FC Anyang 0-0 Suwon Bluewings – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Suwon Bluewings at 40%, yet other data sources diverge — this FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A K League 1 encounter, Relegation Round sees Suwon Bluewings travel to Anyang Stadium to take on FC Anyang. The game is scheduled for Wednesday 26 October 2022, 11:30 UTC.
Form Guide
Across all K League 1 games this season, Suwon Bluewings have recorded 4W 2D 4L from 10 outings — 1.40 PPG. Last five: W D L W W. They are scoring at 1.70 per game and conceding 1.30. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation.
When travelling in K League 1 this season, Suwon Bluewings have posted 5W 0D 5L from 10 away outings — 1.50 PPG. Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects FC Anyang 1.25 xG and Suwon Bluewings 1.39 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: FC Anyang attack 0.850 / defence 1.150 | Suwon Bluewings attack 0.971 / defence 1.055. League average goals — home 1.397 / away 1.242. Data: 0 FC Anyang games / 66 Suwon Bluewings games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: FC Anyang 34% | Draw 26% | Suwon Bluewings 40%. Fair-value odds: FC Anyang 2.94 | Draw 3.85 | Suwon Bluewings 2.50. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 26% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 49% | BTTS probability 54% | Total xG 2.64. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 49%/51% — the total xG of 2.64 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 54% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Suwon Bluewings are the pick at 40% — marginal model lean. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Suwon Bluewings offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.64 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 49% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
The outsider holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings | Competition: K League 1, Relegation Round | Venue: Anyang Stadium • Kick-off: Wednesday 26 Oct 2022, 11:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: FC Anyang 34% | Draw 26% | Suwon Bluewings 40% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 49% | BTTS 54% | xG FC Anyang 1.25 / Suwon Bluewings 1.39 • Poisson strength factors: FC Anyang attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | Suwon Bluewings attack 0.971 / def 1.055 | league avg home 1.397 / away 1.242 • Poisson stance: Suwon Bluewings (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.25
FC Anyang xG
Expected Goals
1.39
Suwon Bluewings xG
54%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
49%
Over 2.5
27%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings kick off?
FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings kicked off at 11:30 on Wednesday 26 October 2022 at Anyang Stadium.
What was the final score in FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings?
FC Anyang 0 - 0 Suwon Bluewings.
Where is FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings being played?
The match is being played at Anyang Stadium.
What competition is FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings part of?
FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings is a Relegation Round fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings?
Our statistical model gives FC Anyang a 34% chance of winning, Suwon Bluewings a 40% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Suwon Bluewings the favourite.
Will both teams score in FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both FC Anyang and Suwon Bluewings will score (BTTS).
Will FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 49%.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Anyang and Suwon Bluewings?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are FC Anyang and Suwon Bluewings in?
Suwon Bluewings (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.70 / GA 1.30 | L5 W-D-L-W-W. Suwon Bluewings away split: 1.50 PPG from 10 | GF 1.50 / GA 1.50 | CS 1.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates FC Anyang's attack at 0.85x the league average against Suwon Bluewings's defence at 1.05x — combine the two and it projects 1.25 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Suwon Bluewings's attack versus FC Anyang's defence, projects 1.39 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 0/66 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.0% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (8.8%), 1-2 (8.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Suwon Bluewings Win
34%
2.95
26%
3.83
40%
2.50
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
9.9%
Away win
1 – 0
9.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.25
FC Anyang xG
Total xG
2.64
1.39
Suwon Bluewings xG
2.95
34%
Home win
3.83
26%
Draw
2.50
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.87
46%
BTTS No
2.15
Clean Sheet
25%
4.00
29%
3.50
Win to Nil
8%
11.81
11%
8.74
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 9.9 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 12.4 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 7.8 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.0%.
How many goals are FC Anyang and Suwon Bluewings expected to score?
The model projects 1.25 expected goals for FC Anyang and 1.39 for Suwon Bluewings, a combined total of 2.64.
How confident is the prediction model for FC Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
Last 0 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
FC Anyang
Pre-Season
Suwon Bluewings
Pre-Season
No results found.
No results found.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between FC Anyang and Suwon Bluewings runs to 2 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to October 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. It has been a while since the last meeting — 29 October 2022, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Last 2 Meetings
0
FC Anyang
1
Draws
1
Suwon Bluewings
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between FC Anyang and Suwon Bluewings?
From 2 meetings on record, FC Anyang have won 0, Suwon Bluewings have won 1, and 1 have been drawn.
When did FC Anyang and Suwon Bluewings last play each other?
They last met on 29 October 2022, when Suwon Bluewings 2-1 FC Anyang.
Who has won more matches between FC Anyang and Suwon Bluewings?
Suwon Bluewings have the better head-to-head record, with 1 wins from 2 meetings.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = FC Anyang home games / Suwon Bluewings away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
Stalemate at FC Anyang's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Anyang Stadium, Relegation Round, as FC Anyang and Suwon Bluewings drew 0-0 in the K League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Anyang 1.25 xG and Suwon Bluewings 1.39 xG, a combined 2.64. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. FC Anyang fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Suwon Bluewings landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Anyang attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Suwon Bluewings attack 0.97 / defence 1.05, drawn from 0/66 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it FC Anyang 34% | Draw 26% | Suwon Bluewings 40%, with Suwon Bluewings to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.