Preston 0-0 Hull City – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Preston at 45%, yet other data sources diverge — this Preston vs Hull City fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Championship clash, Regular Season - 2 as Preston welcome Hull City to Deepdale. Kick-off is set for Saturday 6 August 2022 at 15:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Championship games this season, Preston have gone 4W 2D 4L from 10 outings — a 1.40 PPG return. Last five: L L W W D. They are averaging 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.60 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Preston have played only a handful of Championship games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Preston's home record at Deepdale: 4W 4D 2L from 10 Championship appearances (1.60 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Hull City stand at 5W 1D 4L from 10 Championship matches — 1.60 PPG. Last five: L W L D W. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Hull City have played only a handful of Championship games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Hull City's away record: 4W 3D 3L from 10 road trips in Championship this season (1.50 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 away clean sheets from 10 games (60%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.40 PPG (Preston) versus 1.60 (Hull City). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
H2H Record
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 2 previous meetings, Preston have won 1, Hull City 1, with 0 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
Goals have been a feature of this fixture. The last 2 meetings have averaged 3.0 per game — a rate that gives the Over 2.5 market a solid historical foundation. The most recent clash, on 5 Feb 2022, ended 1–0 with Preston winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading Patterns
Preston in-play and half-time data (47 games, 23 at home): they score before half-time in 78% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 58% of the time; BTTS occurs in 74% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (home games); they fail to score in 34% of games.
Hull City in-play and half-time data (47 games, 23 at away): they score before half-time in 65% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; BTTS occurs in 26% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 26% of games (away games); they fail to score in 45% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Preston 53% versus Hull City 32%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Preston 47% | Hull City 32%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Preston 1.38 xG and Hull City 1.02 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Preston attack 1.094 / defence 1.098 | Hull City attack 0.972 / defence 0.989. League average goals — home 1.273 / away 0.954. Data: 47 Preston games / 47 Hull City games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: Preston 45% | Draw 27% | Hull City 28%. Fair-value odds: Preston 2.22 | Draw 3.70 | Hull City 3.57. Preston hold a narrow Poisson edge at 45% — the draw (27%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 43% | BTTS probability 48% | Total xG 2.40. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 57% — total xG of 2.40 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 48% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Preston are the pick at 45% — moderate model lean. With a 27% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Preston offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 2.40 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 43% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 48%. Form rates are neutral: Preston 70% | Hull City 30%.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (47 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Preston vs Hull City | Competition: Championship, Regular Season - 2 | Venue: Deepdale • Kick-off: Saturday 6 Aug 2022, 15:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Preston 45% | Draw 27% | Hull City 28% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 43% | BTTS 48% | xG Preston 1.38 / Hull City 1.02 • Poisson strength factors: Preston attack 1.094 / def 1.098 | Hull City attack 0.972 / def 0.989 | league avg home 1.273 / away 0.954 • Poisson stance: Preston (45%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.38
Preston xG
Expected Goals
1.02
Hull City xG
48%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Preston vs Hull City kick off?
Preston vs Hull City kicked off at 15:00 on Saturday 6 August 2022 at Deepdale.
What was the final score in Preston vs Hull City?
Preston 0 - 0 Hull City.
Where is Preston vs Hull City being played?
The match is being played at Deepdale.
What competition is Preston vs Hull City part of?
Preston vs Hull City is a Regular Season - 2 fixture in the Championship (England).
Who is favourite to win Preston vs Hull City?
Our statistical model gives Preston a 45% chance of winning, Hull City a 28% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Preston the favourite.
Will both teams score in Preston vs Hull City?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both Preston and Hull City will score (BTTS).
Will Preston vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 43%.
What is the head-to-head record between Preston and Hull City?
Record (2 meetings): Preston 1W | Draws 0 | Hull City 1W.
What form are Preston and Hull City in?
