Annecy 2-0 Clermont Foot – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Annecy at 62%, yet other data sources diverge — this Annecy vs Clermont Foot fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Ligue 2 encounter, Regular Season - 15 sees Clermont Foot travel to Parc des Sports to take on Annecy. The game is scheduled for Friday 6 December 2024, 19:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Ligue 2 games this season, Annecy have gone 4W 4D 2L from 10 outings — a 1.60 PPG return. Last five: W D W L D. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 6 clean sheets from 10 games (60%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. This season is still relatively young for Annecy, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Annecy at Parc des Sports this season: 7W 0D 3L from 10 home games — 2.10 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets from 10 home games (50%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Parc des Sports. Their home PPG of 2.10 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.60 — Annecy are significantly better at Parc des Sports than their overall form suggests.
Clermont Foot — All Games: 3W 3D 4L from 10 Ligue 2 fixtures this season — 1.20 PPG. Last five: L W W L D. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Clermont Foot, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Ligue 2 this season, Clermont Foot have posted 2W 2D 6L from 10 away outings — 0.80 PPG. Away from home they average 0.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
The form figures are too closely matched to derive a directional pick: Annecy 1.60 PPG, Clermont Foot 1.20 PPG. Look to other data sets to build the analysis.
Trading Patterns
Annecy in-play and half-time data (48 games, 22 at home): they score before half-time in 73% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games).
Clermont Foot in-play and half-time data (48 games, 22 at away): they score before half-time in 82% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 54% of games (away games); they fail to score in 48% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Annecy 54% versus Clermont Foot 48%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Annecy 56% | Clermont Foot 46%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Annecy 1.61 xG and Clermont Foot 0.62 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Annecy attack 1.078 / defence 0.812 | Clermont Foot attack 0.721 / defence 1.068. League average goals — home 1.401 / away 1.056. Data: 52 Annecy games / 14 Clermont Foot games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Annecy 62% | Draw 24% | Clermont Foot 14%. Fair-value odds: Annecy 1.61 | Draw 4.17 | Clermont Foot 7.14. The model has a clear lean to Annecy (62%) — a 48pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 39% | BTTS probability 37% | Total xG 2.23. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 61% — total xG of 2.23 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 37% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Annecy as the most likely outcome at 62% — clear model lean. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 24% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
Poisson projects 2.23 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 39% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 37%. Form rates corroborate: Annecy 40% | Clermont Foot 30% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Annecy vs Clermont Foot | Competition: Ligue 2, Regular Season - 15 | Venue: Parc des Sports • Kick-off: Friday 6 Dec 2024, 19:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Annecy 62% | Draw 24% | Clermont Foot 14% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 39% | BTTS 37% | xG Annecy 1.61 / Clermont Foot 0.62 • Poisson strength factors: Annecy attack 1.078 / def 0.812 | Clermont Foot attack 0.721 / def 1.068 | league avg home 1.401 / away 1.056 • Poisson stance: Annecy (62%) — strong lean
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
1.61
Annecy xG
Expected Goals
0.62
Clermont Foot xG
37%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
19%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Annecy vs Clermont Foot kick off?
Annecy vs Clermont Foot kicked off at 19:00 on Friday 6 December 2024 at Parc des Sports.
What was the final score in Annecy vs Clermont Foot?
Annecy 2 - 0 Clermont Foot.
Where is Annecy vs Clermont Foot being played?
The match is being played at Parc des Sports.
What competition is Annecy vs Clermont Foot part of?
Annecy vs Clermont Foot is a Regular Season - 15 fixture in the Ligue 2 (France).
Who is favourite to win Annecy vs Clermont Foot?
Our statistical model gives Annecy a 62% chance of winning, Clermont Foot a 14% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw — making Annecy the favourite.
Will both teams score in Annecy vs Clermont Foot?
Our model estimates a 37% probability that both Annecy and Clermont Foot will score (BTTS).
Will Annecy vs Clermont Foot have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 39%.
What is the head-to-head record between Annecy and Clermont Foot?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Annecy and Clermont Foot in?
Annecy (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.30 | L5 W-D-W-L-D. Clermont Foot (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.20 | L5 L-W-W-L-D.
What do the betting odds say about Annecy vs Clermont Foot?
