IF Brommapojkarna 0-0 IFK Goteborg – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates IF Brommapojkarna at 50%, yet other data sources diverge — this IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Allsvenskan encounter, Regular Season - 7 sees IFK Goteborg travel to Grimsta IP to take on IF Brommapojkarna. The game is scheduled for Monday 8 May 2023, 18:00 UTC.
Form Guide
Looking at all fixtures this season, IFK Goteborg stand at 4W 0D 6L from 10 Allsvenskan matches — 1.20 PPG. Last five: W L W L W. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 2.20. Conceding 2.20 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
IFK Goteborg away from home this season: 5W 0D 5L from 10 away games — 1.50 PPG on the road. They are averaging 1.90 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects IF Brommapojkarna 1.47 xG and IFK Goteborg 0.91 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.957 / defence 1.021 | IFK Goteborg attack 0.855 / defence 0.969. League average goals — home 1.586 / away 1.045. Data: 6 IF Brommapojkarna games / 36 IFK Goteborg games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: IF Brommapojkarna 50% | Draw 26% | IFK Goteborg 23%. Fair-value odds: IF Brommapojkarna 2.00 | Draw 3.85 | IFK Goteborg 4.35. IF Brommapojkarna hold a narrow Poisson edge at 50% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 43% | BTTS probability 46% | Total xG 2.38. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 57% — total xG of 2.38 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 46% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is IF Brommapojkarna at 50% — moderate model lean. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on IF Brommapojkarna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.38 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 43% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg | Competition: Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 7 | Venue: Grimsta IP • Kick-off: Monday 8 May 2023, 18:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: IF Brommapojkarna 50% | Draw 26% | IFK Goteborg 23% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 43% | BTTS 46% | xG IF Brommapojkarna 1.47 / IFK Goteborg 0.91 • Poisson strength factors: IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.957 / def 1.021 | IFK Goteborg attack 0.855 / def 0.969 | league avg home 1.586 / away 1.045 • Poisson stance: IF Brommapojkarna (50%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.47
IF Brommapojkarna xG
Expected Goals
0.91
IFK Goteborg xG
46%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg kick off?
IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg kicked off at 18:00 on Monday 8 May 2023 at Grimsta IP.
What was the final score in IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg?
IF Brommapojkarna 0 - 0 IFK Goteborg.
Where is IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg being played?
The match is being played at Grimsta IP.
What competition is IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg part of?
IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg is a Regular Season - 7 fixture in the Allsvenskan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg?
Our statistical model gives IF Brommapojkarna a 50% chance of winning, IFK Goteborg a 23% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making IF Brommapojkarna the favourite.
Will both teams score in IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg?
Our model estimates a 46% probability that both IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg will score (BTTS).
Will IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 43%.
What is the head-to-head record between IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg in?
IFK Goteborg (all comps): 4W-0D-6L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 2.20 | L5 W-L-W-L-W. IFK Goteborg away split: 1.50 PPG from 10 | GF 1.90 / GA 1.60 | CS 2.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from IF Brommapojkarna's attack rating (0.96) and IFK Goteborg's defence rating (0.97), the model arrives at 1.47 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, IFK Goteborg's attack versus IF Brommapojkarna's defence, projects 0.91 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 6/36 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.0%. Close behind: 1-0 (12.0%), 0-0 (10.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
IF Brommapojkarna Win
50%
1.99
26%
3.78
23%
4.27
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
2 – 0
10.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.47
IF Brommapojkarna xG
Total xG
2.38
0.91
IFK Goteborg xG
1.99
50%
Home win
3.78
26%
Draw
4.27
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.17
54%
BTTS No
1.86
Clean Sheet
40%
2.49
23%
4.35
Win to Nil
20%
4.97
5%
18.60
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 13.6 | 12.4 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.0 | 9.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.0%.
How many goals are IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg expected to score?
The model projects 1.47 expected goals for IF Brommapojkarna and 0.91 for IFK Goteborg, a combined total of 2.38.
How confident is the prediction model for IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 50%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
Last 0 Results — Allsvenskan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
IF Brommapojkarna
Pre-Season
IFK Goteborg
Pre-Season
No results found.
No results found.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
7 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to May 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Allsvenskan. The two were last together as recently as 17 July 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 29 Apr 2024, when IFK Goteborg won 0-3 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
IF Brommapojkarna's record when hosting IFK Goteborg specifically: 0W 1D 2L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 7 Meetings
2
IF Brommapojkarna
1
Draws
4
IFK Goteborg
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg?
From 7 meetings on record, IF Brommapojkarna have won 2, IFK Goteborg have won 4, and 1 have been drawn.
When did IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg last play each other?
They last met on 17 July 2026, when IFK Goteborg 2-1 IF Brommapojkarna.
Who has won more matches between IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg?
IFK Goteborg have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 7 meetings.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = IF Brommapojkarna home games / IFK Goteborg away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
Stalemate at IF Brommapojkarna's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg finished level at 0-0 at Grimsta IP, Regular Season - 7, in the Allsvenskan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting IF Brommapojkarna 1.47 xG and IFK Goteborg 0.91 xG, a combined 2.38. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. IF Brommapojkarna fell 1.5 short of their projected output. IFK Goteborg landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.96 / defence 1.02 against IFK Goteborg attack 0.85 / defence 0.97, drawn from 6/36 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it IF Brommapojkarna 50% | Draw 26% | IFK Goteborg 23%, with IF Brommapojkarna to win its most likely call at 50%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 69% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.