Eintracht Frankfurt 3-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Eintracht Frankfurt at 36% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Deutsche Bank Park plays host to Eintracht Frankfurt versus Borussia Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 22. Kick-off: Saturday 14 February 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
Current Form
Eintracht Frankfurt's overall Bundesliga record this term: 1W 5D 4L from 10 games (0.80 PPG). Last five: L D L L D. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 2.40 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.40 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for Eintracht Frankfurt, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Eintracht Frankfurt's form when playing at home: 4W 2D 4L across 10 games at Deutsche Bank Park this term (1.40 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.40 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.80 — Eintracht Frankfurt are significantly better at Deutsche Bank Park than their overall form suggests.
Borussia Mönchengladbach have collected 1.00 PPG across 10 Bundesliga outings this season: 2W 4D 4L. Last five: L D L D D. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. This season is still relatively young for Borussia Mönchengladbach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's form when playing away from home: 3W 3D 4L across 10 road games this term (1.20 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 0.80 vs 1.00 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
H2H Analysis
Historically, Eintracht Frankfurt have had the better of this match-up — 5 wins from 9 meetings, with Borussia Mönchengladbach managing just 0 victories and 4 draws shared.
These two sides have produced goals at a consistent rate historically, averaging 3.6 per game across 9 meetings. That scoring profile provides genuine support for the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent clash, on 27 Sep 2025, ended 6–4 with Eintracht Frankfurt winning.
From a betting standpoint, the H2H backs both Eintracht Frankfurt and goals. The home side's 5 wins from 9 meetings, combined with an average of 3.6 goals per game, gives the home win and Over 2.5 combination a historically grounded case.
Trading & In-Play
Eintracht Frankfurt — key trading statistics (55 games, 27 at home): they score before half-time in 78% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 89% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 63% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 67% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 54%.
Borussia Mönchengladbach — key trading statistics (55 games, 27 at away): they score before half-time in 70% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 72% of the time; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 38%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Eintracht Frankfurt 69% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 54% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Eintracht Frankfurt 66% | Borussia Mönchengladbach 58%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Frankfurt 1.52 xG and Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.52 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Frankfurt attack 0.979 / defence 1.210 | Borussia Mönchengladbach attack 0.886 / defence 0.936. League average goals — home 1.657 / away 1.415. Data: 55 Eintracht Frankfurt games / 55 Borussia Mönchengladbach games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 36% | Draw 27% | Borussia Mönchengladbach 36%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.78 | Draw 3.70 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.78. The draw (27%) is the Poisson-preferred outcome — neither side is more likely to win than to draw, making draw-inclusive markets the most model-aligned approach.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 58% | BTTS probability 62% | Total xG 3.03. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 58% — the 3.03 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 62% reflects that both xG figures (1.52 / 1.52) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Picks & Verdict
The Poisson model's preferred outcome is the draw at 27% — neither side is more likely to win than to draw. Draw-inclusive markets are the most model-aligned approach. Home win at 36% and away win at 36% are close enough that backing either outright carries significant draw exposure.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.03 combined xG gives a 58% probability to Over 2.5 — strong, supported by form averaging 3.0 goals per game and H2H averaging 3.6 goals per meeting.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 62%. Form rates are neutral: Eintracht Frankfurt 60% | Borussia Mönchengladbach 40%.
The outsider holds a 36% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 22 | Venue: Deutsche Bank Park • Kick-off: Saturday 14 Feb 2026, 14:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 36% | Draw 27% | Borussia Mönchengladbach 36% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 58% | BTTS 62% | xG Eintracht Frankfurt 1.52 / Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.52 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Frankfurt attack 0.979 / def 1.210 | Borussia Mönchengladbach attack 0.886 / def 0.936 | league avg home 1.657 / away 1.415 • Poisson stance: Draw (27%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.52
Eintracht Frankfurt xG
Expected Goals
1.52
Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
62%
BTTS
82%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach kick off?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach kicked off at 14:30 on Saturday 14 February 2026 at Deutsche Bank Park.
What was the final score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Where is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach being played?
The match is being played at Deutsche Bank Park.
What competition is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach part of?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is a Regular Season - 22 fixture in the Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 36% chance of winning, Borussia Mönchengladbach a 36% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw, making this a very evenly-matched fixture.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our model estimates a 62% probability that both Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach will score (BTTS).
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 58%.
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Record (9 meetings): Eintracht Frankfurt 5W | Draws 4 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W.
What form are Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach in?
