WSG Wattens 0-2 Rapid Vienna – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates WSG Wattens at 44%, yet other data sources diverge — this WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
WSG Wattens host Rapid Vienna at Tivoli Stadion Tirol in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 21. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 27 February 2022 at 16:00 UTC.
Form Guide
WSG Wattens — All Games: 3W 3D 4L from 10 Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 1.20 points per game. Last five: W L L D L. Offensively they are averaging 1.60 goals per game, with 1.80 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for WSG Wattens, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, WSG Wattens have gone 2W 6D 2L this season (10 games, 1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 3W 5D 2L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.40 PPG. Last five: D D W L D. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 1.60. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 90% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. This season is still relatively young for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Rapid Vienna away from home this season: 1W 6D 3L from 10 away games — 0.90 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 90% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
There is minimal separation in the form figures — WSG Wattens at 1.20 PPG versus Rapid Vienna's 1.40. The form guide is not providing a strong directional steer; the model and market data will carry more weight in the final assessment.
Both teams score in over 80% of each side's relevant games (using home/away splits). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.
In-Play Data
WSG Wattens trading profile (20 games, 10 at home): they score before half-time in 60% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; BTTS occurs in 80% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 50%.
Rapid Vienna trading profile (20 games, 10 at away): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; when winning at HT they fail to see it out 25% of the time; BTTS occurs in 90% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — WSG Wattens 65% and Rapid Vienna 70% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (WSG Wattens 65% | Rapid Vienna 60%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects WSG Wattens 1.75 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.44 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: WSG Wattens attack 1.125 / defence 1.185 | Rapid Vienna attack 0.880 / defence 1.308. League average goals — home 1.188 / away 1.382. Rapid Vienna bring a strong defensive rating of 1.308 — this is suppressing WSG Wattens's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 20 WSG Wattens games / 20 Rapid Vienna games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: WSG Wattens 44% | Draw 25% | Rapid Vienna 31%. Fair-value odds: WSG Wattens 2.27 | Draw 4.00 | Rapid Vienna 3.23. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 25% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 62% | BTTS probability 64% | Total xG 3.19. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 62% — the 3.19 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 64% reflects that both xG figures (1.75 / 1.44) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, WSG Wattens are the pick at 44% — marginal model lean. With a 25% draw probability, Draw No Bet on WSG Wattens offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 3.19 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 62% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.0 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 64%. Form rates corroborate: WSG Wattens 80% | Rapid Vienna 90% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 21 | Venue: Tivoli Stadion Tirol • Kick-off: Sunday 27 Feb 2022, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: WSG Wattens 44% | Draw 25% | Rapid Vienna 31% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 62% | BTTS 64% | xG WSG Wattens 1.75 / Rapid Vienna 1.44 • Poisson strength factors: WSG Wattens attack 1.125 / def 1.185 | Rapid Vienna attack 0.880 / def 1.308 | league avg home 1.188 / away 1.382 • Poisson stance: WSG Wattens (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.75
WSG Wattens xG
Expected Goals
1.44
Rapid Vienna xG
64%
BTTS
83%
Over 1.5
62%
Over 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna kick off?
WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna kicked off at 16:00 on Sunday 27 February 2022 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What was the final score in WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
WSG Wattens 0 - 2 Rapid Vienna.
Where is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna being played?
The match is being played at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What competition is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna part of?
WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna is a Regular Season - 21 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our statistical model gives WSG Wattens a 44% chance of winning, Rapid Vienna a 31% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making WSG Wattens the favourite.
Will both teams score in WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our model estimates a 64% probability that both WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna will score (BTTS).
Will WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 62%.
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna in?
