Daegu FC 0-2 Jeonbuk Motors – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Jeonbuk Motors at 44%, yet other data sources diverge — this Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A K League 1 encounter, Championship Round - 4 sees Jeonbuk Motors travel to DGB Arena to take on Daegu FC. The game is scheduled for Sunday 28 November 2021, 05:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Daegu FC stand at 5W 3D 2L from 10 K League 1 matches — 1.80 PPG. Last five: D L L W W. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation.
Daegu FC's home record at DGB Arena: 4W 3D 3L from 10 K League 1 appearances (1.50 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Across all K League 1 games this season, Jeonbuk Motors have recorded 7W 2D 1L from 10 outings — 2.30 PPG. Last five: W D W W L. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.10 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not.
Jeonbuk Motors away from home this season: 5W 3D 2L from 10 away games — 1.80 PPG on the road. They are averaging 2.00 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road.
There is minimal separation in the form figures — Daegu FC at 1.80 PPG versus Jeonbuk Motors's 2.30. The form guide is not providing a strong directional steer; the model and market data will carry more weight in the final assessment.
In-Play Data
Daegu FC trading profile (36 games, 18 at home): they score before half-time in 44% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (home games).
Jeonbuk Motors trading profile (36 games, 18 at away): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 81% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 39%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Daegu FC 56% versus Jeonbuk Motors 56%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Daegu FC 47% | Jeonbuk Motors 50%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Daegu FC 0.95 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 1.27 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Daegu FC attack 0.928 / defence 1.057 | Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.953 / defence 1.100. League average goals — home 0.936 / away 1.264. Data: 33 Daegu FC games / 33 Jeonbuk Motors games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Daegu FC 28% | Draw 28% | Jeonbuk Motors 44%. Fair-value odds: Daegu FC 3.57 | Draw 3.57 | Jeonbuk Motors 2.27. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 38% | BTTS probability 44% | Total xG 2.23. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 62% — total xG of 2.23 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 44% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Jeonbuk Motors as the most likely outcome at 44% — marginal model lean. With a 28% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Jeonbuk Motors offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.23 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 38% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 44%. Form rates are neutral: Daegu FC 60% | Jeonbuk Motors 50%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors | Competition: K League 1, Championship Round - 4 | Venue: DGB Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 28 Nov 2021, 05:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Daegu FC 28% | Draw 28% | Jeonbuk Motors 44% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 38% | BTTS 44% | xG Daegu FC 0.95 / Jeonbuk Motors 1.27 • Poisson strength factors: Daegu FC attack 0.928 / def 1.057 | Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.953 / def 1.100 | league avg home 0.936 / away 1.264 • Poisson stance: Jeonbuk Motors (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.95
Daegu FC xG
Expected Goals
1.27
Jeonbuk Motors xG
44%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
38%
Over 2.5
19%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors kick off?
Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors kicked off at 05:00 on Sunday 28 November 2021 at DGB Arena.
What was the final score in Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Daegu FC 0 - 2 Jeonbuk Motors.
Where is Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors being played?
The match is being played at DGB Arena.
What competition is Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors part of?
Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors is a Championship Round - 4 fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our statistical model gives Daegu FC a 28% chance of winning, Jeonbuk Motors a 44% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Jeonbuk Motors the favourite.
Will both teams score in Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our model estimates a 44% probability that both Daegu FC and Jeonbuk Motors will score (BTTS).
Will Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 38%.
What is the head-to-head record between Daegu FC and Jeonbuk Motors?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Daegu FC and Jeonbuk Motors in?
Daegu FC (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.20 | L5 D-L-L-W-W. Jeonbuk Motors (all comps): 7W-2D-1L in 10 | 2.30 PPG | GF 2.10 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-D-W-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Daegu FC's attack at 0.93x the league average against Jeonbuk Motors's defence at 1.10x — combine the two and it projects 0.95 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Jeonbuk Motors's attack versus Daegu FC's defence, projects 1.27 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 33/33 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.8% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (12.5%), 0-1 (12.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 39% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Jeonbuk Motors Win
28%
3.59
28%
3.52
44%
2.29
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
0 – 0
10.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.95
Daegu FC xG
Total xG
2.23
1.27
Jeonbuk Motors xG
3.59
28%
Home win
3.52
28%
Draw
2.29
44%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.26
56%
BTTS No
1.80
Clean Sheet
28%
3.57
38%
2.60
Win to Nil
8%
12.82
17%
5.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.8 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.3 | 13.1 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.
