Nice 0-0 Reims – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Reims at 45%, yet other data sources diverge — this Nice vs Reims fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Ligue 1 clash, Regular Season - 1 as Nice welcome Reims to Allianz Riviera. Kick-off is set for Sunday 8 August 2021 at 14:00 UTC.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Nice 0.71 xG and Reims 1.25 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Nice attack 0.850 / defence 1.150 | Reims attack 0.850 / defence 1.150. League average goals — home 0.722 / away 1.275. Data: 0 Nice games / 0 Reims games used (PrevSeason). Note: current-season sample is too small — prior-season data is carrying the calculation. Model confidence is reduced; treat probabilities as directional rather than precise.
Result probabilities: Nice 17% | Draw 37% | Reims 45%. Fair-value odds: Nice 5.88 | Draw 2.70 | Reims 2.22. Reims hold a narrow Poisson edge at 45% — the draw (37%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 31% | BTTS probability 40% | Total xG 1.95. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 69% probability — total xG of 1.95 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 40% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Reims at 45% — moderate model lean. With a 37% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Reims offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 1.95 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 31% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
The Poisson model is drawing on PrevSeason data (0 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Nice vs Reims | Competition: Ligue 1, Regular Season - 1 | Venue: Allianz Riviera • Kick-off: Sunday 8 Aug 2021, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Nice 17% | Draw 37% | Reims 45% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 31% | BTTS 40% | xG Nice 0.71 / Reims 1.25 • Poisson strength factors: Nice attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | Reims attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | league avg home 0.722 / away 1.275 • Poisson stance: Reims (45%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.71
Nice xG
Expected Goals
1.25
Reims xG
40%
BTTS
62%
Over 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
13%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Nice vs Reims kick off?
Nice vs Reims kicked off at 14:00 on Sunday 8 August 2021 at Allianz Riviera.
What was the final score in Nice vs Reims?
Nice 0 - 0 Reims.
Where is Nice vs Reims being played?
The match is being played at Allianz Riviera.
What competition is Nice vs Reims part of?
Nice vs Reims is a Regular Season - 1 fixture in the Ligue 1 (France).
Who is favourite to win Nice vs Reims?
Our statistical model gives Nice a 17% chance of winning, Reims a 45% chance, and a 37% chance of a draw — making Reims the favourite.
Will both teams score in Nice vs Reims?
Our model estimates a 40% probability that both Nice and Reims will score (BTTS).
Will Nice vs Reims have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 31%.
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Reims?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Nice and Reims in?
Form data is not yet available for either side.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Nice's attack at 0.85x the league average against Reims's defence at 1.15x — combine the two and it projects 0.71 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Reims's attack versus Nice's defence, projects 1.25 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 0/0 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 0-1 carries the highest individual probability at 16.1% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (15.8%), 1-1 (14.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 46% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Reims Win
17%
5.78
37%
2.69
45%
2.20
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
17.7%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.2%
Draw
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.71
Nice xG
Total xG
1.95
1.25
Reims xG
5.78
17%
Home win
2.69
37%
Draw
2.20
45%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.51
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
29%
3.48
49%
2.03
Win to Nil
5%
20.08
22%
4.46
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.2 | 17.7 | 11.0 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 10.0 | 12.5 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Nice vs Reims?
Our Poisson model rates 0-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 16.1%.
How many goals are Nice and Reims expected to score?
The model projects 0.71 expected goals for Nice and 1.25 for Reims, a combined total of 1.95.
How confident is the prediction model for Nice vs Reims?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 45%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
Last 0 Results — Ligue 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Nice
Pre-Season
Reims
Pre-Season
No results found.
No results found.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Nice and Reims runs to 8 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Ligue 1. It has been a while since the last meeting — 2 May 2025, some 3 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Digging Into the Numbers
There's a clear current trend here: Nice have taken the last 2 head-to-head results.
Nice's record when hosting Reims specifically: 2W 2D 0L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
4
Nice
4
Draws
0
Reims
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Reims?
From 8 meetings on record, Nice have won 4, Reims have won 0, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Nice and Reims last play each other?
They last met on 2 May 2025, when Nice 1-0 Reims.
Who has won more matches between Nice and Reims?
Nice have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 8 meetings.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Nice home games / Reims away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
Stalemate at Nice's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Nice and Reims finished level at 0-0 at Allianz Riviera, Regular Season - 1, in the Ligue 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Nice 0.71 xG and Reims 1.25 xG, a combined 1.95. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Reims landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Nice attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Reims attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 0/0 games (PrevSeason).
On the result, the model split it Nice 17% | Draw 37% | Reims 45%, with Reims to win its most likely call at 45%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 37%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 31%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 62% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 40% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.