WSG Wattens (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.80 | L5 W-L-L-D-L. Rapid Vienna (all comps): 3W-5D-2L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.60 | L5 D-D-W-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from WSG Wattens's attack rating (1.12) and Rapid Vienna's defence rating (1.31), the model arrives at 1.75 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Rapid Vienna's attack versus WSG Wattens's defence, projects 1.44 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 20/20 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 11.7%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.1%), 1-2 (7.5%). Together the top three scorelines make up 28% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
WSG Wattens Win
44%
2.26
25%
4.06
31%
3.21
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
1 – 2
7.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.75
WSG Wattens xG
Total xG
3.19
1.44
Rapid Vienna xG
2.26
44%
Home win
4.06
25%
Draw
3.21
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
62%
Over 2.5
1.61
38%
Under 2.5
2.63
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.57
36%
BTTS No
2.76
Clean Sheet
24%
4.22
17%
5.75
Win to Nil
10%
9.55
5%
18.47
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 10.4 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 9.1 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.7%.
How many goals are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna expected to score?
The model projects 1.75 expected goals for WSG Wattens and 1.44 for Rapid Vienna, a combined total of 3.19.
How confident is the prediction model for WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 20 outings, WSG Wattens have picked up 1.00 PPG on a 4W 8D 8L record — W-L-L-D-L across the most recent five. The sample for WSG Wattens is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Rapid Vienna's form line: 6W 7D 7L from 20 games, 1.25 PPG, last five D-D-W-L-D. The sample for Rapid Vienna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: WSG Wattens on 1.00 PPG, Rapid Vienna on 1.25. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
On home soil, WSG Wattens have posted 1.20 PPG from 10 outings (2W 6D 2L).
On the road, Rapid Vienna have gone 1W 6D 3L from 10 away games — 0.90 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
WSG Wattens are averaging 1.45 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game recently; Rapid Vienna are on 1.50 scored and 1.55 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: WSG Wattens have seen both teams score in 65% of their recent games; Rapid Vienna in 70%.
Last 20 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
WSG Wattens
Blended
Rapid Vienna
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna in coming into this match?
WSG Wattens have gone 4W 8D 8L in their last 20 games (1.00 PPG), while Rapid Vienna have gone 6W 7D 7L in their last 20 (1.25 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — WSG Wattens at home or Rapid Vienna away?
WSG Wattens's home record (1.20 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — WSG Wattens at home: 1.20 PPG; Rapid Vienna away: 0.90 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to May 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 9 November 2025, roughly 9 months ago.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Oct 2022, when Rapid Vienna won 0-5 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
WSG Wattens's record when hosting Rapid Vienna specifically: 0W 2D 3L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
0
WSG Wattens
3
Draws
7
Rapid Vienna
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
From 10 meetings on record, WSG Wattens have won 0, Rapid Vienna have won 7, and 3 have been drawn.
When did WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna last play each other?
They last met on 9 November 2025, when WSG Wattens 1-1 Rapid Vienna.
Who has won more matches between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 30% of the time.
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 30% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 30% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Full-Time Trends
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — WSG Wattens at 80%, Rapid Vienna at 90%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (WSG Wattens) and 50% (Rapid Vienna).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = WSG Wattens home games / Rapid Vienna away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when WSG Wattens play Rapid Vienna?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 80% of WSG Wattens's games and 90% of Rapid Vienna's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of WSG Wattens's recent games and 50% of Rapid Vienna's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna tend to score early?
WSG Wattens have had a goal before half-time in 60% of their recent matches, Rapid Vienna in 80% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Rapid Vienna cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over WSG Wattens.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Rapid Vienna beat WSG Wattens 0-2 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Regular Season - 21, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting WSG Wattens 1.75 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.44 xG, a combined 3.19. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. WSG Wattens fell 1.7 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of WSG Wattens attack 1.12 / defence 1.19 against Rapid Vienna attack 0.88 / defence 1.31, drawn from 20/20 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it WSG Wattens 44% | Draw 25% | Rapid Vienna 31%, with WSG Wattens to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual Rapid Vienna win had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (WSG Wattens 65%, Rapid Vienna 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 68%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
WSG Wattens's trading profile (20 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Rapid Vienna's trading profile (20 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 70% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — WSG Wattens 1.00 PPG, Rapid Vienna 1.25 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Rapid Vienna win broke the near-deadlock. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.70 scoring average — below par going forward. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.20 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.70 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.