Preston (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-L-W-W-D. Hull City (all comps): 5W-1D-4L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-W-L-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Preston's attacking strength (1.09x league average) is weighed against Hull City's defensive record (0.99x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.38. The same calculation in reverse, Hull City's attack versus Preston's defence, projects 1.02 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (47/47 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.4%. Close behind: 1-0 (10.9%), 0-0 (10.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 36% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Preston Win
45%
2.22
27%
3.68
28%
3.60
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.5%
Home win
0 – 1
9.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.38
Preston xG
Total xG
2.40
1.02
Hull City xG
2.22
45%
Home win
3.68
27%
Draw
3.60
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.09
52%
BTTS No
1.91
Clean Sheet
36%
2.77
25%
3.96
Win to Nil
16%
6.15
7%
14.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.5 | 12.8 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 8.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Preston vs Hull City?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.4%.
How many goals are Preston and Hull City expected to score?
The model projects 1.38 expected goals for Preston and 1.02 for Hull City, a combined total of 2.40.
How confident is the prediction model for Preston vs Hull City?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 45%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Preston come into this having played 47 games, going 16W 17D 14L for 1.38 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-W-W-D. It's still early in the season for Preston, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Hull City sit at 1.15 PPG from 47 outings (15W 9D 23L), a run that reads L-W-L-D-W across their last five. It's still early in the season for Hull City, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Form-wise this is close to level: Preston on 1.38 PPG, Hull City on 1.15. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
Preston's home form reads 9W 10D 4L across 23 games on their own ground, a 1.61 PPG return.
Away from home, Hull City have taken 1.13 points per game from 23 outings (7W 5D 11L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Preston come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Preston are averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game recently; Hull City are on 0.91 scored and 1.17 conceded.
Last 47 Results — Championship
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Preston
Early Season
Hull City
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Preston and Hull City in coming into this match?
Preston have gone 16W 17D 14L in their last 47 games (1.38 PPG), while Hull City have gone 15W 9D 23L in their last 47 (1.15 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Preston at home or Hull City away?
Preston's home record (1.61 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Preston at home: 1.61 PPG; Hull City away: 1.13 PPG.
Have Preston or Hull City been keeping clean sheets recently?
Preston have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their recent games, Hull City in 32%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Preston and Hull City runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Championship. They last met on 20 January 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 7 Aug 2021, when Hull City won 1-4 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Preston's record when hosting Hull City specifically: 1W 2D 2L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
2
Preston
4
Draws
4
Hull City
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Preston and Hull City?
From 10 meetings on record, Preston have won 2, Hull City have won 4, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Preston and Hull City last play each other?
They last met on 20 January 2026, when Preston 0-3 Hull City.
Who has won more matches between Preston and Hull City?
Hull City have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Preston are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 35% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
Hull City are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 65% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 26% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Preston 74%, Hull City 26% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 52% (Preston) and 26% (Hull City).
On the defensive side: Hull City in 39%; Hull City in 48%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Preston home games / Hull City away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Preston play Hull City?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 74% of Preston's recent matches and 26% of Hull City's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Preston vs Hull City usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 52% of Preston's recent games and 26% of Hull City's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Preston and Hull City tend to score early?
Preston have had a goal before half-time in 78% of their recent matches, Hull City in 65% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Preston's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Preston and Hull City finished level at 0-0 at Deepdale, Regular Season - 2, in the Championship. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Preston 1.38 xG and Hull City 1.02 xG, a combined 2.40. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Preston fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Hull City landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Preston attack 1.09 / defence 1.10 against Hull City attack 0.97 / defence 0.99, drawn from 47/47 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Preston 45% | Draw 27% | Hull City 28%, with Preston to win its most likely call at 45%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 69% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 39% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Preston 47%, Hull City 32%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 43%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Preston's trading profile (47 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 34% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Hull City's trading profile (47 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 32% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 45% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Preston 1.38 PPG, Hull City 1.15 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Preston (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.43 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.22 average — tighter than their form line. Hull City (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.83 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.13 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.