L5 W-L-L-D-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
QPR's attacking strength (0.84x league average) is weighed against Huddersfield's defensive record (1.16x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.37. The same calculation in reverse, Huddersfield's attack versus QPR's defence, projects 1.06 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 74/74 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.4%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.4%), 1-0 (10.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 35% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
QPR Win
44%
2.29
28%
3.60
29%
3.51
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.1%
Home win
0 – 1
9.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.37
QPR xG
Total xG
2.43
1.06
Huddersfield xG
2.29
44%
Home win
3.60
28%
Draw
3.51
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.04
51%
BTTS No
1.97
Clean Sheet
35%
2.88
25%
3.95
Win to Nil
15%
6.59
7%
13.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.1 | 12.8 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for QPR vs Huddersfield?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.4%.
How many goals are QPR and Huddersfield expected to score?
The model projects 1.37 expected goals for QPR and 1.06 for Huddersfield, a combined total of 2.43.
How confident is the prediction model for QPR vs Huddersfield?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
QPR's recent record stands at 19W 17D 38L from 74 games, a 1.00 PPG return, with L-D-L-L-W in the last five.
Huddersfield, meanwhile, have gone 19W 23D 32L across 74 games — 1.08 PPG, with W-L-L-D-D in their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: QPR on 1.00 PPG, Huddersfield on 1.08. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, QPR have managed 9W 8D 20L from 37 games — 0.95 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Huddersfield's away record stands at 7W 11D 19L across 37 trips, a 0.86 PPG haul.
The Goals Picture
QPR are averaging 0.92 goals scored and 1.49 conceded per game recently; Huddersfield are on 1.01 scored and 1.46 conceded.
Last 74 Results — Championship
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
QPR
Current Season
Huddersfield
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are QPR and Huddersfield in coming into this match?
QPR have gone 19W 17D 38L in their last 74 games (1.00 PPG), while Huddersfield have gone 19W 23D 32L in their last 74 (1.08 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — QPR at home or Huddersfield away?
QPR's home record (0.95 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — QPR at home: 0.95 PPG; Huddersfield away: 0.86 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between QPR and Huddersfield runs to 6 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to November 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Championship. It has been a while since the last meeting — 28 January 2024, some 2 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Digging Into the Numbers
QPR's record when hosting Huddersfield specifically: 1W 1D 1L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
1
QPR
3
Draws
2
Huddersfield
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Huddersfield?
From 6 meetings on record, QPR have won 1, Huddersfield have won 2, and 3 have been drawn.
When did QPR and Huddersfield last play each other?
They last met on 28 January 2024, when QPR 1-1 Huddersfield.
Who has won more matches between QPR and Huddersfield?
Huddersfield have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
QPR are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time.
Huddersfield are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 11% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — QPR 49%, Huddersfield 62% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 51% (QPR) and 49% (Huddersfield).
On the defensive side: QPR have failed to score in 40% of games; Huddersfield in 35%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = QPR home games / Huddersfield away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when QPR play Huddersfield?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 49% of QPR's games and 62% of Huddersfield's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is QPR vs Huddersfield usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 51% of QPR's recent games and 49% of Huddersfield's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do QPR and Huddersfield tend to score early?
QPR have had a goal before half-time in 78% of their recent matches, Huddersfield in 70% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
QPR and Huddersfield share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
QPR and Huddersfield finished level at 1-1 at MATRADE Loftus Road, Regular Season - 29, in the Championship. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting QPR 1.37 xG and Huddersfield 1.06 xG, a combined 2.43. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of QPR attack 0.84 / defence 1.06 against Huddersfield attack 0.84 / defence 1.16, drawn from 74/74 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it QPR 44% | Draw 28% | Huddersfield 29%, with QPR to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (QPR 47%, Huddersfield 45%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
QPR's trading profile (74 games, 37 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did.
Huddersfield's trading profile (74 games, 37 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — QPR 1.00 PPG, Huddersfield 1.08 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.