Chengdu Better City 0-0 Tianjin Teda – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Chengdu Better City at 38% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Super League clash, Regular Season - 12 as Chengdu Better City welcome Tianjin Teda to Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park. Kick-off is set for Thursday 8 June 2023 at 12:35 UTC.
Form Guide
Chengdu Better City — All Games: 8W 2D 0L from 10 Super League outings this season, averaging 2.60 points per game. Last five: D D W W W. Offensively they are averaging 1.90 goals per game, with 0.50 conceded. Defensively, conceding just 0.50 per game is an exceptional defensive record — one of the tightest in the division. 6 clean sheets from 10 games (60%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches.
In front of their own supporters this season, Chengdu Better City have posted 8W 2D 0L at Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park — 2.60 PPG. They are averaging 2.50 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. 6 clean sheets from 10 home games (60%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park.
Across all Super League games this season, Tianjin Teda have recorded 6W 2D 2L from 10 outings — 2.00 PPG. Last five: D D W L L. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 1.00. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their games, reflecting a regular tendency to keep or record clean sheets.
When travelling in Super League this season, Tianjin Teda have posted 4W 2D 4L from 10 away outings — 1.40 PPG. Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel. Their away PPG of 1.40 is notably below their overall 2.00 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
On current form, Chengdu Better City have the edge — a 0.60 PPG advantage (2.60 vs 2.00) represents a meaningful gap. That momentum makes them the form-based pick, though if the outright price looks short, Draw No Bet is worth comparing.
H2H Record
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 2 previous meetings, Chengdu Better City have won 1, Tianjin Teda 0, with 1 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
The 2 previous meetings have averaged 2.5 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 8 Jul 2022, ended 2–1 with Chengdu Better City winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
In-Play Data
Chengdu Better City trading profile (36 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 54% of the time; BTTS occurs in 53% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 59% of games (home games); they keep a clean sheet 47% of the time.
Tianjin Teda trading profile (36 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 79% of the time; BTTS occurs in 41% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 41% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Chengdu Better City 44% versus Tianjin Teda 42%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Chengdu Better City 42% | Tianjin Teda 44%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Chengdu Better City 1.30 xG and Tianjin Teda 1.16 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Chengdu Better City attack 1.281 / defence 0.966 | Tianjin Teda attack 0.943 / defence 0.749. League average goals — home 1.357 / away 1.274. Chengdu Better City carry an above-average attack strength of 1.281 — their λ of 1.30 reflects genuine attacking quality above the league norm. Tianjin Teda's defence strength of 0.749 is below average — they are conceding at a rate that inflates the home xG figure. Data: 45 Chengdu Better City games / 44 Tianjin Teda games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Chengdu Better City 38% | Draw 30% | Tianjin Teda 32%. Fair-value odds: Chengdu Better City 2.63 | Draw 3.33 | Tianjin Teda 3.12. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 45% | BTTS probability 51% | Total xG 2.46. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 55% — total xG of 2.46 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 51% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Chengdu Better City at 38% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 30% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Chengdu Better City offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.46 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 45% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 51% on Yes. This conflicts with form data: Chengdu Better City 40% | Tianjin Teda 30% from recent games — a notable divergence.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda | Competition: Super League, Regular Season - 12 | Venue: Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park • Kick-off: Thursday 8 Jun 2023, 12:35 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Chengdu Better City 38% | Draw 30% | Tianjin Teda 32% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 45% | BTTS 51% | xG Chengdu Better City 1.30 / Tianjin Teda 1.16 • Poisson strength factors: Chengdu Better City attack 1.281 / def 0.966 | Tianjin Teda attack 0.943 / def 0.749 | league avg home 1.357 / away 1.274 • Poisson stance: Chengdu Better City (38%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.30
Chengdu Better City xG
Expected Goals
1.16
Tianjin Teda xG
51%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda kick off?
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda kicked off at 12:35 on Thursday 8 June 2023 at Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park.
What was the final score in Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda?
Chengdu Better City 0 - 0 Tianjin Teda.
Where is Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda being played?
The match is being played at Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park.
What competition is Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda part of?
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda is a Regular Season - 12 fixture in the Super League (China).
Who is favourite to win Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda?
Our statistical model gives Chengdu Better City a 38% chance of winning, Tianjin Teda a 32% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Chengdu Better City the favourite.
Will both teams score in Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda?
Our model estimates a 51% probability that both Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda will score (BTTS).
Will Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 45%.
What is the head-to-head record between Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda?
Record (2 meetings): Chengdu Better City 1W | Draws 1 | Tianjin Teda 0W.
What form are Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda in?