How many goals are Daegu FC and Jeonbuk Motors expected to score?
The model projects 0.95 expected goals for Daegu FC and 1.27 for Jeonbuk Motors, a combined total of 2.23.
How confident is the prediction model for Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 36 outings, Daegu FC have picked up 1.53 PPG on a 15W 10D 11L record — D-L-L-W-W across the most recent five.
Jeonbuk Motors's form line: 20W 10D 6L from 36 games, 1.94 PPG, last five W-D-W-W-L.
Put side by side, Jeonbuk Motors are the form team by 0.41 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Daegu FC.
Venue Form
On home soil, Daegu FC have posted 1.67 PPG from 18 outings (8W 6D 4L).
On the road, Jeonbuk Motors have gone 8W 7D 3L from 18 away games — 1.72 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
Daegu FC are averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game recently; Jeonbuk Motors are on 1.86 scored and 1.03 conceded.
Defensively: Jeonbuk Motors in 36% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 36 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Daegu FC
Current Season
Jeonbuk Motors
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Daegu FC and Jeonbuk Motors in coming into this match?
Daegu FC have gone 15W 10D 11L in their last 36 games (1.53 PPG), while Jeonbuk Motors have gone 20W 10D 6L in their last 36 (1.94 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Daegu FC at home or Jeonbuk Motors away?
Jeonbuk Motors's away record (1.72 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Daegu FC at home: 1.67 PPG; Jeonbuk Motors away: 1.72 PPG.
Have Daegu FC or Jeonbuk Motors been keeping clean sheets recently?
Daegu FC have kept a clean sheet in 31% of their recent games, Jeonbuk Motors in 36%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to June 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. They last met on 16 August 2025, roughly 12 months ago.
Streaks & Records
Jeonbuk Motors have won the last 4 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 27 May 2025, when Jeonbuk Motors won 0-4 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Daegu FC's record when hosting Jeonbuk Motors specifically: 2W 0D 2L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
Daegu FC
1
Draws
6
Jeonbuk Motors
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Daegu FC and Jeonbuk Motors?
From 10 meetings on record, Daegu FC have won 3, Jeonbuk Motors have won 6, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Daegu FC and Jeonbuk Motors last play each other?
They last met on 16 August 2025, when Jeonbuk Motors 3-0 Daegu FC.
Who has won more matches between Daegu FC and Jeonbuk Motors?
Jeonbuk Motors have the better head-to-head record, with 6 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Daegu FC see a goal before the break in 44% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 11% of those situations.
Jeonbuk Motors see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 28% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 11% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Daegu FC 56%, Jeonbuk Motors 56% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 44% (Daegu FC) and 44% (Jeonbuk Motors).
On the defensive side: Daegu FC keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Jeonbuk Motors in 33%; Jeonbuk Motors in 28%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Daegu FC home games / Jeonbuk Motors away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Daegu FC play Jeonbuk Motors?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 56% of Daegu FC's games and 56% of Jeonbuk Motors's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Daegu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 44% of Daegu FC's recent games and 44% of Jeonbuk Motors's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Jeonbuk Motors cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Daegu FC.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Jeonbuk Motors beat Daegu FC 0-2 at DGB Arena, Championship Round - 4, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Daegu FC 0.95 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 1.27 xG, a combined 2.23. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Daegu FC fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Daegu FC attack 0.93 / defence 1.06 against Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.95 / defence 1.10, drawn from 33/33 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Daegu FC 28% | Draw 28% | Jeonbuk Motors 44%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 44%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 65% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Daegu FC 47%, Jeonbuk Motors 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Daegu FC's trading profile (36 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (36 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Jeonbuk Motors arrived the stronger side — 1.94 PPG against 1.53. That form edge translated into the three points. Daegu FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.17 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.17 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Jeonbuk Motors (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.94 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.