SCR Altach 0-1 Wolfsberger AC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates SCR Altach at 42%, yet other data sources diverge — this SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Relegation Round - 8 sees Wolfsberger AC travel to CASHPOINT Arena to take on SCR Altach. The game is scheduled for Saturday 4 May 2024, 16:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Bundesliga games this season, SCR Altach have gone 1W 7D 2L from 10 outings — a 1.00 PPG return. Last five: D W D L D. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
At home at CASHPOINT Arena, SCR Altach have gone 1W 6D 3L this season (10 games, 0.90 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Wolfsberger AC — All Games: 2W 5D 3L from 10 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.10 PPG. Last five: D L D W L. Their scoring rate of 0.60 per game is modest, conceding 1.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation.
Wolfsberger AC away from home this season: 3W 3D 4L from 10 away games — 1.20 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.00 PPG (SCR Altach) versus 1.10 (Wolfsberger AC). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
H2H
The H2H landscape is flat: 3 previous encounters have yielded 0 wins for SCR Altach, 0 for Wolfsberger AC and 3 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
These sides have historically produced few goals — 0.7 per contest from 3 previous meetings. The Under 2.5 market has a well-supported historical case here. The most recent clash, on 30 Mar 2024, ended 0–0 with a draw.
With a balanced win record and just 0.7 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading Patterns
SCR Altach in-play and half-time data (61 games, 30 at home): they score before half-time in 63% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 64% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 37% of games (home games); they fail to score in 39% of games.
Wolfsberger AC in-play and half-time data (61 games, 30 at away): they score before half-time in 73% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 60% of the time; BTTS occurs in 53% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SCR Altach 49% versus Wolfsberger AC 59%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 46% | Wolfsberger AC 61%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 1.24 xG and Wolfsberger AC 0.94 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 0.823 / defence 0.988 | Wolfsberger AC attack 0.936 / defence 1.123. League average goals — home 1.340 / away 1.013. Data: 44 SCR Altach games / 44 Wolfsberger AC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 42% | Draw 32% | Wolfsberger AC 27%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 2.38 | Draw 3.12 | Wolfsberger AC 3.70. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 32% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 37% | BTTS probability 45% | Total xG 2.18. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 63% — total xG of 2.18 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 45% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates SCR Altach as the most likely outcome at 42% — marginal model lean. With a 32% draw probability, Draw No Bet on SCR Altach offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.18 combined xG gives a 37% probability to Under 2.5 — strong, supported by form averaging 1.9 goals per game and H2H averaging 0.7 goals per meeting.
Poisson assigns a 45% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: SCR Altach 40% | Wolfsberger AC 30% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC | Competition: Bundesliga, Relegation Round - 8 | Venue: CASHPOINT Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 4 May 2024, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 42% | Draw 32% | Wolfsberger AC 27% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 37% | BTTS 45% | xG SCR Altach 1.24 / Wolfsberger AC 0.94 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 0.823 / def 0.988 | Wolfsberger AC attack 0.936 / def 1.123 | league avg home 1.340 / away 1.013 • Poisson stance: SCR Altach (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.24
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
0.94
Wolfsberger AC xG
45%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
18%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC kick off?
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 4 May 2024 at CASHPOINT Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
SCR Altach 0 - 1 Wolfsberger AC.
Where is SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC being played?
The match is being played at CASHPOINT Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC part of?
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC is a Relegation Round - 8 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 42% chance of winning, Wolfsberger AC a 27% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw — making SCR Altach the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our model estimates a 45% probability that both SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 37%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC?
Record (3 meetings): SCR Altach 0W | Draws 3 | Wolfsberger AC 0W.
What form are SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 1W-7D-2L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.00 | L5 D-W-D-L-D. Wolfsberger AC (all comps): 2W-5D-3L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 0.60 / GA 1.10 | L5 D-L-D-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates SCR Altach's attack at 0.82x the league average against Wolfsberger AC's defence at 1.12x — combine the two and it projects 1.24 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Wolfsberger AC's attack versus SCR Altach's defence, projects 0.94 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 44/44 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.9% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (13.1%), 1-0 (12.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 40% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
SCR Altach Win
42%
2.39
32%
3.16
27%
3.76
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
0 – 0
11.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.24
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.18
0.94
Wolfsberger AC xG
2.39
42%
Home win
3.16
32%
Draw
3.76
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.24
55%
BTTS No
1.80
Clean Sheet
39%
2.55
29%
3.45
Win to Nil
16%
6.11
8%
12.99
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.3 | 10.6 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.1 | 13.2 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.9%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC expected to score?
The model projects 1.24 expected goals for SCR Altach and 0.94 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined total of 2.18.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
SCR Altach come into this having played 61 games, going 11W 22D 28L for 0.90 points per game. Their last five reads D-W-D-L-D.
On the other side, Wolfsberger AC sit at 1.28 PPG from 61 outings (21W 15D 25L), a run that reads D-L-D-W-L across their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: SCR Altach on 0.90 PPG, Wolfsberger AC on 1.28. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
SCR Altach's home form reads 6W 11D 13L across 30 games on their own ground, a 0.97 PPG return.
Away from home, Wolfsberger AC have taken 1.57 points per game from 30 outings (13W 8D 9L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Wolfsberger AC come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
SCR Altach are averaging 0.87 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game recently; Wolfsberger AC are on 1.38 scored and 1.48 conceded.
Last 61 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Current Season
Wolfsberger AC
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 11W 22D 28L in their last 61 games (0.90 PPG), while Wolfsberger AC have gone 21W 15D 25L in their last 61 (1.28 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or Wolfsberger AC away?
Wolfsberger AC's away record (1.57 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 0.97 PPG; Wolfsberger AC away: 1.57 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 4 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 4 May 2026, when Wolfsberger AC won 1-4 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
SCR Altach's record when hosting Wolfsberger AC specifically: 2W 1D 2L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
SCR Altach
4
Draws
3
Wolfsberger AC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 3, Wolfsberger AC have won 3, and 4 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC last play each other?
They last met on 4 May 2026, when SCR Altach 1-4 Wolfsberger AC.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 63% of their matches.
Wolfsberger AC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 50%, Wolfsberger AC 53% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 37% (SCR Altach) and 60% (Wolfsberger AC).
On the defensive side: SCR Altach have failed to score in 37% of games; Wolfsberger AC in 30%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / Wolfsberger AC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play Wolfsberger AC?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 50% of SCR Altach's recent matches and 53% of Wolfsberger AC's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 37% of SCR Altach's recent games and 60% of Wolfsberger AC's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 63% of their recent matches, Wolfsberger AC in 73% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Shock result as Wolfsberger AC defy the odds to beat SCR Altach 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Wolfsberger AC beat SCR Altach 0-1 at CASHPOINT Arena, Relegation Round - 8, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.24 xG and Wolfsberger AC 0.94 xG, a combined 2.18. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. SCR Altach fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 0.82 / defence 0.99 against Wolfsberger AC attack 0.94 / defence 1.12, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 42% | Draw 32% | Wolfsberger AC 27%, with SCR Altach to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual Wolfsberger AC win had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 37%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 65% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 46%, Wolfsberger AC 61%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (61 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 39% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Wolfsberger AC's trading profile (61 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — SCR Altach 0.90 PPG, Wolfsberger AC 1.28 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Wolfsberger AC win broke the near-deadlock. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.90 scoring average — below par going forward. Wolfsberger AC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.40 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.