Konyaspor 0-0 Yeni Malatyaspor – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Konyaspor at 58% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Konyaspor and Yeni Malatyaspor meet at Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu in Süper Lig, Regular Season - 15. This fixture gets under way on Monday 6 December 2021 at 17:00 UTC.
Current Form
Konyaspor's overall Süper Lig record this term: 4W 4D 2L from 10 games (1.60 PPG). Last five: W W W W L. Offensively they are averaging 1.60 goals per game, with 1.00 conceded. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. This season is still relatively young for Konyaspor, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konyaspor have gone 5W 2D 0L this season (7 games, 2.43 PPG). They are averaging 2.14 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. Both teams have scored in 71% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 2.43 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.60 — Konyaspor are significantly better at Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu than their overall form suggests.
Yeni Malatyaspor (all games): 2W 1D 7L across 10 Süper Lig outings this term — 0.70 points per game. Last five: W L L L D. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their games, reflecting a regular tendency to keep or record clean sheets. This season is still relatively young for Yeni Malatyaspor, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Yeni Malatyaspor away from home this season: 2W 0D 4L from 6 away games — 1.00 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 0.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game.
Form favours the hosts. Konyaspor's 1.60 PPG return is 0.90 points per game ahead of Yeni Malatyaspor's 0.70 — a genuine gap in recent results that provides a statistically grounded case for backing the home side.
Trading & In-Play
Konyaspor — key trading statistics (14 games, 6 at home): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 67% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 67% of games (home games).
Yeni Malatyaspor — key trading statistics (14 games, 6 at away): they score before half-time in 33% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; BTTS occurs in 0% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 17% of games (away games); they fail to score in 50% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Konyaspor 57% versus Yeni Malatyaspor 29%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Konyaspor 50% | Yeni Malatyaspor 36%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Konyaspor 1.58 xG and Yeni Malatyaspor 0.67 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Konyaspor attack 1.188 / defence 1.000 | Yeni Malatyaspor attack 0.621 / defence 1.135. League average goals — home 1.174 / away 1.084. Data: 14 Konyaspor games / 14 Yeni Malatyaspor games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Konyaspor 58% | Draw 27% | Yeni Malatyaspor 15%. Fair-value odds: Konyaspor 1.72 | Draw 3.70 | Yeni Malatyaspor 6.67. The model has a clear lean to Konyaspor (58%) — a 43pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 39% | BTTS probability 40% | Total xG 2.25. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 61% — total xG of 2.25 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 40% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Konyaspor are the pick at 58% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 27% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.25 combined xG gives a 39% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 40%. Form rates corroborate: Konyaspor 71% | Yeni Malatyaspor 0% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor | Competition: Süper Lig, Regular Season - 15 | Venue: Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu • Kick-off: Monday 6 Dec 2021, 17:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Konyaspor 58% | Draw 27% | Yeni Malatyaspor 15% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 39% | BTTS 40% | xG Konyaspor 1.58 / Yeni Malatyaspor 0.67 • Poisson strength factors: Konyaspor attack 1.188 / def 1.000 | Yeni Malatyaspor attack 0.621 / def 1.135 | league avg home 1.174 / away 1.084 • Poisson stance: Konyaspor (58%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.58
Konyaspor xG
Expected Goals
0.67
Yeni Malatyaspor xG
40%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
19%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor kick off?
Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor kicked off at 17:00 on Monday 6 December 2021 at Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu.
What was the final score in Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
Konyaspor 0 - 0 Yeni Malatyaspor.
Where is Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor being played?
The match is being played at Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu.
What competition is Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor part of?
Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor is a Regular Season - 15 fixture in the Süper Lig (Turkey).
Who is favourite to win Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
Our statistical model gives Konyaspor a 58% chance of winning, Yeni Malatyaspor a 15% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Konyaspor the favourite.
Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
Our model estimates a 40% probability that both Konyaspor and Yeni Malatyaspor will score (BTTS).
Will Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 39%.
What is the head-to-head record between Konyaspor and Yeni Malatyaspor?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Konyaspor and Yeni Malatyaspor in?
Konyaspor (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.00 | L5 W-W-W-W-L. Yeni Malatyaspor (all comps): 2W-1D-7L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-L-L-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Konyaspor's attack at 1.19x the league average against Yeni Malatyaspor's defence at 1.14x — combine the two and it projects 1.58 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Yeni Malatyaspor's attack (0.62x) against Konyaspor's defence (1.00x) — and the away total comes out at 0.67.