Odds data is not currently available for this fixture.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Annecy's attack at 1.08x the league average against Clermont Foot's defence at 1.07x — combine the two and it projects 1.61 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Clermont Foot's attack versus Annecy's defence, projects 0.62 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 52/14 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-0 carries the highest individual probability at 15.9% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-0 (14.0%), 0-0 (12.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 42% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Annecy Win
62%
1.62
24%
4.09
14%
7.14
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
17.3%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
14.0%
Home win
0 – 0
10.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.61
Annecy xG
Total xG
2.23
0.62
Clermont Foot xG
1.62
62%
Home win
4.09
24%
Draw
7.14
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.71
63%
BTTS No
1.59
Clean Sheet
54%
1.86
20%
5.02
Win to Nil
33%
3.01
3%
35.82
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.7 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 17.3 | 10.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 14.0 | 8.6 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Annecy vs Clermont Foot?
Our Poisson model rates 1-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.9%.
How many goals are Annecy and Clermont Foot expected to score?
The model projects 1.61 expected goals for Annecy and 0.62 for Clermont Foot, a combined total of 2.23.
How confident is the prediction model for Annecy vs Clermont Foot?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 62%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 48 outings, Annecy have picked up 1.33 PPG on a 17W 13D 18L record — W-D-W-L-D across the most recent five. The sample for Annecy is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Clermont Foot's form line: 9W 14D 25L from 48 games, 0.85 PPG, last five L-W-W-L-D. The sample for Clermont Foot is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Annecy are the form team by 0.48 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Clermont Foot.
Venue Form
On home soil, Annecy have posted 1.45 PPG from 22 outings (9W 5D 8L).
On the road, Clermont Foot have gone 4W 6D 12L from 22 away games — 0.82 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Annecy come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Annecy are averaging 1.35 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game recently; Clermont Foot are on 0.81 scored and 1.58 conceded.
Last 48 Results — Ligue 2
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Annecy
Blended
Clermont Foot
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Annecy and Clermont Foot in coming into this match?
Annecy have gone 17W 13D 18L in their last 48 games (1.33 PPG), while Clermont Foot have gone 9W 14D 25L in their last 48 (0.85 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Annecy at home or Clermont Foot away?
Annecy's home record (1.45 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Annecy at home: 1.45 PPG; Clermont Foot away: 0.82 PPG.
Have Annecy or Clermont Foot been keeping clean sheets recently?
Annecy have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their recent games, Clermont Foot in 15%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
4 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to December 2024. Every recorded meeting has come in Ligue 2. They last met on 23 January 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Streaks & Records
Annecy have won the last 2 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
Annecy's record when hosting Clermont Foot specifically: 2W 0D 0L from 2 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 4 Meetings
3
Annecy
0
Draws
1
Clermont Foot
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Annecy and Clermont Foot?
From 4 meetings on record, Annecy have won 3, Clermont Foot have won 1, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Annecy and Clermont Foot last play each other?
They last met on 23 January 2026, when Annecy 2-1 Clermont Foot.
Who has won more matches between Annecy and Clermont Foot?
Annecy have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 4 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Annecy are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 41% of the time.
Clermont Foot are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 82% of their matches.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Annecy 46%, Clermont Foot 46% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Annecy) and 54% (Clermont Foot).
On the defensive side: Annecy keep a clean sheet in 41% of their matches; Annecy have failed to score in 27% of games; Clermont Foot in 50%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Annecy home games / Clermont Foot away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Annecy play Clermont Foot?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 46% of Annecy's recent matches and 46% of Clermont Foot's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Annecy vs Clermont Foot usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Annecy's recent games and 54% of Clermont Foot's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Annecy and Clermont Foot tend to score early?
Annecy have had a goal before half-time in 73% of their recent matches, Clermont Foot in 82% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Annecy cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Clermont Foot.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Annecy beat Clermont Foot 2-0 at Parc des Sports, Regular Season - 15, in the Ligue 2. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Annecy 1.61 xG and Clermont Foot 0.62 xG, a combined 2.23. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Annecy attack 1.08 / defence 0.81 against Clermont Foot attack 0.72 / defence 1.07, drawn from 52/14 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Annecy 62% | Draw 24% | Clermont Foot 14%, with Annecy to win its most likely call at 62%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 65% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 37% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Annecy 56%, Clermont Foot 46%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Annecy's trading profile (48 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one.
Clermont Foot's trading profile (48 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 48% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Annecy arrived the stronger side — 1.33 PPG against 0.85. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Annecy (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.18 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.