Konyaspor 0-0 Antalyaspor – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Antalyaspor at 36%, yet other data sources diverge — this Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Konyaspor and Antalyaspor meet at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium in Süper Lig, Regular Season - 13. This fixture gets under way on Monday 24 November 2025 at 17:00 UTC.
Current Form
Konyaspor's overall Süper Lig record this term: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games (0.80 PPG). Last five: L L W L L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for Konyaspor, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Konyaspor have gone 5W 0D 5L this season (10 games, 1.50 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.50 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.80 — Konyaspor are significantly better at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium than their overall form suggests.
Antalyaspor have collected 0.70 PPG across 10 Süper Lig outings this season: 2W 1D 7L. Last five: L L L W L. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 2.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.20 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Antalyaspor, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Antalyaspor away from home this season: 3W 1D 6L from 10 away games — 1.00 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game.
A near-identical PPG reading — 0.80 for Konyaspor, 0.70 for Antalyaspor — means the form record is uninstructive on result selection. The goals and market sections will carry greater evidential weight.
H2H Analysis
Neither side has dominated this fixture. The last 8 head-to-head meetings have produced 1 wins for Konyaspor, 2 for Antalyaspor and 5 draws — an even split that leaves the H2H largely neutral as a betting input.
The 8 previous meetings have averaged 2.1 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 2 May 2025, ended 0–1 with Antalyaspor winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading & In-Play
Konyaspor — key trading statistics (48 games, 24 at home): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 82% of the time; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 58% of games (home games).
Antalyaspor — key trading statistics (48 games, 24 at away): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 69% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games); they fail to score in 38% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Konyaspor 65% versus Antalyaspor 54%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Konyaspor 54% | Antalyaspor 56%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Konyaspor 1.38 xG and Antalyaspor 1.44 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Konyaspor attack 1.062 / defence 1.230 | Antalyaspor attack 0.878 / defence 1.011. League average goals — home 1.281 / away 1.332. Data: 48 Konyaspor games / 48 Antalyaspor games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Konyaspor 34% | Draw 30% | Antalyaspor 36%. Fair-value odds: Konyaspor 2.94 | Draw 3.33 | Antalyaspor 2.78. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 53% | BTTS probability 59% | Total xG 2.81. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 53%/47% — the total xG of 2.81 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 59% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Antalyaspor as the most likely outcome at 36% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 30% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Antalyaspor if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.81 combined xG gives a 53% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 59%. Form rates corroborate: Konyaspor 70% | Antalyaspor 40% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor | Competition: Süper Lig, Regular Season - 13 | Venue: Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium • Kick-off: Monday 24 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Konyaspor 34% | Draw 30% | Antalyaspor 36% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 53% | BTTS 59% | xG Konyaspor 1.38 / Antalyaspor 1.44 • Poisson strength factors: Konyaspor attack 1.062 / def 1.230 | Antalyaspor attack 0.878 / def 1.011 | league avg home 1.281 / away 1.332 • Poisson stance: Antalyaspor (36%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.38
Konyaspor xG
Expected Goals
1.44
Antalyaspor xG
59%
BTTS
80%
Over 1.5
53%
Over 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor kick off?
Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor kicked off at 17:00 on Monday 24 November 2025 at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium.
What was the final score in Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor?
Konyaspor 0 - 0 Antalyaspor.
Where is Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor being played?
The match is being played at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium.
What competition is Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor part of?
Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor is a Regular Season - 13 fixture in the Süper Lig (Turkey).
Who is favourite to win Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor?
Our statistical model gives Konyaspor a 34% chance of winning, Antalyaspor a 36% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Antalyaspor the favourite.
Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor?
Our model estimates a 59% probability that both Konyaspor and Antalyaspor will score (BTTS).
Will Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 53%.
What is the head-to-head record between Konyaspor and Antalyaspor?
Record (8 meetings): Konyaspor 1W | Draws 5 | Antalyaspor 2W.
What form are Konyaspor and Antalyaspor in?
Konyaspor (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.90 | L5 L-L-W-L-L. Antalyaspor (all comps): 2W-1D-7L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 2.20 | L5 L-L-L-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Konyaspor's attack at 1.06x the league average against Antalyaspor's defence at 1.01x — combine the two and it projects 1.38 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Antalyaspor's attack (0.88x) against Konyaspor's defence (1.23x) — and the away total comes out at 1.44.
