Huachipato 0-0 Everton de Vina – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Everton de Vina at 44%, yet other data sources diverge — this Huachipato vs Everton de Vina fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Primera División clash, Regular Season - 10 as Huachipato welcome Everton de Vina to Estadio CAP. Kick-off is set for Sunday 6 June 2021 at 01:30 UTC.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Huachipato 0.91 xG and Everton de Vina 1.24 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Huachipato attack 0.957 / defence 1.359 | Everton de Vina attack 0.917 / defence 1.024. League average goals — home 0.925 / away 0.996. Data: 7 Huachipato games / 8 Everton de Vina games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Huachipato 27% | Draw 29% | Everton de Vina 44%. Fair-value odds: Huachipato 3.70 | Draw 3.45 | Everton de Vina 2.27. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 36% | BTTS probability 42% | Total xG 2.15. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 64% — total xG of 2.15 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 42% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Everton de Vina are the pick at 44% — marginal model lean. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Everton de Vina offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 2.15 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 36% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Huachipato vs Everton de Vina | Competition: Primera División, Regular Season - 10 | Venue: Estadio CAP • Kick-off: Sunday 6 Jun 2021, 01:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Huachipato 27% | Draw 29% | Everton de Vina 44% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 36% | BTTS 42% | xG Huachipato 0.91 / Everton de Vina 1.24 • Poisson strength factors: Huachipato attack 0.957 / def 1.359 | Everton de Vina attack 0.917 / def 1.024 | league avg home 0.925 / away 0.996 • Poisson stance: Everton de Vina (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.91
Huachipato xG
Expected Goals
1.24
Everton de Vina xG
42%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Huachipato vs Everton de Vina kick off?
Huachipato vs Everton de Vina kicked off at 01:30 on Sunday 6 June 2021 at Estadio CAP.
What was the final score in Huachipato vs Everton de Vina?
Huachipato 0 - 0 Everton de Vina.
Where is Huachipato vs Everton de Vina being played?
The match is being played at Estadio CAP.
What competition is Huachipato vs Everton de Vina part of?
Huachipato vs Everton de Vina is a Regular Season - 10 fixture in the Primera División (Chile).
Who is favourite to win Huachipato vs Everton de Vina?
Our statistical model gives Huachipato a 27% chance of winning, Everton de Vina a 44% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Everton de Vina the favourite.
Will both teams score in Huachipato vs Everton de Vina?
Our model estimates a 42% probability that both Huachipato and Everton de Vina will score (BTTS).
Will Huachipato vs Everton de Vina have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 36%.
What is the head-to-head record between Huachipato and Everton de Vina?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Huachipato and Everton de Vina in?
Form data is not yet available for either side.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from Huachipato's attack rating (0.96) and Everton de Vina's defence rating (1.02), the model arrives at 0.91 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Everton de Vina's attack versus Huachipato's defence, projects 1.24 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 7/8 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.8%. Close behind: 0-0 (13.4%), 0-1 (12.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 41% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Everton de Vina Win
27%
3.70
29%
3.45
44%
2.28
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.5%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
0 – 0
11.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.91
Huachipato xG
Total xG
2.15
1.24
Everton de Vina xG
3.70
27%
Home win
3.45
29%
Draw
2.28
44%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.36
58%
BTTS No
1.74
Clean Sheet
29%
3.46
40%
2.48
Win to Nil
8%
12.79
18%
5.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.7 | 14.5 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 13.1 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Huachipato vs Everton de Vina?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.
How many goals are Huachipato and Everton de Vina expected to score?
The model projects 0.91 expected goals for Huachipato and 1.24 for Everton de Vina, a combined total of 2.15.
How confident is the prediction model for Huachipato vs Everton de Vina?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
Last 0 Results — Primera División
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Huachipato
Pre-Season
Everton de Vina
Pre-Season
No results found.
No results found.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Huachipato and Everton de Vina runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to October 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Primera División. They last met on 13 February 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 23 Feb 2025, when Huachipato won 4-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Huachipato's record when hosting Everton de Vina specifically: 3W 1D 0L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
6
Huachipato
1
Draws
3
Everton de Vina
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Huachipato and Everton de Vina?
From 10 meetings on record, Huachipato have won 6, Everton de Vina have won 3, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Huachipato and Everton de Vina last play each other?
They last met on 13 February 2026, when Everton de Vina 0-3 Huachipato.
Who has won more matches between Huachipato and Everton de Vina?
Huachipato have the better head-to-head record, with 6 wins from 10 meetings.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Huachipato home games / Everton de Vina away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
Stalemate at Huachipato's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Estadio CAP, Regular Season - 10, as Huachipato and Everton de Vina drew 0-0 in the Primera División. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Huachipato 0.91 xG and Everton de Vina 1.24 xG, a combined 2.15. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Huachipato fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Everton de Vina landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Huachipato attack 0.96 / defence 1.36 against Everton de Vina attack 0.92 / defence 1.02, drawn from 7/8 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Huachipato 27% | Draw 29% | Everton de Vina 44%, with Everton de Vina to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 36%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 63% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.