These ratings are built from 14/14 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-0 carries the highest individual probability at 15.1% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-0 (13.1%), 1-1 (12.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 41% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Konyaspor Win
58%
1.71
27%
3.73
15%
6.76
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.6%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
13.1%
Home win
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.58
Konyaspor xG
Total xG
2.25
0.67
Yeni Malatyaspor xG
1.71
58%
Home win
3.73
27%
Draw
6.76
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.51
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
51%
1.96
21%
4.86
Win to Nil
30%
3.36
3%
32.87
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.5 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.6 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 13.1 | 8.8 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
Our Poisson model rates 1-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.1%.
How many goals are Konyaspor and Yeni Malatyaspor expected to score?
The model projects 1.58 expected goals for Konyaspor and 0.67 for Yeni Malatyaspor, a combined total of 2.25.
How confident is the prediction model for Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 58%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Konyaspor come into this having played 14 games, going 7W 5D 2L for 1.86 points per game. Their last five reads W-W-W-W-L. The sample for Konyaspor is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Yeni Malatyaspor sit at 0.93 PPG from 14 outings (4W 1D 9L), a run that reads W-L-L-L-D across their last five. The sample for Yeni Malatyaspor is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Konyaspor carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.93 PPG clear of Yeni Malatyaspor — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home & Away Splits
Konyaspor's home form reads 4W 2D 0L across 6 games on their own ground, a 2.33 PPG return. That's noticeably better than their 1.86 PPG overall — Konyaspor are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
Away from home, Yeni Malatyaspor have taken 1.00 points per game from 6 outings (2W 0D 4L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Konyaspor come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Konyaspor are averaging 1.64 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game recently; Yeni Malatyaspor are on 0.86 scored and 1.64 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Yeni Malatyaspor in 29%.
Defensively: Konyaspor have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 14 Results — Süper Lig
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Konyaspor
Blended
Yeni Malatyaspor
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Konyaspor and Yeni Malatyaspor in coming into this match?
Konyaspor have gone 7W 5D 2L in their last 14 games (1.86 PPG), while Yeni Malatyaspor have gone 4W 1D 9L in their last 14 (0.93 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Konyaspor at home or Yeni Malatyaspor away?
Konyaspor's home record (2.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Konyaspor at home: 2.33 PPG; Yeni Malatyaspor away: 1.00 PPG.
Have Konyaspor or Yeni Malatyaspor been keeping clean sheets recently?
Konyaspor have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their recent games, Yeni Malatyaspor in 29%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 2 times since December 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Süper Lig. It has been a while since the last meeting — 24 April 2022, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Last 2 Meetings
1
Konyaspor
1
Draws
0
Yeni Malatyaspor
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Konyaspor and Yeni Malatyaspor?
From 2 meetings on record, Konyaspor have won 1, Yeni Malatyaspor have won 0, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Konyaspor and Yeni Malatyaspor last play each other?
They last met on 24 April 2022, when Yeni Malatyaspor 2-3 Konyaspor.
Who has won more matches between Konyaspor and Yeni Malatyaspor?
Konyaspor have the better head-to-head record, with 1 wins from 2 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Konyaspor are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 67% of the time.
Yeni Malatyaspor see a goal before the break in 33% of their matches.
Goals & Clean Sheets
Neither side has been leaking BTTS chances often — 67% (Konyaspor) and 0% (Yeni Malatyaspor) both sit on the low side, favouring BTTS No.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 67% (Konyaspor) and 17% (Yeni Malatyaspor).
On the defensive side: Konyaspor keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Yeni Malatyaspor in 33%; Yeni Malatyaspor in 67%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Konyaspor home games / Yeni Malatyaspor away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Konyaspor play Yeni Malatyaspor?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 67% of Konyaspor's recent matches and 0% of Yeni Malatyaspor's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Konyaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 67% of Konyaspor's recent games and 17% of Yeni Malatyaspor's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Konyaspor and Yeni Malatyaspor tend to score early?
Konyaspor have had a goal before half-time in 83% of their recent matches, Yeni Malatyaspor in 33% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Konyaspor's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Konyaspor and Yeni Malatyaspor finished level at 0-0 at Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Regular Season - 15, in the Süper Lig. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Konyaspor 1.58 xG and Yeni Malatyaspor 0.67 xG, a combined 2.25. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Konyaspor fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Konyaspor attack 1.19 / defence 1.00 against Yeni Malatyaspor attack 0.62 / defence 1.14, drawn from 14/14 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Konyaspor 58% | Draw 27% | Yeni Malatyaspor 15%, with Konyaspor to win its most likely call at 58%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 67% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 40% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 43% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Konyaspor 50%, Yeni Malatyaspor 36%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 43%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Konyaspor's trading profile (14 games, 6 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.
Yeni Malatyaspor's trading profile (14 games, 6 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 29% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 50% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Konyaspor arrived the stronger side — 1.86 PPG against 0.93. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Konyaspor (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.17 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.83 average — tighter than their form line. Yeni Malatyaspor (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.17 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.