These ratings are built from 48/48 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 13.4% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-2 (8.5%), 2-1 (8.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 30% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Antalyaspor Win
34%
2.98
30%
3.33
36%
2.75
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
8.6%
Away win
1 – 2
8.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.38
Konyaspor xG
Total xG
2.81
1.44
Antalyaspor xG
2.98
34%
Home win
3.33
30%
Draw
2.75
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.68
41%
BTTS No
2.46
Clean Sheet
24%
4.22
25%
3.96
Win to Nil
8%
12.58
9%
10.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 8.6 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.2 | 11.9 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 8.2 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.4%.
How many goals are Konyaspor and Antalyaspor expected to score?
The model projects 1.38 expected goals for Konyaspor and 1.44 for Antalyaspor, a combined total of 2.81.
How confident is the prediction model for Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 36%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Konyaspor come into this having played 48 games, going 17W 9D 22L for 1.25 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-W-L-L. The sample for Konyaspor is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Antalyaspor sit at 1.19 PPG from 48 outings (16W 9D 23L), a run that reads L-L-L-W-L across their last five. The sample for Antalyaspor is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.25 PPG for Konyaspor against 1.19 for Antalyaspor. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
Konyaspor's home form reads 11W 5D 8L across 24 games on their own ground, a 1.58 PPG return.
Away from home, Antalyaspor have taken 0.79 points per game from 24 outings (5W 4D 15L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Konyaspor come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
Konyaspor are averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game recently; Antalyaspor are on 1.04 scored and 1.77 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Konyaspor have seen both teams score in 65% of their recent games.
Last 48 Results — Süper Lig
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Konyaspor
Blended
Antalyaspor
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Konyaspor and Antalyaspor in coming into this match?
Konyaspor have gone 17W 9D 22L in their last 48 games (1.25 PPG), while Antalyaspor have gone 16W 9D 23L in their last 48 (1.19 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Konyaspor at home or Antalyaspor away?
Konyaspor's home record (1.58 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Konyaspor at home: 1.58 PPG; Antalyaspor away: 0.79 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to December 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Süper Lig. They last met on 17 April 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Notable Numbers
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Konyaspor have gone 1W 4D 0L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Antalyaspor — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
2
Konyaspor
6
Draws
2
Antalyaspor
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Konyaspor and Antalyaspor?
From 10 meetings on record, Konyaspor have won 2, Antalyaspor have won 2, and 6 have been drawn.
When did Konyaspor and Antalyaspor last play each other?
They last met on 17 April 2026, when Antalyaspor 0-2 Konyaspor.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Konyaspor are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
Antalyaspor are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Konyaspor 62%, Antalyaspor 46% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 58% (Konyaspor) and 50% (Antalyaspor).
On the defensive side: Antalyaspor in 46%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Konyaspor home games / Antalyaspor away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Konyaspor play Antalyaspor?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 62% of Konyaspor's recent matches and 46% of Antalyaspor's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Konyaspor vs Antalyaspor usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 58% of Konyaspor's recent games and 50% of Antalyaspor's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Konyaspor and Antalyaspor tend to score early?
Konyaspor have had a goal before half-time in 75% of their recent matches, Antalyaspor in 75% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Konyaspor's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Regular Season - 13, as Konyaspor and Antalyaspor drew 0-0 in the Süper Lig. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Konyaspor 1.38 xG and Antalyaspor 1.44 xG, a combined 2.81. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Konyaspor fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Antalyaspor landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Konyaspor attack 1.06 / defence 1.23 against Antalyaspor attack 0.88 / defence 1.01, drawn from 48/48 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Konyaspor 34% | Draw 30% | Antalyaspor 36%, with Antalyaspor to win its most likely call at 36%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 80% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Konyaspor 54%, Antalyaspor 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Konyaspor's trading profile (48 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did not.
Antalyaspor's trading profile (48 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 38% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Konyaspor 1.25 PPG, Antalyaspor 1.19 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Konyaspor (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.46 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.25 average — tighter than their form line. Antalyaspor (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.83 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.96 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.