Chengdu Better City (all comps): 8W-2D-0L in 10 | 2.60 PPG | GF 1.90 / GA 0.50 | L5 D-D-W-W-W. Tianjin Teda (all comps): 6W-2D-2L in 10 | 2.00 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.00 | L5 D-D-W-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Chengdu Better City's attack at 1.28x the league average against Tianjin Teda's defence at 0.75x — combine the two and it projects 1.30 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Tianjin Teda's attack versus Chengdu Better City's defence, projects 1.16 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 45/44 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.5% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (10.2%), 1-0 (9.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Chengdu Better City Win
38%
2.61
30%
3.32
32%
3.17
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.1%
Home win
0 – 1
9.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.30
Chengdu Better City xG
Total xG
2.46
1.16
Tianjin Teda xG
2.61
38%
Home win
3.32
30%
Draw
3.17
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.94
49%
BTTS No
2.06
Clean Sheet
31%
3.19
27%
3.68
Win to Nil
12%
8.33
9%
11.67
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.1 | 12.9 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.2 | 8.4 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.5%.
How many goals are Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda expected to score?
The model projects 1.30 expected goals for Chengdu Better City and 1.16 for Tianjin Teda, a combined total of 2.46.
How confident is the prediction model for Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 36 outings, Chengdu Better City have picked up 1.92 PPG on a 19W 12D 5L record — D-D-W-W-W across the most recent five.
Tianjin Teda's form line: 16W 8D 12L from 36 games, 1.56 PPG, last five D-D-W-L-L.
Form-wise this is close to level: Chengdu Better City on 1.92 PPG, Tianjin Teda on 1.56. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Chengdu Better City have posted 2.00 PPG from 17 outings (9W 7D 1L).
On the road, Tianjin Teda have gone 8W 3D 6L from 17 away games — 1.59 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Chengdu Better City come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Chengdu Better City are averaging 1.42 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game recently; Tianjin Teda are on 1.31 scored and 1.08 conceded.
Defensively: Chengdu Better City have kept a clean sheet in 47% of their games; Tianjin Teda in 39% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 36 Results — Super League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Chengdu Better City
Current Season
Tianjin Teda
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda in coming into this match?
Chengdu Better City have gone 19W 12D 5L in their last 36 games (1.92 PPG), while Tianjin Teda have gone 16W 8D 12L in their last 36 (1.56 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Chengdu Better City at home or Tianjin Teda away?
Chengdu Better City's home record (2.00 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Chengdu Better City at home: 2.00 PPG; Tianjin Teda away: 1.59 PPG.
Have Chengdu Better City or Tianjin Teda been keeping clean sheets recently?
Chengdu Better City have kept a clean sheet in 47% of their recent games, Tianjin Teda in 39%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda runs to 9 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to June 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Super League. The two were last together as recently as 15 May 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
Chengdu Better City's record when hosting Tianjin Teda specifically: 2W 1D 1L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 9 Meetings
4
Chengdu Better City
3
Draws
2
Tianjin Teda
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda?
From 9 meetings on record, Chengdu Better City have won 4, Tianjin Teda have won 2, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda last play each other?
They last met on 15 May 2026, when Tianjin Teda 1-2 Chengdu Better City.
Who has won more matches between Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda?
Chengdu Better City have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 9 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Chengdu Better City are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 41% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 18% of those situations.
Tianjin Teda are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 19% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Chengdu Better City 53%, Tianjin Teda 41% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 59% (Chengdu Better City) and 41% (Tianjin Teda).
On the defensive side: Chengdu Better City keep a clean sheet in 47% of their matches; Tianjin Teda in 35%; Tianjin Teda in 29%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Chengdu Better City home games / Tianjin Teda away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Chengdu Better City play Tianjin Teda?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 53% of Chengdu Better City's recent matches and 41% of Tianjin Teda's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 59% of Chengdu Better City's recent games and 41% of Tianjin Teda's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda tend to score early?
Chengdu Better City have had a goal before half-time in 71% of their recent matches, Tianjin Teda in 75% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Chengdu Better City's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park, Regular Season - 12, as Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda drew 0-0 in the Super League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Chengdu Better City 1.30 xG and Tianjin Teda 1.16 xG, a combined 2.46. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Chengdu Better City fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Tianjin Teda landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Chengdu Better City attack 1.28 / defence 0.97 against Tianjin Teda attack 0.94 / defence 0.75, drawn from 45/44 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Chengdu Better City 38% | Draw 30% | Tianjin Teda 32%, with Chengdu Better City to win its most likely call at 38%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 72% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 43% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Chengdu Better City 42%, Tianjin Teda 44%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 43%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Chengdu Better City's trading profile (36 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 47% of the time, and duly kept one.
Tianjin Teda's trading profile (36 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 42% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 39% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Chengdu Better City 1.92 PPG, Tianjin Teda 1.56 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Chengdu Better City (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.94 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.82 average — tighter than their form line. Tianjin Teda (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.35 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.29 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.