Eintracht Frankfurt (all comps): 1W-5D-4L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 2.40 | L5 L-D-L-L-D. Borussia Mönchengladbach (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.50 | L5 L-D-L-D-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Eintracht Frankfurt's attack at 0.98x the league average against Borussia Mönchengladbach's defence at 0.94x — combine the two and it projects 1.52 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Borussia Mönchengladbach's attack (0.89x) against Eintracht Frankfurt's defence (1.21x) — and the away total comes out at 1.52.
These ratings are built from 55/55 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 12.5% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-2 (8.4%), 2-1 (8.4%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Eintracht Frankfurt Win
36%
2.75
27%
3.67
36%
2.75
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.4%
Away win
2 – 1
8.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.52
Eintracht Frankfurt xG
Total xG
3.03
1.52
Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
2.75
36%
Home win
3.67
27%
Draw
2.75
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.60
38%
BTTS No
2.67
Clean Sheet
22%
4.56
22%
4.56
Win to Nil
8%
12.53
8%
12.53
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 11.1 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.5 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.5%.
How many goals are Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach expected to score?
The model projects 1.52 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.52 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, a combined total of 3.03.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 36%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 55 outings, Eintracht Frankfurt have picked up 1.60 PPG on a 24W 16D 15L record — L-D-L-L-D across the most recent five. The sample for Eintracht Frankfurt is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's form line: 18W 13D 24L from 55 games, 1.22 PPG, last five L-D-L-D-D. The sample for Borussia Mönchengladbach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.60 PPG for Eintracht Frankfurt against 1.22 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, Eintracht Frankfurt have posted 1.78 PPG from 27 outings (14W 6D 7L).
On the road, Borussia Mönchengladbach have gone 9W 6D 12L from 27 away games — 1.22 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Eintracht Frankfurt come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
Eintracht Frankfurt are averaging 1.98 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game recently; Borussia Mönchengladbach are on 1.45 scored and 1.65 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Eintracht Frankfurt have seen both teams score in 69% of their recent games.
Last 55 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Frankfurt
Blended
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach in coming into this match?
Eintracht Frankfurt have gone 24W 16D 15L in their last 55 games (1.60 PPG), while Borussia Mönchengladbach have gone 18W 13D 24L in their last 55 (1.22 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Eintracht Frankfurt at home or Borussia Mönchengladbach away?
Eintracht Frankfurt's home record (1.78 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Eintracht Frankfurt at home: 1.78 PPG; Borussia Mönchengladbach away: 1.22 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to December 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 14 February 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Notable Numbers
Eintracht Frankfurt go into this on the back of 2 straight wins in the series — the current momentum sits squarely with them.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Eintracht Frankfurt won 3-0 on 14 Feb 2026, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Eintracht Frankfurt have gone 3W 2D 0L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Borussia Mönchengladbach — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
6
Eintracht Frankfurt
4
Draws
0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
From 10 meetings on record, Eintracht Frankfurt have won 6, Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 0, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach last play each other?
They last met on 14 February 2026, when Eintracht Frankfurt 3-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Eintracht Frankfurt have the better head-to-head record, with 6 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Eintracht Frankfurt are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 44% of the time.
Borussia Mönchengladbach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 26% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Eintracht Frankfurt 63%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 59% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 67% for Eintracht Frankfurt and 56% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 56% and 33% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Eintracht Frankfurt keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Frankfurt home games / Borussia Mönchengladbach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Eintracht Frankfurt play Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 63% of Eintracht Frankfurt's games and 59% of Borussia Mönchengladbach's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of Eintracht Frankfurt's matches and 56% of Borussia Mönchengladbach's.
Do Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach tend to score early?
Eintracht Frankfurt have had a goal before half-time in 78% of their recent matches, Borussia Mönchengladbach in 70% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant Eintracht Frankfurt run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Borussia Mönchengladbach.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Eintracht Frankfurt beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-0 at Deutsche Bank Park, Regular Season - 22, in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Frankfurt 1.52 xG and Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.52 xG, a combined 3.03. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Eintracht Frankfurt beat their projection by 1.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Borussia Mönchengladbach landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Frankfurt attack 0.98 / defence 1.21 against Borussia Mönchengladbach attack 0.89 / defence 0.94, drawn from 55/55 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Frankfurt 36% | Draw 27% | Borussia Mönchengladbach 36%, with Eintracht Frankfurt to win its most likely call at 36%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Frankfurt 66%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 58%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Frankfurt's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 69% of their matches — today it did not.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Eintracht Frankfurt 1.60 PPG, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.22 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Eintracht Frankfurt win broke the near-deadlock. Eintracht Frankfurt (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 2.15 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.48 average — tighter than their form line. Borussia Mönchengladbach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.41 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.63 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.